G-Man
Pretty much a regular
NOT MUCH CHANGED FROM A YEAR AGO.
Team with the tougher schedule won and covered.
The line for this game is pulling NE ,noney, but IMO that line is small when considering who played the Patriots.
Im gonna copy and paste my writeup on last years SB as reference to why Im betting on Seattle.
I wil make points on those comparisons for this years game. Not all the points are the same, but the imoportant ones are noted.
Last year:
Betting against the lowest plus-scoring SB team as a favorie - as KC is only a 23 point offense and a 19 pt defense and only a +4 in scoring. Last year 2024, KC was a plus+5 scoring team.
Eagles are a 28.5pt offense and a 17.5 pt defense. They are also 6 points better than the entire league averages.
Philly is also the #2 ranked defense in the NFL.
No mtter how you look at this - the Chiefs are on the road. Which is where the Bills stuffed them.
The Eagles have too much offensive scoring and a better defense regardless of where they play.
Philly shut down the best running QB in the league last game with Washington and Mahomes won't get away from the Eagles defense.
In addition, NO ONE can stop Philly on 4th and one anywhere on the field.
Lastly - lets never forget how they won last year with SF key defensive starter going out and that infamous SF turnover, (which gave KC the ball in the SF redzone) while SF was leading in the third quarter, that gave KC a free TD.
They were outplayed last year by SF until that huge gift, and they're not as good as their record and the stats show it.
Last time these two met was in 2023 @ Kansas City - - and Philly won 21-17.
Key Fact! Philly won 7 of 9 road games this year, by an average of 28.6 to 19.4.
Eagles 1stQ -150. +0.5 10 units
Eagles 2nd Q. -135 +0.5 10 units
Eagles 3rd Q. -145 +0.5. 10 units
Eagles 4th Q. -130 +0.5. 10 units
Eagles 1H. -125. +0.5. 10 units
Eagles GM. +2 25 units
Lets finish strong!
BOL to all.
Seattle/Patriots.
What team that was 4-13 the prior year - made it to the SB and won the next year???
Thats one point. The sudden change is going against histpry- for NE to win.
Versus 3 playoff games.
Seattle cored 36 and allowed only 16. > Thats a PLUS 19pts.
New England scored 18- amd allowed 8. >Thats a PLUS 10 Points. 2 of the 3 games were won on 7 Turnovers.
NE was lucky to beat Houston with Five (5) Houston turnovers. Even with all those, they still only outgained Houston by 7 total yds!
The Chargers were the second lowest scoring team in the playoffs. So no big win there?
IN Denver - who was one of the worst defenses in the playoffs vs playoff teams, they managed 10 points and the TD was on a turnover giving NE field position in Denver red zone..? Denver had 2 turnovers in that game. Yet NE only had 206 total yds on offesnse against them.
Vs Buffalo, NE won game #1 on three (3) Bills turnovers. Buffalo won the rematch.
Buffalo lost in the Playoffs because they didnt play defense like they had earlier on the year. Thats what got their coach fired. The Bills gifted Denver that game on FIVE(5) Bills turnovers as well and Buffalo still out gained Denver by 100 yds. How did the Pats do against Denver??? Not much....
IN road games during the regular season NE didnt play one playoff team except Buffalo. That was the game with three (3) Bills TO's. Like I mentioned they Beat Denver 2 weeks ago on a turnover TD.
NE won this season because of soft schedules and turnover games. The Chiefs were much like them last year and beating weaker teams. If NE faced those teams a year ago - this year - they wouldnt have made the playoffs.
But when facing a team like Seattle - who has a dominating NO#1 defense and the best offense, the Pats are in trouble. Especially trying to catch up/ If you look at all the teams NE has played...Not one team was anywhere near as good as Seattle is. No ONE!
As far as Im concerned, the Patroits backed into this game because of fortunate turnovers by the opponents and also because the Bills also gave Denver 5 gifts. Other wise the Bills would and should be here.
If that was the case, Buffalo would also lose to Seattle., But would score way more than what New England will in this game.
Other points.
Before this game, the division games also revealed more scoring advantages.
I posted the scoring pluses for all teams in the division games.
The Patroits were a plus 5.25 team. and that doesnt include the last game with Denver.
Seattle was a plus 9.25 team and that doesnt include the game with the Rams.
The drop off was severe for New England with its 10-7 win in Denver, While Seattle s win was again high scoring and more reflective of who they are. No drop off for Seattle, especially since they faced the Rams who again choked because of McVey .
So my Play is Seattle. Just the same as Philly last year.
Seahwaks ML -230. 25 units. Full game.
Seattle
1st QTR ML -150. 10 units
2nd QTR ML-160. 10 units
1st half ML-180. 10 units
Pending. Will post at half time if playing these qtrs.
