*****G-Man's Road To tThe Super Bowl Plays*****

G-Man

Pretty much a regular
Washington +6 over Eagles. 20 units
They are 1-1 headsup this year.
There is a big factor to consider for this game based on the prior two played.
I game one at Philly , the Commanders lost 26-18. Low scoring...win margin of 8 points.
Hurts and Barkley both played the entire game.

In game two. Hurts was out and Washington won in Washington 36-33.
Philly QB was Pickett and he wasnt much - going 14/23 for 143 yds. Barkley was solid with 26 carries for 150 yds.

The main reason thet Philly scored 33 points was because the Commanders had five (5) turnovers. Otherwise, the game wasn't close.

What is important is that the second game was more revaling of what Daniles can do with a second chance.
He was 24/39 for 258 yds passing with five(50 Touschdowns! He had 2 ints and the Commanders had 3 other turnovers.

Here is another factor to know. In game one, Philly was favored by 4.5. In game two - theywere favored gain by 4 points.
That alone tells me thet this 6 point line is completely geared towards public perception being sky high on Philly.
Location isnt enough for a change to increase the line to 6 when both prior gamess were lined at 4- 4.5 which included the game in Philly with both Hurts and Barkley starting!
I had Philly and Buffalo as my Super Bowl teams. But now with this head-to-head matchup for a third time with Washington, if the Commanders can stop the turnovers, we could see a Wild Card team in the Super Bowl!
I like the points!


Buffalo +2. over KC. 25 units
Both teams are the same as when they played earlier in the season on Nov 17th.
Last yeat the same January matchup was at KC with a 2.5 line. For this game KC is favored by 2.
IN last year's gane KC ran the ball to victory. mahomes awas avarage at best going 17/23 for 215 yds.
FWIW this yeat the Chiefs are being out gamined in all threee important categories this year.
Per Play - They allow more yds rush then they produce, More yds per play than they produce and more yds per pass completion than they produce. One year ago they were better.
In those same categories, the Bill are way more effective.
Buffalo runs the ball for 5.8 yds while only allowing 3.5, Per play they are 7.0 to 5.5 and per pass they are 8.44 to 6.7.
All of the numbers are better than all of KC's.

LAST WEEK the Chiefs were horrible vs Houston.

The Chiefs had only 50 yds rushing, 162 yds passing and only 14 first downs. 3 of the first downs were on fake roughing calls for 15 yds. They only put up 23 points! Those stats are usually from a team that loses the game.. KC was out yarded all day.

The Bills were far better against a better team with the Ravens - than what KC faced withHouston, which coud never be confused with a Corvette. ("My Couisn Vinny") LOL
No third trip to the "Big Dance" for KC this time.
 
With you on the Bills.

As far as Philly. It all depends on how healthy Jalen is and if he’s able to be mobile. If he is, this Eagles offense will shred Washington both on the ground and in the air if needed. Saquon will get over 100yds fairly easily. The Eagles have already seen Daniels twice. They will not be surprised by him and Fangio will have a plan. As long as Hurts knee doesn’t severely hamper is movement, Eagles win by more than a TD. In addition , Washington was VERY cocky in the game they (barely) won. The fans are talking taking over the Linc. They fucked with the Rocky statue. Most of the money is on Washington. The Eagles don’t take disrespect lightly. Washington is going to be in over their heads.

However if Hurts is immobile, it’s a coin flip.
 
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With you on the Bills.

As far as Philly. It all depends on how healthy Jalen is and if he’s able to be mobile. If he is, this Eagles offense will shred Washington both on the ground and in the air if needed. Saquon will get over 100yds fairly easily. The Eagles have already seen Daniels twice. They will not be surprised by him and Fangio will have a plan. As long as Hurts knee doesn’t severely hamper is movement, Eagles win by more than a TD. In addition , Washington was VERY cocky in the game they (barely) won. The fans are talking taking over the Linc. They fucked with the Rocky statue. Most of the money is on Washington. The Eagles don’t take disrespect lightly. Washington is going to be in over their heads.

However if Hurts is immobile, it’s a coin flip.

Well Hurts ran like Deer last week and as far as the injury gos it wasn't visible.
In regards to run all over them?
You might want to know that Washington is the seciond best run game with a152 yds per game as to Philly has 184 yds per game.
This game will come down to who is the better passer IMO.
Plus - what many haven't noticed - as I wrote it - The Commannders rolled up 36 points in the second of two games between them which is being ignored by the public. In addition that was with Wash having FIVE (5) turnovers.
IN this game it would take Philly more than 35 points to win this based on the improvement that Daniels made facing them a second time.

As a rookie, Daniels is better than Mahomes in his rookie year. He is one of only 5 other QB's to make it to the Conference Champiosship game as a rookie.
Only Shawn King, Flacco, Big Ben, Sanchez and Purdy are the only QB's is history to make it. They went 5-0 SU and ATS and made it to the Superbowl.

You can discount that Philly had Pickett in starting as a backup in game two - but you can't discount that the Philly defense was hammered.
Just ask Detroit. Who WAS the top seed and got beat at home.

