GOBBLE GOBBLE Ya JIVE TURKEYS. THANKSGIVING & BLACK FRIDAY slates predicted by MADDEN 25 SIMULATIONS

[DOUBLEUP4LIFE]

What's up LADIES and GENTS ??
HAPPY THANKSGIVING to YOU and your FAMILIES !!!!

As stated last week my picks this season have been dog shet. So I started simulating each NFL matchup 50 times for some blind tail wagering possibilities.
Thankfully it went well last week +$711 ...In order for a suggested play to qualify for a wager it must occur in at least 31 of 50 Sims (62%) , unless it's at plus odds with nice value ...


Madden results

Sides. 1-1 +$280
Play of the week Seahawks -1 paid $700. Rams ML lost-$420

Totals. 1-0. +$420
Over 41.5 Broncos vs Raiders

Player props. 3-3. +$11
Adonai Mitchell not going over 1.5 catches and or yards was a big swing .







BEST OF HEALTH, WEALTH, HAPPINESS, BLESSINGS and LUCK to ALL !!!!








ANYWAYS enough RAMBLING,
Let's get to GAMBLING $$$$

 

[DOUBLEUP4LIFE]

1 unit = $200


Possible side of the week
( can't do the Sunday Sims until injuries are clearer)



DOLPHINS ML +150 (Seneca Buffalo )
$670 to WIN $1005
Happened in 39 of 50 simulations.
This was a suprise , didn't see this coming. EXTREMELY RARE that an underdog wins on the road outright more than 30 times.
Does Madden 25 know that the FINS are red hot and desperate???
LOL

 

[2daBank]

1 unit = $200


Possible side of the week
( can't do the Sunday Sims until injuries are clearer)



DOLPHINS ML +150 (Seneca Buffalo )
$670 to WIN $1005
Happened in 39 of 50 simulations.
This was a suprise , didn't see this coming. EXTREMELY RARE that an underdog wins on the road outright more than 30 times.
Does Madden 25 know that the FINS are red hot and desperate???
LOL

More important did madden sim freezing temps and Tua record in them?

 

[skanless13]

More important did madden sim freezing temps and Tua record in them?

I share those same concerns. However, that’s a very known narrative that I’m assuming is factored into the line. GB coming off a big revenge game vs SF.

I’m on Miami ats. Though won’t be shocked they win

 

[DOUBLEUP4LIFE]

LIONS V BEARS

No suggested wager on either side , the total or any player prop the required 31 times. But digging deeper in the search for action found these plays acceptable at their prices


Wagers below places on DK 845 AM Thanksgiving

PARLAY. +104
$150 ( 0.75 unit )
Williams over 199.5 passing yards
Odunze over 3.5 catches

This parlay with an alternative passing total for Williams down from the Posted 231.5 to 200 and Odunze over 3.5 happened 30 times in 50 Sims.




KMET TD +370 $30
KMET 2+ TD +4000. $3
Cole Kmet scored in 14 Sims /28% ( 16 total TDS ) . Which is greater than the odds implied probability of 21.28%.

 

[DOUBLEUP4LIFE]

More important did madden sim freezing temps and Tua record in them?

Nope , but even when simulated in snow it's obviously important to remember these are just 50 random Sims. If I did them another 50 times maybe the results would be far different.

I'm taking these with a grain of salt , my picks were horrible this season. Switching to the Madden Sims has provided some profitable weeks in the past. Don't think it's some be all , tell all operation thou brother ..


Happy Thanksgiving brother.
Sweep your turkey day slate

 

[DOUBLEUP4LIFE]

COWBOYS V GIANTS

NO suggested play on either side or the total.


COOPER RUSH OVER 212.5 PASSING YARDS -115 ( Seneca Buffalo )
$230/$200

Happened in 31 of 50 Sims

 

[DOUBLEUP4LIFE]

I share those same concerns. However, that’s a very known narrative that I’m assuming is factored into the line. GB coming off a big revenge game vs SF.

I’m on Miami ats. Though won’t be shocked they win

Spot in schedule is definitely factored into the line. As you mentioned above, Packers off of huge revenge spot.
I personally would not have bet this game thou if the Madden Sims didn't suggest thou ...

Can't wait to watch it tonight...

Happy Thanksgiving brother, sweep your turkey day slate $$$

The weather under 30 degrees kept me from making this wager 5+ units ( $1k) ...3.35 units is more than enough.

 

[DOUBLEUP4LIFE]

CHIEFS V RAIDERS

No suggested play on either side or total.

This play jumps off the screen. Isiah Pacheco is back , and while I'm hesitant to go any larger with his usage unknown ( Chiefs OC hinted it could be what the game dictates) it still is worth a 1 unit wager.