3rd Qtr .
4the qtr..
BOL to all.
Team with the tougher schedule won and covered.
The line for this game is pulling NE ,noney, but IMO that line is small when considering who played the Patriots.
Im gonna copy and paste my writeup on last years SB as reference to why Im betting on Seattle.
I wil make points on those comparisons for this years game. Not all the points are the same, but the imoportant ones are noted.
Last year:
Betting against the lowest plus-scoring SB team as a favorie - as KC is only a 23 point offense and a 19 pt defense and only a +4 in scoring. Last year 2024, KC was a plus+5 scoring team.
Eagles are a 28.5pt offense and a 17.5 pt defense. They are also 6 points better than the entire league averages.
Philly is also the #2 ranked defense in the NFL.
No mtter how you look at this - the Chiefs are on the road. Which is where the Bills stuffed them.
The Eagles have too much offensive scoring and a better defense regardless of where they play.
Philly shut down the best running QB in the league last game with Washington and Mahomes won't get away from the Eagles defense.
In addition, NO ONE can stop Philly on 4th and one anywhere on the field.
Lastly - lets never forget how they won last year with SF key defensive starter going out and that infamous SF turnover, (which gave KC the ball in the SF redzone) while SF was leading in the third quarter, that gave KC a free TD.
They were outplayed last year by SF until that huge gift, and they're not as good as their record and the stats show it.
Last time these two met was in 2023 @ Kansas City - - and Philly won 21-17.
Key Fact! Philly won 7 of 9 road games this year, by an average of 28.6 to 19.4.
Eagles 1stQ -150. +0.5 10 units
Eagles 2nd Q. -135 +0.5 10 units
Eagles 3rd Q. -145 +0.5. 10 units
Eagles 4th Q. -130 +0.5. 10 units
Eagles 1H. -125. +0.5. 10 units
Eagles GM. +2 25 units
Lets finish strong!
BOL to all.
Seattle/Patriots.
What team that was 4-13 the prior year - made it to the SB and won the next year???
Thats one point. The sudden change is going against histpry- for NE to win.
Versus 3 playoff games.
Seattle cored 36 and allowed only 16. > Thats a PLUS 19pts.
New England scored 18- amd allowed 8. >Thats a PLUS 10 Points. 2 of the 3 games were won on 7 Turnovers.
NE was lucky to beat Houston with Five (5) Houston turnovers. Even with all those, they still only outgained Houston by 7 total yds!
The Chargers were the second lowest scoring team in the playoffs. So no big win there?
IN Denver - who was one of the worst defenses in the playoffs vs playoff teams, they managed 10 points and the TD was on a turnover giving NE field position in Denver red zone..? Denver had 2 turnovers in that game. Yet NE only had 206 total yds on offesnse against them.
Vs Buffalo, NE won game #1 on three (3) Bills turnovers. Buffalo won the rematch.
Buffalo lost in the Playoffs because they didnt play defense like they had earlier on the year. Thats what got their coach fired. The Bills gifted Denver that game on FIVE(5) Bills turnovers as well and Buffalo still out gained Denver by 100 yds. How did the Pats do against Denver??? Not much....
IN road games during the regular season NE didnt play one playoff team except Buffalo. That was the game with three (3) Bills TO's. Like I mentioned they Beat Denver 2 weeks ago on a turnover TD.
NE won this season because of soft schedules and turnover games. The Chiefs were much like them last year and beating weaker teams. If NE faced those teams a year ago - this year - they wouldnt have made the playoffs.
But when facing a team like Seattle - who has a dominating NO#1 defense and the best offense, the Pats are in trouble. Especially trying to catch up/ If you look at all the teams NE has played...Not one team was anywhere near as good as Seattle is. No ONE!
As far as Im concerned, the Patroits backed into this game because of fortunate turnovers by the opponents and also because the Bills also gave Denver 5 gifts. Other wise the Bills would and should be here.
If that was the case, Buffalo would also lose to Seattle., But would score way more than what New England will in this game.
Other points.
Before this game, the division games also revealed more scoring advantages.
I posted the scoring pluses for all teams in the division games.
The Patroits were a plus 5.25 team. and that doesnt include the last game with Denver.
Seattle was a plus 9.25 team and that doesnt include the game with the Rams.
The drop off was severe for New England with its 10-7 win in Denver, While Seattle s win was again high scoring and more reflective of who they are. No drop off for Seattle, especially since they faced the Rams who again choked because of McVey .
So my Play is Seattle. Just the same as Philly last year.
Seahwaks ML -230. 25 units. Full game.
Seattle
1st QTR ML -150. 10 units
2nd QTR ML-160. 10 units
1st half ML-180. 10 units
Pending. Will post at half time if playing these qtrs.
3rd Qtr .
4the qtr..
BOL to all.
