Gamble & Grind: CFB Week 13

[rambler882]

Week 1: 3-10, -7.78u
Week 2: 5-4, +0.57u
Week 3: 10-4, +6.9u
Week 4: 8-7, -1.05u
Week 5: 6-9, -2.84u
Week 6: 7-9, -2.63u
Week 7: 10-3, +6.6u
Week 8: 2-13, -12.96u
Week 9: 9-7, +.81u
Week 10: 8-8, -.8u
Week 11: 6-10, -5.05u
Week 12: 8-5, +5.08
Season: 82-89, -13.15u

1u
Arizona St. +14, -108
Boston College +21, -105
Central Florida -6, -108
Michigan -9.5, -120
Michigan -3 / CLOSED, -115
Penn St. +18.5, -102
Texas +6, -118
Texas A&M +13, -104
Tulsa -2.5, -115
UCLA +13, -108
Western Kentucky +3.5, -102
SMU +10 / OPEN, -115
Liberty o18.5, -110
Ball St. -3, -125

.75u
Wyoming o28, -110

 

[rambler882]

Action play:

Wyoming o28, .75u -110

 

[rambler882]

1u
Arizona St. +14, -108
Boston College +21, -105
Central Florida -6, -108
Michigan -3 / CLOSED, -115
Penn St. +18.5, -102
Texas +6, -118
Texas A&M +13, -104
Tulsa -2.5, -115
UCLA +13, -108
Western Kentucky +3.5, -102

 

[rambler882]

SMU +10 / OPEN, 1u -115

 

[rambler882]

Liberty o18.5, 1u -110

 

[rambler882]

Ball St. -3, 1u -125

 

[rambler882]

Michigan -9.5, 1u -120

 

[rambler882]

Gotta get out the door here but some quick hitters.

Michigan - defense is rolling and Indiana is a bit overrated by my watch. Michgan should have success on offense as well with a more balanced attack and Indiana should be limited. Terrible spot for Michigan but I'm going for it anyway.

Texas - defense has been thrashed all year but are getting healthier and looked a bit better versus Iowa St. Baylor could/maybe be a bit down after the loss but I don't see that as a great angle hardly ever. This is a play on giving too many points to a good squad that tends to keep it close. I do love Ehlinger.

Arizona St. - This is mostly a "feel" game because the numbers favor Oregon in just about every facet. What I do like is ASU's run defense here to limit the Oregon offense. 14 is too much on the road for me with a solid coach and QB for ASU.

Boston College - I don't trust Notre Dame defense to shut down this run game. 21 is a big 'ol number.

Penn St. & Texas A&M are two very solid teams getting too many points in my book. Ohio St. could win by 1,000, sure. This is the time of year that these double digit dogs keep it close when pressure is heightened and stakes are big.

Western Kentucky pass defense gives them the edge in this matchup I think but SoS kept this from being a 2u bang job.

Ball St. should run wild. Fuck you Kent St. for that bs win against Buffalo as well.

I have a man crush on Liberty's offense and 18.5 just seems a little short. UVA has been a different defense without Hall.

 

[rambler882]

Thanks for stopping by all.

 

[Ryno14]

BOL, Rambler.

 

[rambler882]

Pretty pretty pretty bad beat with UCF. Rough.

 

[rambler882]

Week 1: 3-10, -7.78u
Week 2: 5-4, +0.57u
Week 3: 10-4, +6.9u
Week 4: 8-7, -1.05u
Week 5: 6-9, -2.84u
Week 6: 7-9, -2.63u
Week 7: 10-3, +6.6u
Week 8: 2-13, -12.96u
Week 9: 9-7, +.81u
Week 10: 8-8, -.8u
Week 11: 6-10, -5.05u
Week 12: 8-5, +5.08
Week 13: 7-7, -.62u
Season: 89-96, -13.77u

Not a terrible week as the plays I really liked hit but I was not going to go beyond 1u anywhere but all good. Still feel like I'm seeing things solid just not able to string together a big week like I typically do.