Im looking for the cover. If they win great if not great. Just to cover is what I bet.


IF The Public was on Wash, the line would moved against them. According to the "Public Perception" - Vegas moves the line to balance the action???? It opened at 4.5 and went to 6,
The action is on the Eagles.

In addition, both teams won their home games. The line was Philly -4 in Philly... and Philly -4 in Washington.

Lastly, these two teams are a ride around the block apart...by location.

Explain why after the Commanders rolled up 33 points on the Eagles in the 2nd reg season game which was on mov, 17 why they are a bigger dog now.

If anything, Wash has beat better teams than what Philly did in this game to get here.
Wash beat NFC #1 seed Champ Detroit in Detroit! ? and Tampa in Tampa?
Tampa beat Detroit and Green Bay.

Tampa beat Detroit and if Philly did that, they would be a bigger favorite. But Philly only had to beat GB and the Rams. Both of which lost to Detroit.


The line is set on where the public perception moved it to.
Which can only indicate that Vegas has made the line bigger on Washington to take advantage of the public believers that Philly is far better.
They're not as good as Detroit or they would have made the line -8 like it was there.

Your points about respect are well taken but playing on the fireld is what matters. Not who mocked the statue in Philly.
As far a "Cocly" It seems thats they said that about Mahomes a few years ago also. Know you know the rest of the story! - Good Day!
 
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The injury happened later in the game and there was a noticeable difference in his movement after. Basically all he did was turn and hand the ball off.

Washington certainly did score against this defense. Can’t deny that. I’m banking on Fangio, in his now THIRD time seeing this offense making the appropriate adjustments. We all know that rookie QBs often have a sophomore slump… that is because the league makes adjustments once they become familiar with a player. The Eagles have the advantage of seeing them as much as anyone.

So Philly is as -4 both games. Washington is coming off 2 impressive wins and is easily the public darling of the playoffs. Eagles coming off 2 ho hum wins and now Philly is -6….. tells me all I need to know

Trust me, I hate being against you here as you have been on a roll. I just think the Commanders’run ends here. But if Jalen is hampered by the knee, all bets are off.
 
The injury happened later in the game and there was a noticeable difference in his movement after. Basically all he did was turn and hand the ball off.

Washington certainly did score against this defense. Can’t deny that. I’m banking on Fangio, in his now THIRD time seeing this offense making the appropriate adjustments. We all know that rookie QBs often have a sophomore slump… that is because the league makes adjustments once they become familiar with a player. The Eagles have the advantage of seeing them as much as anyone.

So Philly is as -4 both games. Washington is coming off 2 impressive wins and is easily the public darling of the playoffs. Eagles coming off 2 ho hum wins and now Philly is -6….. tells me all I need to know

Trust me, I hate being against you here as you have been on a roll. I just think the Commanders’run ends here. But if Jalen is hampered by the knee, all bets are off.
All I want is a cover. You can have the SU win. I actually picked Buffalo and Philly in the SB.
BOL to you.
 
“As a rookie, Daniels is better than Mahomes in his rookie year. He is one of only 5 other QB's to make it to the Conference Champiosship game as a rookie.
Only Shawn King, Flacco, Big Ben, Sanchez and Purdy are the only QB's is history to make it. They went 5-0 SU and ATS and made it to the Superbowl.”


I need to know if you’re calling Mahomes rookie season 2017 or 2018. Because if you’re talking about the season he didn’t play, you’re right. If you’re talking about 2018, that’s a bold take.
 
“As a rookie, Daniels is better than Mahomes in his rookie year. He is one of only 5 other QB's to make it to the Conference Champiosship game as a rookie.
Only Shawn King, Flacco, Big Ben, Sanchez and Purdy are the only QB's is history to make it. They went 5-0 SU and ATS and made it to the Superbowl.”


I need to know if you’re calling Mahomes rookie season 2017 or 2018. Because if you’re talking about the season he didn’t play, you’re right. If you’re talking about 2018, that’s a bold take.
I’ve heard this same opinion out in the media a lot lately. I’m not denying Daniels isn’t special. He is. Dude is very talented and really composed. I don’t know how statistically they match up, but not sure I’d put him on Mahomes 2018 yet.
 
I’ve heard this same opinion out in the media a lot lately. I’m not denying Daniels isn’t special. He is. Dude is very talented and really composed. I don’t know how statistically they match up, but not sure I’d put him on Mahomes 2018 yet.

Comparing a true rookie year to a guy who didn’t sniff the field until the last week is apples and organges. He also inherited a double digit win team in his second year.

Mahomes 2018 was unreal though, and he’s far from that form now. Rookie comparisons however it’s irrelevant. 2018 Best season ever? Possibly up there with the Brady 18-1.
 
I’ve heard this same opinion out in the media a lot lately. I’m not denying Daniels isn’t special. He is. Dude is very talented and really composed. I don’t know how statistically they match up, but not sure I’d put him on Mahomes 2018 yet.
His rookie year was one game 2017.
Mahome lost the 2018 AFC championship game to the Patriots.
 
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