**G-Man's NFL Week 17 -- Merry Christmas!***

G-Man

Pretty much a regular
Christmas Day
KC-ML -160 over Pitt. 10 units
(Won't play - 3 because they coast with leads. Just look at their ATS record.They lost 7 straight at one point.)

Last time Pitt was on a short week they got their ass kicked by a pathetic underachieving team known as the Cleveland Clowns.
Last Saturday they faced a Baltimore team that has been a fraction fo what they were known for as a defensive team.
Only because Pickens was out for the Steelers, did Baltimore hold them to 17 points.

KC excels on defense and its always over-looked because their offense has Mahomes and he is the story.
The Steelers are in the playoffs only because of the soft opponents within the North division and playing teams like the Jets, Dallas, Colts, Atlanta, Giants the Raiders. None will make the playoffs.

For this game - you have to believe that Pitt can win to even consider taking Pitt with the the +3 points.
You also have to believe that KC doesn't want home field advantage in the playoffs because if they lose this and Buffalo wins out, Buffalo has the home field throughout the playoffs.
While Pitt and KC BOTH have the exact same offense and defense scoring averages. 24-19 - they played completely different levels of opponents.
KC faced Houston Buffalo and Tampa. all three are playoff teams and the faced the Chargers twice.
Down goes Pitt!, Down goes Pitt!


Houston +5.5 ver Baltimore. 10 units
The Ravens are over-rated.
Same story as Pitt, - Soft schedule and a poor defense to go with it.
They dont win road games. Covering this -5.5 will be hard to do.

Houston faced Detroit (when Detroit was healthy), KC, Minnesota and Green Bay . All playoff teams.
In home games - Houston beat Buffalo 23-20 and lost by 3 to Detroit 23-26.. Baltimore isn't as good as either one.

More later.
 
I think you are spot on in both.

Kansas City clinches HFA and a bye with this win as well.

So, with the early week 17 game you can rest MAHOMES for 3.5 weeks!!
 
Sunday

Vikings ML -115. Over Packers. 10 units
Buffalo--9.5 (-133_ over Jets. 10 units
Tampa -9.5 (-120) over Carolina. 10 units
Miami-3 over CLE. 10 units
Colts -7 (-135) (Flacco Starts). over G-Men. 10 units
Dallas +7.5. over Eagles. 5 units
Atlanta +3.5 over Washington. 10 units
 
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