MLB Parlay for June 2: A Bet That Pays (+263)
San Franciso Giants vs. Miami Marlins
Thursday, June 2, 2022 at 6:40 p.m. ET at loanDepot park in Miami
Who Starts for the Giants?
San Francisco starts lefty Alex Wood who promises to bounce back after collecting the loss in two consecutive outings.
Two starts ago, he took the loss against San Diego after suffering some misfortune.
In that start, he yielded a 15.00 ERA because he yielded an absurdly high .615 BABIP (batting average of balls in play).
His 2.22 FIP in that start reflects how well he actually performed.
Most recently, he earned the loss in Cincinnati where, historically speaking, he tends to struggle.
What Pitches Does Wood Throw?
Wood's two favorite pitches are his sinker and slider.
Both pitches make up about 82 percent of his arsenal. He also throws a changeup a lot.
The sinker is typically a pitch that one locates low in the strike zone or below it.
However, Wood ably distributes this pitch along different parts of the strike zone.
He does, though, tend to feature his slider low and along the edges of the strike zone, as heat maps show.
This is also true of his changeup, which, like his slider, creates a nice change of pace relative to his sinker.
I like Wood to thrive tonight because he is historically solid in Miami's venue where he yields a 2.92 ERA in 49.1 career innings.
Who Pitches for Miami?
Miami starts Sandy Alcantara who is a model of consistency.
Alcantara has allowed two earned runs or fewer in nine of his 10 starts this season.
Moreover, he has conceded one earned run or fewer in each of his past four starts.
Alcantara is so solid in terms of limiting opposing scoring despite the fact that he regularly goes deep into games.
He has thrown 25 out of 27 possible innings in his last three starts.
What Pitches Does Alcantara Throw?
Alcantara is consistent, thriving against opponents that match up even better against his pitches than the Giants do.
His four-pitch mixture -- he throws a fastball, changeup, slider, and sinker -- is dangerous because of how balanced it makes his arsenal.
He throws all four pitches with over 20 percent frequency and he doesn't throw a single pitch with as much as 28 percent frequency.
This level of variety makes him less predictable for opposing batters because they have more trouble discerning which pitch will approach them.
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Thursday, June 2, 2022 at 7:40 p.m. ET at American Family Field in Milwaukee
Who Pitches for the Padres?
San Diego starts Sean Manaea today.
Manaea is most well-known for his sinker, which he throws 60.5 percent of the time.
He locates this pitch well, distributing it evenly among different parts of the strike zone.
His pitch selection is intelligent because it is logical for a pitcher to throw his best stuff most often.
Manaea's sinker is clearly effective: opponents are batting .198 and slugging .372 against it.
Manaea vs. Brewer Batters
Regardless of what pitches Manaea throws, the Brewer lineup is already in bad shape for tonight's game because Manaea is a lefty.
With big-name batters like lefty Christian Yelich, the Brewers are more built to deal with right-handed pitching.
Plus, the Brewers still miss Hunter Renfroe who is not eligible for activation from the injured list until tomorrow.
Renfroe's presence would have been valuable tonight because he is slugging .750 against left-handed pitchers.
Manaea's other two favorite pitches are his slider and changeup.
Together, his sinker, slider, and changeup make up nearly 99 percent of the arsenal.
The biggest reason why I like Manaea tonight is that the Brewers rank 28thin slugging .289 against these three pitches from lefties.
Who Starts for the Brewers?
Milwaukee starts Adrian Houser who is slightly more balanced than Manaea in terms of pitch selection.
Houser, like Manaea, primarily relies on a sinker, although Houser doesn't throw this pitch quite as often.
His two favorite pitches are his fastball and sinker.
He matches up well against the Padres because they rank 27thin slugging against these two pitches from righties.
Moreover, Manny Machado is a huge part of the Padre offense, but he is 0-for-8 lifetime against Houser.
