***G-Man's NFL week 12***

G-Man

Pretty much a regular
Sunday
Detroit -7 over Colts 5 units

Tampa -5.5 over Giants. 5 units.

Mike Evans should be back. He missed all the last 3 games they lost. Also this is the first game that NO faced in the last 4 game with a losing record.

Carolina +11 (-120) over KC. 5 units
Panthers playing much better last 2 weeks.

Chicago +4(-125) over Vikings, 5 units

Minnesota was out yarded in the last 3 wins. A bas sign for a road favorite against a teams with a defense at home that allows under 20 pts per game.

Miami -7.5 over N.England. 5 units

Dallas +11 (-115) over Washington 5 units
Wash defense vanished allowing 27pts /game last two which were both losses.

Denver VS Raiders. OVER 41, 5 units
This is only the 4th home game for the Raiders as they played 6 road games.
I dont trust the Broncos on offense to cover the spread..

SF +5.5 over Green Bay. 5 units.

Arizona -ML -118. over Seattle. 4 units

More late.
 
8PM
Rams +3 over Philly. 4 units
Under 49.5 (-120) 4 units

Eagles are averaging only 20 points per game last 4 on offense against teams that were at .500 or above when the game was played.
Philly played ONE team with a winning record (Washington) in their 6 game winning streak. The Skins are not as good as their record.
The Rams have allowed only 20 points average per game in their last 5 games.,
 
Chargers +3 over Ravens. 5 units

Just two different teams from a year ago.
Baltimore has no defense, like they were famous for in the past.
Losing to Cleveland, which was playing with backups was the indicator. Losing again to Pitt, was another verifying factor as well.

NOW, in the third Road game with 2 straight losses to Cle and Pitt, they are facing the Chargers that have little problems on offense or defense.
(Although,, the Bengals appeared to have had them beat - somehow the Chargers won with a TD with 18 seconds to go in the game)..

There are three common opponents here for this game. CLE, Cinn and Pitt.

IN the early season game with Pitt the Chargers lost 20-10. BUT that was when the Chargers couldn't score on anyone. Note - that after 4 games they were averaging 16 points per game.
Just as important, even though they weren't scoring - the defense was outstanding hold all opponents to under 20 points per game. Thats as true all season, until last week when Cincy rolled up 27!

Even though Balt was winning, they were not stopping anyone defensively.
In fact, in every game they allowed 25 points or more except Denver 10 Buffalo 10 and last week vs Pitt by allowing 18 points in a loss.
They helped Pitt win, with three turnovers, and that could be a sign that the defense is improving?
Here is one more amazing stat. The Chargers have only had 5 total turnovers all season..- BEST in the NFL!

So, since the first four games - the Chargers are averaging 25 pts per game on offense. At home they are beating opponents by defense, holding KC to 17, Raiders , 10, Saints to 8, Tenneese to 17 and Cincy to 27.

The Final fact to make my play was - that Last year the Ravens allowed only 16 points per game on defense. - a true playoff team,.
This year it 25 pts per game. They may not make a wild card if they lose tonight!


Balt head coach John, has bever lost to his brother Jim..Lets hope tonight is the first.

BOL to everyone
 
Don’t feel like it real fair comparing the like opponents since they mostly ravens division rivals which are inherently tougher imo. Gun to head id prob have taken ravens but i agree about the d. Just hoping for points. 31-30 somebody works for us both! Gl bro
 
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