Week 7 SEC:
aTm -6 @ Ole Miss: While Aggie can't stop anybody, it doesn't matter as much with JFF on your team. Ole Miss is a dejected team with a moron for a HC. Coming off the bye, think Aggie can come up with a decent enough game plan to limit OM's 4 play offense. They'll score, but aTm will score much more. Something like 48-27
Miss St -11 vs Bowling Green: No real opinion on this one. Miss St is not good. Know nothing about BG. My guess is that if Miss St can beat up on them, they will, because there aren't many wins left on the schedule for Mullen. However, BG seems to be one of the better MAC teams and likely not that far off from State in terms of talent. No play for me
Missouri +8 @ UGA: I marked this game in the preseason as a bad spot for UGA, and I told myself watching the UGA's game last week that I would be on Mizzou no matter the line. I was hoping for DDs, and it may have gotten there if it weren't for all of UGA's injuries. Missouri has proven it can score and UGA still hasn't stopped an offense with a pulse. UGA has played in 4 tough games out of their 5, and have to be looking toward their bye in 2 weeks after Vandy next week. Those tough games are obviously taking a toll on the team. I'm not ready to call for Mizzou to win, because we still don't really know what we have with them, but I believe they have the offense to score enough to cover, and I think UGA is tired and injured enough to not be able to put them away. UGA in a one score game
Florida +7' @ LSU: SEC game of the week. For whatever reason, I find myself rarely watching Florida games. Must be a timing thing where they play during other games I'm more interested in. Also seems like I am against the Gators often as well, maybe because of a lack of familiarity, or some deep-seated bias that I'm unaware of. This game is big because the winner will continue to control their own destiny within the division. Tough game to cap with the emergence of Murphy for UF at QB, albeit against 3 of the worst teams in conference, because we knew what we had with Driskell. Even with UF's offensive deficiencies, they do field the best defense in conference to date, which they'll need against LSU's offense. LSU's defense is still experiencing growing pains, and I think UF will try to slow the game down because they know they can't get into a track meet with them. I think LSU will win, but it will be a tough hard fought game that won't be decided until the 4th quarter. I lean taking the points right now, but will watch the line the next few days. If it gets under a TD, I'll look at taking LSU.
SC -6 @ Ark: As I mentioned earlier, something seems off with the Cocks. Obviously the Clowney thing has been a distraction, first with his supposed lack of production, and now with his somewhat dubious injury situation. Arkansas is not a good team, but they have some pieces in place and will be at home. Do the Cocks rally and start playing to their potential, or will it be more of the same so-so performance. SC's B game is enough to cover the spread (I think), but this is a big game for Arky. I lean the home dog, and if it gets to a TD or better, I will be on the Hogs
Bama -27' @ UK: Doubt UK scores much in this one, so the cover will be based on Bama's ability to execute the offense. There have been signs of improvement in that area and Bama is starting to solidify who they can count on and who they can't. I'd imagine we'll see 6 or 7 OL take significant snaps and will look for AJ to be able to run the entire offense. I look for Bama to continue to progress and have a good offensive showing against an inferior opponent. As for the cover, Saban has shown the tendency to try to shorten the game once the outcome is decided, so 4 TDs becomes a big ask. I'm leaning toward Bama winning something like 38-7. I think the line is spot on and will likely pass. Maybe a team total play on gameday
AU -? vs Western Carolina: Haven't seen the line yet, but wouldn't surprise me to see AU fail to cover. Last week was AU's biggest win since the championship year, so there's a good chance of hangover here, especially with the Tigers being relatively young. Throw in the injury to Marshall, and Gus would be dumb to keep him long, if he plays at all. Once I see the number, I'll decide whether or not I'll bite.
