****G-Man's NFL Week 4 ****

Sunday

Jets -8 over Denver. 5 units

Nix has zero passing Td's this year. His QB rating is low @ 61.8
Facing Jets defense should be trouble - especially with those DB's.
The Jets have the 4th best defense in passing and that could be he difference.

Colts +1.5 over Steelers. 4 units
The Steelers dont score TD's and are the lowest scoring team in the NFL with 1 TD in the first 2 games and won both games on turnovers. They beat a Chatrgers team that has no QB as they have been held to the lowest passing yds on the season averaging 128 passing yds per game on the season.

Atlanta -2.5 over Saints. 5 units
Lady luck has left the building/
The Saints came back down to earth.
Their wins were against Dallas which was ranked 30th on defense and Carolina, who can barely put up first downs and who is ranked 32nd on defense.
Carr is still Carr and Phily held him to 12 points in his home dome and to only 130 yds passing!.

Atlanta ranks 13th on defense and thats including a terrible week one - in which they held the Steelers to 6 FG's and zero TD's. Atlanta also coughed up 3 turnover gifts to Pitt to lose and weren't ready to open the season.
In week 2 and 3 they were great - beating the Eagles who just smoked the Saints last week, and nearly beating KC, but still holding the mighty Chiefs to 22 points.
Im betting on Cousins not Carr.

Green Bay -2.5 over Minnesota . 3 units
Sam Darnold has been reborn. His QB rating is among tops in the league. Granted he did it against the weak Giants and Houston but held up well vs SF.
The Pack has been fortunate as they have 1 turnover in 3 games while getting 9 turnovers from its first three opponents.
Vikes also benefited getting 6 turnovers from the first 3 opponents including 2 from SF. In addition SF was without McCaffrey and he is 50% of that offense.

The Packers have enough to win this. They are the #1 Rushing team in the NFL averaging 204 yds per game. QB Willis runs well, if he starts. > Check status on Love.
The Vikings have the #2 run defense and that will have to stand up for them to win. I doubt it.

Chicago -3 over Rams. 3 units.
The Bears defense is solid and has the 7th best pass defense.
The Rams are the worst being 30th vs the run and 29th vs the pass.

Tampa +1 over Eagles. 2 units
Under 42. 2 units

Philly has two wr's OUT. Scoring will be limited.

Arizona -3.5 over Washington. 4 units.
Better defense with AZ. AZ is a better team than Cincy who Wash faced last week.
The Bengals were so bad that Washington never punted one time. That will change in Arizona .
Washington has allowed 29 points per game. Most of any team with a winning record.


SF -10 over New England. 4 units.

Pats can't score. Only 13pts per game. A bad number to be playing SF on the road.

Browns -ML -145 over Raiders. 1 init.
They still have a decent defense. "Ghetto Watson" has to run for them to win.
Season ends today if Cle loses.

Back later.
 
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I was in casino parking lot and heard a group a morons talking bout how much they loved Steelers. That was enough to keep me off Steelers! Lol. Your colts play should be good!!
 
I think cle chances of being competitive went out the window when they gave that clown Watson the huge contract, they are better when he doesn’t play! Nobody likes him! That said I think raiders best player on each side the ball out, without Adams or Crosby just not sure they have enough? there just no way I bet on a Watson lead team. Raiders winning this week is almost as raiders thing to do as losing last week was! Just a pass for me tho. Gl
 
Monday Nighters.

Tennessee +3 (-125) over Miami 5 units

Seattle +4.5 over Detroit. 5 units
Seattle ML+170. 2 units
Under 47 Seattle. 2 units

Going with the two better passing defenses as both dogs are ranked #1 and #3 vs the pass.
Miami is the lowest scoring team in the league and a backup QB wont be enough against the defense of Tennessee.
Imagne that a team with 3 losses (Tenn) has only allowed 139 yds passing per game to 3 top passing QB's - GB, Jets. and upcoming Bears! and gets to play a team that is a fraction of what they are now when Tago is out at QB.

In Detroit - Seattle arrives with the better defense as well, ranked #4 overall and #1 against the pass.
Put any other name in this slot with those numbers and the Lions would be the dog.
KC doesnt have these numbers and would be favored. Same with Minny, SF and Baltimore.
 
Respect your plays Gmen. I just don’t know how much faith we can put in Seattle defensive stats based on their questionable level of competition so far…. But I guess we’ll find out tonight
 
Season.16-26-1 . -3880.00.

Thursday
Dallas -5 over Giants. 3 units..............PUSH
More Sun
Sunday

Jets -8 over Denver. 5 units.................L-550
Colts +1.5 over Steelers. 4 units............W+400
Atlanta -2.5 over Saints. 5 units...............L-550
Green Bay -2.5 over Minnesota . 3 units....L-330
Chicago -3 over Rams. 3 units..................W+300
Tampa +1 over Eagles. 2 units...................W+200
Under 2 units...............................................L-220
Arizona over Washington. 4 units. ................L-440
SF -10 over New England. 4 units. .................W+400
Browns -ML -145 over Raiders. 1 init.............L-110



Back later.
Buffalo +2.5 over Balt 2 units......................L-220
Monday Nighters.

Tennessee +3 (-125) over Miami 5 units..........W+500

Seattle +4.5 over Detroit. 5 units....................L-550
Seattle ML+170. 2 units..................................L-200
Under 47 Seattle. 2 units.................................L-220

Click to expand...
week 4. 5-10-1. -1590.00
+1800
-3390


Season.21-36-2 . -5470.00.
 
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