Game 6 of the first round - NBA discussion thread

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[TD="colspan: 8"]NBA BASKETBALL BASKETBALL - THU 5/1
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[TR="class: linesColumns"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, colspan: 4, align: center"]GAME[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]HANDICAP[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MONEY LINE[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]TOTAL POINTS[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MORE[/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Thu 5/1[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]521[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Indiana Pacers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-1 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.909[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 186.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]04:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]522[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Atlanta Hawks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+1 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 2.000[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 186.5 1.952[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Thu 5/1[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]525[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Oklahoma City Thunder[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-2.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 1.714[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 184 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]05:00 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]526[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Memphis Grizzlies[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+2.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 2.270[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 184 1.952[/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Thu 5/1[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]527[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Los Angeles Clippers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-1.5 1.990[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.885[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 209.5 1.980[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]07:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]528[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Golden State Warriors[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+1.5 1.917[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 2.020[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 209.5 1.926[/TD]
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<tbody style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; outline: 0px;">[TR="class: linesHeader"]
[TD="colspan: 8"][h=4]NBA BASKETBALL BASKETBALL - FRI 5/2[/h][/TD]
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[TR="class: linesColumns"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, colspan: 4, align: center"]GAME[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]HANDICAP[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MONEY LINE[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]TOTAL POINTS[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MORE[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Fri 5/2[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]531[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Toronto Raptors[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+5 1.917[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 2.840[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 191 1.926[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]04:00 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]532[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Brooklyn Nets[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-5 1.990[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.488[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 191 1.980[/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Fri 5/2[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]533[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]San Antonio Spurs[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-3 1.909[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 1.649[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 198.5 1.909[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]05:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]534[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Dallas Mavericks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+3 2.000[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"] 2.390[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 198.5 2.000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Fri 5/2[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]535[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Houston Rockets[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+3.5 2.000[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 2.550[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 213.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
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[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]07:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]536[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Portland Trail Blazers [/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-3.5 1.909[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"] 1.581[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 213.5 1.952[/TD]
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[divol]

I think it's a good idea to start betting the Unders already...

 

[nbafan88]

Kyle Lowry is gonna get PAID this off season. He has the most to play for on the raptors. No way he's staying in Toronto right?

 

[M.W.]

Indiana on the zigzag in what had been a perfect zigzag series.

Indy under in an elimination game in a venue where both games have gone under this total.

Memphis. 8-1-1 ATS and 7-3 SU vs. OKC in first round last 2 years. Westbrook and Brooks still clueless.

Memphis under in an elimination game in a venue where both games have gone under this total (excluding OT).

Lean to GSW,

 

[CASH]

what will keep the indy game under? i know it is an elimination game - indy hasn't been able to stop the hawks, the hawks lower scoring is their home tendancy.
what about free throws at the end of the game?? that would be a concern vs this number..

 

[austinhous]

home dog G6 17-5-1 to the under since 1995 and 13-3-1 to the under since 2005

 

[divol]

Took both Unders in Atlanta and in Memphis.

I think that there will be Game 7 in both games, both via Under.

Also don't know what to make of the game in Oracle Arena. Not sure how Clips will react and how GSW will play.
Took Under there as well, but small...

 

[emkee]

Brandon Lang

50 DIME PLAYOFF MONEY MOVE #5 IN A ROW

Grizzlies +2.5

Dammit.

 

[nbafan88]

if those refs dont keep you off atlanta, nothing will

<tbody>
[TD="colspan: 5"]Thu, May 01 Created: May 01,2014 05:00 PM ET [/TD]

[TD="class: tableTitle"]Game[/TD]
[TD="class: tableTitle"]Official 1[/TD]
[TD="class: tableTitle"]Official 2[/TD]
[TD="class: tableTitle"]Official 3[/TD]
[TD="class: tableTitle"]Alternate[/TD]

[TD="class: tableRowOdd"]Indiana @ Atlanta[/TD]
[TD="class: tableRowOdd"]Joe Crawford[/TD]
[TD="class: tableRowOdd"]Bennett Salvatore[/TD]
[TD="class: tableRowOdd"]Derrick Stafford[/TD]
[TD="class: tableRowOdd"]Mark Lindsay[/TD]

[TD="class: tableRowEven"]Oklahoma City @ Memphis[/TD]
[TD="class: tableRowEven"]Ken Mauer[/TD]
[TD="class: tableRowEven"]Ed Malloy[/TD]
[TD="class: tableRowEven"]Rodney Mott[/TD]
[TD="class: tableRowEven"]Tony Brown[/TD]

[TD="class: tableRowOdd"]L.A. Clippers @ Golden State[/TD]
[TD="class: tableRowOdd"]Monty McCutchen[/TD]
[TD="class: tableRowOdd"]John Goble[/TD]
[TD="class: tableRowOdd"]Bill Spooner[/TD]
[TD="class: tableRowOdd"]Bennie Adams[/TD]

</tbody>

 

[ManchesterUk]

Atl favoured by 1 over here now

 

[nbafan88]

the line crossing over zero scares me...