PACHECO TD -142
$284/$200
Happened in 34 Sims ( 39 TD total ) .
While I got -120 at Seneca Buffalo that doesn't count here bc it wasn't posted as the price is up to -142 this morning..

 

[Inspekdah]

More important did madden sim freezing temps and Tua record in them?

This is definitely something to consider. Although 26 at kickoff is WAY different than -10 or whatever it was in KC last year.

 

[DOUBLEUP4LIFE]

This is definitely something to consider. Although 26 at kickoff is WAY different than -10 or whatever it was in KC last year.

Very similar weather to when the DOLPHINS barely lost 31-34 to the BILLS in the playoffs ( believe it was 24 degrees Jan 15th 2023 ) ..
For the record that was with Skylar Thompson .

 

[Lexington 125]

Happy Thanksgiving hope ya hit your plays!

 

[rambler882]

Enjoy the day

 

[skanless13]

This is definitely something to consider. Although 26 at kickoff is WAY different than -10 or whatever it was in KC last year.

Exactly

 

[2daBank]

This is definitely something to consider. Although 26 at kickoff is WAY different than -10 or whatever it was in KC last year.

Not sure it much different for Tua. His pussy gets cold at 40!! lol. Plus I gotta think “feels like” much close to teens in gb at night. I’m not touching it cause I like fish at moment and have my issues with love. But imo you just can’t back fish till Tua proves it. This more a learning game for me, he plays well here maybe I can trust him later on in other cold weather. I do seem to recall one year around Xmas in Buffalo It was snowy and cold, they lost but believe Tua had a big game.

 

[KJ]

It's amazing that we celebrate turkeys by eating them

 

[2daBank]

Maybe he can just drop it off to achane. That dude a beast, nobody gonna wanna tackle him in cold!

 

[2daBank]

It's amazing that we celebrate turkeys by eating them

I like to lather mine up with butter, spices and all kinds of love before roasting that fucker!!

 

[KJ]

I like to lather mine up with butter, spices and all kinds of love before roasting that fucker!!

Buddy used to do three but he's down to two now. 86'd the fried one but he starts the prep at like 5am lol. Hell I gotta be there in 20 minutes, everyone getting old and their kids need to be on the road before dark. Always a blast and a bunch of drunk housewives. Like Champagne wasted.

I'm not even drinking today but still taking Lyft lol, that's how this day tends to go

 

[2daBank]

Buddy used to do three but he's down to two now. 86'd the fried one but he starts the prep at like 5am lol. Hell I gotta be there in 20 minutes, everyone getting old and their kids need to be on the road before dark. Always a blast and a bunch of drunk housewives. Like Champagne wasted.

I'm not even drinking today but still taking Lyft lol, that's how this day tends to go

My brother smokes his overnight, I feel like shit I had to skip but I couldn’t leave Theresa alone. Im sure somebody will drop me off a plate!

 

[KJ]

Now the real problem

They are a Bears household

 

[2daBank]

Now the real problem

They are a Bears household

My brother a packers house, his wife fam from there. My mom huge bears fan so if I root for anyone it bears. Caleb got me my yards, with a good coach that game in ot st the very least right now.

 

[skanless13]

More important did madden sim freezing temps and Tua record in them?

If you point a fan towards the console it factors it in

 

[2daBank]

If you point a fan towards the console it factors it in

I’m years removed from back in ths Ps2 and ps3 days when I did lot of meth and was always ranked in top 1000 or so (I was top 100 in mlb the show!) anyways I know you could set weather to snow/rain/temp back then so I assume he coulda simulated in freezing conditions but pretty sure it wouldn’t have been favorable if he set it to crap weather! Lol. Man I was a beast back in my meth head days at madden and mlb the show!

 

[skanless13]

I’m years removed from back in ths Ps2 and ps3 days when I did lot of meth and was always ranked in top 1000 or so (I was top 100 in mlb the show!) anyways I know you could set weather to snow/rain/temp back then so I assume he coulda simulated in freezing conditions but pretty sure it wouldn’t have been favorable if he set it to crap weather! Lol. Man I was a beast back in my meth head days at madden and mlb the show!

Yeah. I’m sure they can now. I used to love playing in the snow in madden!

 

[skanless13]

I share those same concerns. However, that’s a very known narrative that I’m assuming is factored into the line. GB coming off a big revenge game vs SF.

I’m on Miami ats. Though won’t be shocked they win

Well. I was very wrong about this one. Not sure it was due to the weather. Green Bay just outplayed them.

 

[2daBank]

Well. I was very wrong about this one. Not sure it was due to the weather. Green Bay just outplayed them.

Yea I dunno either, early on I think it was a shock to fish, i ended up turning off and watching elf with the wife but looks like Tua put up some pretty impressive yards so not sure the cold had much to do w it, it is another game below 40 they failed miserably tho.