Going to do a quick fade of the Marlins (5.14-5.19) 6 games, 2 series..

[Gyno]

I'm going to do a 6 game fade of Marlins..


Marlins will be home for all 6 games and that is a good thing for us betting against them cause the odds won't be as crazy and we will get 9 innings of offense to help our RL wagers. Plus the Marlins aren't any better @ home.

3 vs Reds
5.14: Bailey vs Nolasco
5.15: Leake vs Sanabia
5.16: Cigrani vs Fernandez

3 vs D'backs
5.17: Cahill vs Slowey
5.18: McCarthy vs Koehler
5.19: Corbin vs Nolasco


I like these matchups and the odds shouldn't be all that bad. I have the Marlins losing all 6 but I'll be realistic and take a 1-5.. Profit will still
be made if they go 2-4.


I will parlay both series wagers..
-1's in every game.

Spot TT unders for Marlins.


I think there is a very good chance the Marlins lose everyone of these games.

If you have any advice or thoughts, please feel free to mention them.

 

[Schrute]

Love following these

GL gyno

 

[Gyno]

Love following these

GL gyno

What do you predict Schrute?

1-5?
2-4?

 

[Elbutre88]

1-5

nolasco (5/19) getting the win.

 

[Gyno]

1-5

nolasco (5/19) getting the win.

LOL 1-0 Marlins.

 

[Schrute]

1-5

They win game 3 in one of the series IMO

 

[Gyno]

I say Marlins win either game 2 or 4.

 

[JumpOnBoard]

Enquirer Sports ‏<s style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(187, 187, 187);">@</s>ENQSports<small class="time" style="font-size: 12px; color: rgb(187, 187, 187); position: relative; float: right; margin-top: 1px;">3m</small>
Changes to <s style="text-decoration: none; color: rgb(244, 115, 149);">#</s>Reds rotation schedule: At Miami - Bailey; Leake, Mat Latos; At Philadelphia - Cingrani; Arroyo; Bailey.

 

[swngus44]

Good luck.

 

[metsrp86]

I think I would bet against the Marlins (ML and RL) and the under in every game. The thinking is that the Marlins will have to limit the opposition to a few runs if they have any chance to win. They wont win a slugfest. So, if they opposition wins, you will in the ML, and probably the RL. If you lose the RL you should still pick up the under to go 2-1. The strategy is simple. Triple down on the Marlins not scoring. Against these pitchers, with the exception of McCarthy, that should be a great bet. I think you tip your cap if they're able to score more than 3 runs. I'll believe when I see it...

 

[metsrp86]

I use a similar approach with the Astros, except I play the Over instead of the Under. Astros are the inverse of the Marlins to some extent. They can score runs, but theyre SP and Bullpen is terrible. So, the thinking is play the opponent ML and RL, and also play the over. If the Astros win, they will win in a slugfest because their SP or pen will give up runs. I would be more careful with Bud Norris on the hill, but I would play this strategy with any other Astros pitcher. Like with the Marlins, if the Astros win in a low scoring game, I will tip my cap.

I bet if someone looked at the stats of the Marlins wins that went over and Astros wins that went under, it would be a very small sample. The one Marlins game that comes to mind is when they crushed Roy Halladay but clearly he was hurt.

 

[Gyno]

0.5* Reds -1 -133

0.25* Reds Series -225

 

[Gyno]

Overall wagers 1-0 +0.50
Marlins W/L 0-1 (5 games left)

 

[Gyno]

0.5* Reds -1 -144

 

[Gyno]

Overall wagers: 3-0 +1.25 units
Marlins W/L record: 0-2 (4 games left)
Marlins series record: 0-1 (1 series left)

 

[Gyno]

profit has already been made.. Line movement is a little scary so I'm going to bet less on tonights game.

0.35* Reds -1 -120

I'm thinking AZ gets 2-1.. Probably lose either game 2 or 3..

 

[Gyno]

Reds win by 2+: 4-0 +1.60 units


Reds win by 1: 3-0-1 +1.25 units


Reds lose: 3-1 +0.83 units

 

[Gyno]

 

[B.A.R.]

Very nice...

 

[Gyno]

Overall wagers: 4-0 +1.60 units
Marlins W/L record: 0-3 (3 games left)
Marlins series record: 0-1 (1 series left)



0.4* AZ -200 to win SERIES

0.4* AZ -1 -126


​

 

[austinhous]

BOL Doctor Feelgood

 

[Gyno]

Overall wagers: 5-0 +2.00 units
Marlins W/L record: 0-4 (3 games left)
Marlins series record: 0-1 (1 series left)


0.35* AZ RL +110
0.15* AZ ML -152

Betting a little more on RL today cause I have the feeling AZ either wins by 2+ or loses straight. Would love to finish series wager today

 

[bones]

its been fun to watch...gl this weekend

 

[Gyno]

0.4 *az - 1 - 115

 

[Gyno]

1-5

nolasco (5/19) getting the win.

Great call elb.. Nostradamous

 

[Gyno]

Overall wagers: 7-2 +1.74 units
Marlins W/L record: 1-5
Marlins series record: 0-2


Good money was made, left a little bit of money on the table not betting TT unders.. But happy about the way it worked out.