***** Genius NFL Bombshells Week 6 *****

[The Capping Genius]

Week 5. 6-3.
Season 22-13 (62%)


Wanted to post a few early.



Thurs) Colts -2.5 +ML-145 over Houston. This is a double-revenge game for a Houston team that is starting off the season very well. But a year ago these two were on national TV when Kubiak collapsed on the field. Colts barely won that game as they needed 15 4th qtr points to over come Houston 27-24. It was also the first game for Indy without Reggie Wayne and it took a while for the Colts to adjust.
The second game last season was much different as the Colts buried Houston later in the season 25-3. They held Casy Keenum to a qb rating of only 42.3 and picked him for 2 ints. This game now should be somewhere in between those two scores with the Colts winning and covering this one.

Browns -1 +ML -128 over Steelers. Cleveland had their number in Pittsburgh a few weeks back in a game they should have won and now face the Steelers at home. Browns ended a long streak of losing road games by coming back to beat Tennessee last week, after trailing 28-3.
The Steelers showed a good effort beating the Jags and bouncing back after a home loss on a last-second touchdown to Tampa the week before. This is a time when the Browns are starting to look like a playoff contender, but will need to act like it by winning this one as this is a big division game. Ben Tate looked exceptional against Tennessee and was not available for the first Steeler matchup. Cleveland should dominate with the improved running game today.

 

[The Capping Genius]

Will add more plays here for Sunday

Bills +2.5 over Patriots. Pats rolled lw over Bengal team that was playing above their heads all season. I had NE and they didnt impress me very much. Now they travel to Buffalo to get another wake up call. The Pats have not looked solid in any game this season, Brady at times was unable to connect with his receivers. What we have here is a Bills team that is communicating very well and if not for 2 crucial turnovers that were turned into scores at Houston we'd be talking the Bills as a favorite here. Instead - we have them as a 2.5pt dog against a team that lacks that the consistent play they carried for years. Buffalo also played toe-to-toe with the Chargers a few weeks back in a 22-10 loss. The Bills killed themselves with minus 110 yds in penalties that killed drives that could have been scores. Buffalo could be sitting here at 4-1, at least - if not for the poor play at Houston. New England isnt as good as San Diego, or Houston at this time and you can expect the Bills to get the win here.

Carolina +7 over Bengals. Bengals are now a one dimension team without A.J.Green. He is out for this game,. Carolina has managed to show up lately and is 3-2. Seven (7) point Spread here is far too large to pass up. Big Red for Cincy, isnt yet in the category with Cutler, Flacco, or Big Ben, (the last three qb's Carolina faced) so this game is more manageable for the Panthers today. Like the ML a little here as they could upset as well. But Im taking the 7 as well and likely taking it to the bank.


Chargers -6.5 -120 over Raiders. Raiders are in disarray and will have a hard time competing with Rivers. Raiders are struggling to get 1st downs and that will turn into punts, that the Chargers will turn into scores.
SD is only allowing 17 1st downs per game on defense and all the teams were better than the Raiders. SD is also only allowing 13 points per game and is among the best in the NFL.


Best underdog bet on the board.
Dallas +9.5 -125 over Seattle. . Cowboys can score in any quarter while the Seahawks have scored over 11 points in the second half once of the 4 games they have played.


Washington +3.5 over Arizona. Skins have had a run against 3 teams that all played solid in the games against Washington. Now we have the Cards with Carson Palmer injured (bad shoulder) and Stanton who left the game last week with a concussion. Stanton is supposedly starting, but even at home he will have to be better than last week as they got their lunch eaten by Denver. The Card were out gained by over 350 total yards in Denver. Thats no accident, as they were unable to control the ball. If they fail to rebound at home, this one could be a SU win for the visitor.

 

[Tito]

agree on the Browns, gl this week :shake:

 

[CrackinThaCode]

like the colts call . wish you weren't on the cowboys as i like seattle. oh well GL

 

[The Capping Genius]

agree on the Browns, gl this week :shake:

Thanks Tito

like the colts call . wish you weren't on the cowboys as i like seattle. oh well GL

We cant all be on the same side. Best of luck to you as well.

 

[The Capping Genius]

added plays

 

[TreyDawg]

GL Genius

 

[The Capping Genius]

GL Genius

Thanks TD, get em today!

 

[~Utah]

health mate

 

[96825]

BOL Genius...:shake:... any advice on the Atl/Chic and NYG/Phil games...?

 

[The Capping Genius]

BOL Genius...:shake:... any advice on the Atl/Chic and NYG/Phil games...?

Checked in late. But no, dont have anything for those two. Thanks for asking

 

[The Capping Genius]

health mate

You homie. LOL
They finally beat Pig Ben. Pitt may be in for a bad run in the next three.:shake:

 

[The Capping Genius]

Rams ML +165 over San Fran.
Niners arent the same team as last year when they went into The Gateway City and crushed them 35-11. Backup QB Davis for Rams is good enough to keep the Rams in it all night. Loss of starter Bradford isnt like losing Manning or Brady so the Rams can still play competitvly now that they have a few games experience for Davis.

Last year the Niners were 7 point favorites with Bradford playing in St.Louis. Why is the line only 3.5 in the same place? Seems to me that you could have made this 9 without the starting qb playing. Something stinks and Im thinking that the Niners will still have road woes on the road again.
I dont need or want the points. Gimme the ML/

 

[emkee]

Rams ML +165 over San Fran.
Niners arent the same team as last year when they went into gateway Arch City and crushed them 35-11. Backup QB Davis for Rams is good enough to keep the Rams in it all night. Loss of starter Bradford isnt like losing Manning or Brady so the Rams can still play competitvly now that they have a few games experience for Davis.

Last year the Niners were 7 point favorites with Bradford playing in St.Louis. Why is the line only 3.5 in the same place? Seems to me that you could have made this 9 without the starting qb playing. Something stinks and Im thinking that the Niners will still have road woes on the road again.
I dont need or want the points. Gimme the ML/

Last season the Niners were 3-point faves in Archtown (7.5 home faves in the Bay), they were 7-point faves there back in 2012.

 

[The Capping Genius]

Last season the Niners were 3-point faves in Archtown (7.5 home faves in the Bay), they were 7-point faves there back in 2012.

Thanks for the correction. Still Doesnt change the play. As a matter iof fact that makes it stronger. From Bradford to Davis and no change?

SF is no where near who they weree ly.

Thanks for the feedback.

 

[emkee]

Rams' defense is also nowhere near it was last season.

 

[dolfan585]

Good luck was thinking of taking ML but that extra half point was too good to pass up. Let's cash it

 

[The Capping Genius]

Rams' defense is also nowhere near it was last season.

Maybe so, but MNF and home teams get happy. Im assuming you like SF. GL.