 

[nbafan88]

wow my local site has it a pk and 5d is at atl -2

now ive never seen that before

 

[BetCrimes1984]

I don't like the way the refs have called these 1st Round games. Never seen so many Overs sealed by mammoth scoring 4th periods which - outside of OT occurring - have doomed many an otherwise odds-on Under result. I've live total betting anyway, but normally Id go for the pre-game line where I suspected an easy slash solid Under, but not here. Just going to tread lightly, see if this shitty calling extends & affects the games where mammoth bursts of late scoring have not been the recent historical norm. The 2nd round onwards elim Unders are where its really at, sitting back now & seeing what transpires should clue us into whether those results can be expected to continue under present conditions.

 

[emkee]

Said it once and I'll say it again, memo from the commish is for high-scoring close games.

It's weird that in Silver's first season, the fans - I repeat the fans (not the gamblers) are getting what they want, points and competitiveness.

 

[BetCrimes1984]

Prefacing the following with, yes, they're reg. season stats so take them for what they're worth as applied to the playoff-here-&-now...

Dallas has only once lost 3 straight games this season: The 3rd game in that instance was on the road.

Playing @home this season off 2 SU losses in their previous 2 games, Dallas has gone 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS (2-0 SU & ATS vs. Western teams that made the playoffs), their only loss by 1 basket (won by 7 pts laying 8.0). In these 6 games, they conceded an average of 95.8 ppg against an average opponent TT of 99.5. These games went 4-2 to Under, averaging 200.3 ppg against an average total line of 206.0. Barring the total biases of the presently unknown officiating crew, it would seem at minimum this spot for Dallas plays into the elimination game Under spot.

 

[BetCrimes1984]

As far as the Spurs go (again referencing reg. season stats), the thing that stands out to me is the following -

For their first 50 reg. season games, their splits for points conceded in regulation looked as follows:

0-92 pts .... 16 times - 32.0%
93-99 pts .. 15 times - 30.0%
100+ pts ... 19 times - 38.0%

Over their last 32 reg. season games:

0-92 pts .... 12 times - 37.5%
93-99 pts .. 1 time ----- 3.1%
100+ pts ... 19 times - 59.4%

Where initially there was a fairly even distribution of the quality of their defensive efforts, over the latter stages of the reg. season the situation has turned into pretty much an all-or-nothing situation. This latter tendency has duly manifested itself in this series to date: 5 games in & Dallas has managed 3 scores north of 100 pts and 2 sub-90 totals.

This now 37 game long tendency (with it's 1 exception) has obvious implications for Game 6. It could well be clear early on which defensive version of the Spurs is present.

 

[B.A.R.]

As far as the Spurs go (again referencing reg. season stats), the thing that stands out to me is the following -

For their first 50 reg. season games, their splits for points conceded in regulation looked as follows:

0-92 pts .... 16 times - 32.0%
93-99 pts .. 15 times - 30.0%
100+ pts ... 19 times - 38.0%

Over their last 32 reg. season games:

0-92 pts .... 12 times - 37.5%
93-99 pts .. 1 time ----- 3.1%
100+ pts ... 19 times - 59.4%

Where initially there was a fairly even distribution of the quality of their defensive efforts, over the latter stages of the reg. season the situation has turned into pretty much an all-or-nothing situation. This latter tendency has duly manifested itself in this series to date: 5 games in & Dallas has managed 3 scores north of 100 pts and 2 sub-90 totals.

This now 37 game long tendency (with it's 1 exception) has obvious implications for Game 6. It could well be clear early on which defensive version of the Spurs is present.

Great research

 

[BetCrimes1984]

Thnx, Bar. Dealing with live betting in general, we all should hope Dallas doesn't produce a middling 1st period team total. Either sub-20 or high 20s would be ideal, to get a good Spurs defensive read re this tendency of theirs.

 

[divol]

I like Nets, Dallas and Houston here.

I feel that Game 7 will be in Houston and even if not, 4 points can be a lot in such a tight series.

I also believe that Nets should win this one, though I'm a bit worrid to lay 5 points, with Nets far from easy wins against the Raptors.

Dallas have yet to lose a line in this series and that tells a lot imho. Obviously Spurs can win this one and I'm still thinking of this bet.

For now, took 5 points teaser on all three.

 

[nbafan88]

I like the nets, Dallas and Portland.

 

[nbafan88]

The ref crew in Brooklyn is a group that should want to extend the series....

 

[emkee]

Lang on the Mavs +3.

This douche on the Spurs -3...

 

[Retburj13]