***G-Man's NFL Week 13***

3PM
KC -12.5 iver Raiders. 2 units
Conference game...

Do you know how many times KC won this year by more than 13 points?
NONE!
Four weeks ago they beat the Raiders in LV by 7 points. The line was 8.5.
Minshew is out today and O'Connell is starting. The Raiders also have a few other defensive players out.
The Raiders defense is ranked at 29th in the NFL.
 
Sunday

1PM
Tennessee +6 over Washington 10 units
The Titans still have the #1 pass defense and the number #4 run defense in the NFL. They get to play a Washington team that has now allowed 30 pts per game in the last three.

Atlanta +1 ovr Chargers. 10 units.
Cousins in the dome is much different than last week at Denver.

Cincinnati -3 over Pitt. 10 units

Steelers haven't scored 20 pts vs AFC North Division opponents in last two games.


4PM
Eagles +3 over Baltimore. 10 units.
Eagles own NFL best offensive numbers combined after Detroit #1..
They also have a better defense than Baltimore.

Minnesota-3.5 over Arizona. 5 units
Vikings just play defense at home too well for Arizona to be effective. The allow only 17 pts per game.
Vikes have just completed a thres straight road game run going 3-0 SU.

Saints+2.5 over Rams 5 units.
Carr is gold in the dome.

Carolina+6 over Tampa. 5 units
 
Browns +7 -125 over Denver. 10 units<<<<
Browns ML+225. 3 units

Interesting note here.
Denver is being priced on public perception and the Browns lack of wins.

With Common opponents- the lines were much different.
Denver (a winning record team and positive scoring team) was a +9 point dog to Balt.
Cleveland (a losing record team and negative scoring team) only +7.5
Denver was a +2.5 pt dog to Pitt
CLE was +3.
This game should be lined 2.5 - 3.5.
Also Cleve is a good ML bet as Chubb is running again. And Denver has some key players out.
 
Agree with everything but Chubb, he back but he won’t be 100% till next year imo, right now he just a plodder, he can find the hole and get what’s blocked for him but the special in his game isn’t back. I think browns d gonna have to show up which been a dicey proposition on the road and Winston will have ti have a clean solid game. Problem is Tillman out and think Sertain can basically take juedy out the game, that said if we get the same d they played bs streelers should be a close game at the end.
 
Browns +7 -125 over Denver. 10 units<<<<
Browns ML+225. 3 units

Interesting note here.
Denver is being priced on public perception and the Browns lack of wins.

With Common opponents- the lines were much different.
Denver (a winning record team and positive scoring team) was a +9 point dog to Balt.
Cleveland (a losing record team and negative scoring team) only +7.5
Denver was a +2.5 pt dog to Pitt
CLE was +3.
This game should be lined 2.5 - 3.5.
Also Cleve is a good ML bet as Chubb is running again. And Denver has some key players out.

You believe Denver and Cleveland are close to even teams on a neutral field? 🤔
 
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