Gamble & Grind: NFL Week 12

[rambler882]

Week 1: 3-10, -7.67u
Week 2: 8-2, +8.00u
Week 3: 6-3, +4.71u
Week 4: 9-4, +5.41u
Week 5: 7-6, +.19u
Week 6: 3-7, -5.55u
Week 7: 5-9, -.83u
Week 8: 6-10, -5.36u
Week 9: 5-9, +.02u
Week 10: 8-9, +2.01u
Week 11: 8-10, -4.31u
Season: 68-79, -3.38u

Bears / CLOSED, 1.1u -104
Bears -6. 1u -108
Broncos +3.5, 2u -102
Buccaneers +4, 1u -115
Buccaneers o23.5, 1.5u -115
Colts +4, 1u -115
Cowboys 2H o10, .75u +100
Eagles +1.5, 1u -105
Eagles ML, 2u -113
Forty Niners -3, 3u -118
Rams +3.5, 1.5u -118
Tevin Coleman o71.5 yards, 1u -145

 

[rambler882]

Reviewed every angle on TNF and really cannot find one that pushes me to put a wager out there. The Mack injury is bigger than folks think. The Texans secondary is pretty trash though so they don't gain a big edge and Colts OL is real.

The piece that is worth noting is Texans embarrassed, Colts blow out win, you'd think there would be more perception in Colts favor but since Watson is the house hold name....people are acting like he can't lose 2x in a row.

Going to keep thinking.

 

[austinhous]

Watson is the house hold name....people are acting like he can't lose 2x in a row.

Steve Smith and Michael Irvin just said the same, exact thing on TV.. except unlike you, they used a Superman analogy.

 

[rambler882]

Steve Smith and Michael Irvin just said the same, exact thing on TV.. except unlike you, they used a Superman analogy.

Hah! I'm probably going to lob out a wager on the Colts because I need something to do tonight

 

[rambler882]

Colts +4, 1u -115

 

[rambler882]

Buccaneers +4, 1u -115
Buccaneers o23.5, 1u -115
Eagles ML, 2u -113
Rams +3.5, 1u -120

 

[B.A.R.]

Have a solid lil Sunday

 

[rambler882]

Finalizing card in a bit. Girlfriend playing christmas music is distracting haha.

 

[ProV1Colt]

Its the Most Wonderful Time of the Year

 

[rambler882]

Finalized card above. The last few left off are Raiders and Panthers. If Raiders didn't have Chiefs on deck I might have pulled the trigger. Still time for me to float a unit on each of course.

Bears - their defense is still top 10, they've had a top 10 SoS while Giants bottom 3. Last year Bears thrived on turnovers and with Daniel Jones at the helm I see at least 2. Yes Barkely and no Hicks run defense blah blah. Let's not forget the Giants have a trash defense and you could say the Bears can't take advantage of it but I refuse to think they can't based on last year results and them vs. other bad defenses this year. With a good kicker the Bears have 2 more wins right now.

Broncos - love this matchup. Broncos strengths go against Bills weaknesses and Bills strengths go against Broncos strengths across offense & defense. Plain and simple.

Bucs - buy low versus a terrible pass defense. Jameis versus bad to mediocre teams I love getting points. Versus good to great teams, fade Jameis (in general). Falcons surprised the Saints and then Allen had the worst game of the season. Falcons a bit over valued and I like the Bucs to show up here. Enough to play them.

Eagles - Seahawks defense is overrated and there is always Russ magic. Well, the Eagles should control the clock while being able to have no problem moving it through the air or ground. It boils down to keeping Russ in check and I like the Eagles have gotten healthier in the secondary and their run defense is rarely an issue. Fading some perception here of the Seahawks being a complete team.

Niners - buying low and their defense will show up in prime time vs. Packers. Meanwhile, the Packers biggest weakness is the Niners biggest strength OL+run game and with the coaching mismatch I love the Niners. Paying the juice for a key number. Rodgers is great, but let's see how he is under consistent pressure.

Rams - this is entirely instinct and the fact the Rams are healthy on offense. Their defense is pretty damn special after acquiring Ramsey so this is just one that I need fire on.

 

[rambler882]

Jags were another one I reallllly wanted to play. BOL All and thanks for swingin by

 

[rambler882]

Cowboys 2H o10, .75u +100

adding unit to niners.

 

[HUNT]

Gl my dude

 

[rambler882]

Tevin Coleman o71.5 yards, 1u -145

 

[rambler882]

Tevin Coleman o71.5 yards, 1u -145

What a dumb bet

 

[rambler882]

5-6, -1.07u on the week. Stupid prop bet still under my skin.

Rams +3.5 for 1.5u remaining. Feel like hammering this more hah.

 

[rambler882]

Rams +14.5 live, 1u -125

 

[rambler882]

Woof. Just cant get it going this year. Sorry all

 

[rambler882]

Week 1: 3-10, -7.67u
Week 2: 8-2, +8.00u
Week 3: 6-3, +4.71u
Week 4: 9-4, +5.41u
Week 5: 7-6, +.19u
Week 6: 3-7, -5.55u
Week 7: 5-9, -.83u
Week 8: 6-10, -5.36u
Week 9: 5-9, +.02u
Week 10: 8-9, +2.01u
Week 11: 8-10, -4.31u
Week 12: 5-8, -4.1u
Season: 73-87, -7.48u