Best Bet: Parlay Giants/Marlins Under 7 at +100 & Padres/Brewers Under 8.5 at -123 at +263 odds with BetOnline
San Franciso Giants vs. Miami Marlins
Thursday, June 2, 2022 at 6:40 p.m. ET at loanDepot park in Miami
Who Starts for the Giants?
San Francisco starts lefty Alex Wood who promises to bounce back after collecting the loss in two consecutive outings.
Two starts ago, he took the loss against San Diego after suffering some misfortune.
In that start, he yielded a 15.00 ERA because he yielded an absurdly high .615 BABIP (batting average of balls in play).
His 2.22 FIP in that start reflects how well he actually performed.
Most recently, he earned the loss in Cincinnati where, historically speaking, he tends to struggle.
What Pitches Does Wood Throw?
Wood's two favorite pitches are his sinker and slider.
Both pitches make up about 82 percent of his arsenal. He also throws a changeup a lot.
The sinker is typically a pitch that one locates low in the strike zone or below it.
However, Wood ably distributes this pitch along different parts of the strike zone.
He does, though, tend to feature his slider low and along the edges of the strike zone, as heat maps show.
This is also true of his changeup, which, like his slider, creates a nice change of pace relative to his sinker.
I like Wood to thrive tonight because he is historically solid in Miami's venue where he yields a 2.92 ERA in 49.1 career innings.
Who Pitches for Miami?
Miami starts Sandy Alcantara who is a model of consistency.
Alcantara has allowed two earned runs or fewer in nine of his 10 starts this season.
Moreover, he has conceded one earned run or fewer in each of his past four starts.
Alcantara is so solid in terms of limiting opposing scoring despite the fact that he regularly goes deep into games.
He has thrown 25 out of 27 possible innings in his last three starts.
What Pitches Does Alcantara Throw?
Alcantara is consistent, thriving against opponents that match up even better against his pitches than the Giants do.
His four-pitch mixture -- he throws a fastball, changeup, slider, and sinker -- is dangerous because of how balanced it makes his arsenal.
He throws all four pitches with over 20 percent frequency and he doesn't throw a single pitch with as much as 28 percent frequency.
This level of variety makes him less predictable for opposing batters because they have more trouble discerning which pitch will approach them.
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Thursday, June 2, 2022 at 7:40 p.m. ET at American Family Field in Milwaukee
Who Pitches for the Padres?
San Diego starts Sean Manaea today.
Manaea is most well-known for his sinker, which he throws 60.5 percent of the time.
He locates this pitch well, distributing it evenly among different parts of the strike zone.
His pitch selection is intelligent because it is logical for a pitcher to throw his best stuff most often.
Manaea's sinker is clearly effective: opponents are batting .198 and slugging .372 against it.
Manaea vs. Brewer Batters
Regardless of what pitches Manaea throws, the Brewer lineup is already in bad shape for tonight's game because Manaea is a lefty.
With big-name batters like lefty Christian Yelich, the Brewers are more built to deal with right-handed pitching.
Plus, the Brewers still miss Hunter Renfroe who is not eligible for activation from the injured list until tomorrow.
Renfroe's presence would have been valuable tonight because he is slugging .750 against left-handed pitchers.
Manaea's other two favorite pitches are his slider and changeup.
Together, his sinker, slider, and changeup make up nearly 99 percent of the arsenal.
The biggest reason why I like Manaea tonight is that the Brewers rank 28thin slugging .289 against these three pitches from lefties.
Who Starts for the Brewers?
Milwaukee starts Adrian Houser who is slightly more balanced than Manaea in terms of pitch selection.
Houser, like Manaea, primarily relies on a sinker, although Houser doesn't throw this pitch quite as often.
His two favorite pitches are his fastball and sinker.
He matches up well against the Padres because they rank 27thin slugging against these two pitches from righties.
Moreover, Manny Machado is a huge part of the Padre offense, but he is 0-for-8 lifetime against Houser.
Best Bet: Parlay Giants/Marlins Under 7 at +100 & Padres/Brewers Under 8.5 at -123 at +263 odds with BetOnline
