G-Man
Pretty much a regular
What really matters in the playoffs? Only games with other playoff teams. NOT the entire regular season.
Most important is the defensive pts allowed...
Stats in Blue are Wild Card games.
Rested teams. Seattle, Denver
Home game scores are Underscored.
These writeups and capping factors should give exceptional insight to others for these plays. Some are very revealing.
Saturday
4:30PM
Buffalo +1.5 over Denver. 15 units.
Bills are by far the best playoff team that Denver will be facing at home . Three others were Jags, Packers and Chargers.
Bills also won three of four road games vs Playoff teams. 3-1. Their one loss was to Houston where they out yarded Houston, but lost because of 3 turnovers. Houston QB Stroud, did NOT play in the game.
One common opponent was Houston - where Denver beat Houston. Stroud was knocked out early in that game with Houston ahead 12-7- but lost 18-15.
Trouble for Denver will be Bo Nix trying to beat the Number one passing defense. Denver run game is somewhat hurting without Dobbins.
While Buffalo lost two recievers in the win over the Jags, they will likely have Samuel back and have Shakir. Both who were the top recievers in last years playpff win over Denver 31-7. Buffalo is a shut-down pass defense. No1 in the NFL.
One last point. Denvers soft schedule...Houston is the only team still in the playoffs that Denver faced this year. Imagine that...Chargers, Philly, Green Bay and Jags are all out.
Game time temperature between 45-55 degrees.
Vs Playoff teams -
Buffalo played 7 games. , NE 20-23, Caro 40-9, Hou 19-23, PIT 26-7, NE 35-31, Philly 12-13.
Jacksonville. 27-24.
Jags pts/gm O 23.5. D 19.75
Plus +4.25
Jags were 5-3. SU
Bills pts/gm O 179.= 25.5. D 130.=18.50
Bills Plus +7.00
Bills were 4-3 SU Away 3-0.
Vs Playoff teams -
Denver Played 6games. Chargers 20-23.,Phil. 21-17., Houston 18-15., GB 34-26,. Jags 20-34., Chargers, 19-3..
Denver pts/gm. O. 132. =22.0. D. 118.=19.66.
Denver Plus. 2.40
4-2.SU. Home 2-1.
8PM
Seattle -6.5 (-130.) over SF.. 10 units.
Seattle -7 is the largest line all year by Seattle except for two games vs losers,
They were -12 vs Tennessee -12 vs Minnesota w/o a QB..
Im sorry - but you dont give a team with thirteen (13) wins, 7 points unless the QB broke his leg getting off the plane - OR Youre down Bosa and Kittle..
Not only that! - Seattle held SF to its two lowest offesnsive scores all year! 3 and 17points. Going 1-1 SU. SF did the same to Seattle...
SF won in Philly last week - but in reality Philly isn't in the same class as Seattle. Philly was only a Plus 4 scoring team and was the same as Pitt on offense with only 23pts /gm.
Philly showed no ability to run up leads this year, like they did last year. They even lost to the lowest scoring playoff team -the Chargers.
The only reason they looked good late in the season was when they hung a win against Buffalo. But playing two better playoff teams in row was too much and SF beat them. Philly choked and gave up the lead to SF but the Seattle defense ranked #1 in the NCF wont here.
Game time temperature upper 40's
Vs Playoff teams -
San Fran Played. 9 gamss. SEA 13-17, Jags 21-26, Rams 26-23, Hou 15-26, Rams 26-42, Caro 20-9, CHI 42-38, SEA 3-13. PHI.23-19.
O. 123.=17.50. D. 121. 17.28.
Phi +0.25
Phi was 4-3 SU
SF O. 185. =20.55... D. 213. =26.62..
SF Minus -6.07
SF was 4-5 SU. 2-1 away.
Vs Playoff teams -
Seattle Played 7games. SF 13-17., Pitt 31,17., Jags 20-12,. Hou 27-19, Rams 19-21., Rams 38-37.,
SF 13-3.
SEA O. 191. =27.82. D. 126. =18.0
SEA Plus 9.82
5-2 SU. 3-1.home.
Sunday.
3PM
Houston +3.5 (-120) over New England. 20 units
Want to talk about who had the toghest schedule? Houston had 3 games against the NFC West. vs Rams, SF and SEA. Toss in Buff, Jags and Denver and no one else played a schedule that tough.
New England played the worst NFC playoff team in Carolina. -Buffalo twice and shit Pitt.
The Pats defense isnt as good as their numbers because of the small amount of playoff teams they faced. Same can be said for the offense. But they are much better than last year.
For Maye - facing the very best defense in the NFL things wont go so well, like last week vs Chargers,.. That score was a bit revealing as NE only managed 16 points. Houston plays much better defense than the Chargers ever could. So expecting the Pats to light up the scoreboard is very unlikely. Houston forces you to pass into the best Defense, because they are the best run defense at only allowing 82yds /gm/ Houston also leads the league in plus turnovers.
Maye will be in trouble vs Houstons defense. Buffalo gave Maye a taste of what top defenses do, in the second game with the Bills. Buffalo shut down Maye to only 139 passing yards. Season ends to day for the Pats.
Game time Temperature 40's
Vs Playoff teams -
Houston Played 9 games. . Rams .9-14. Jags 10-17., SEA 19-27., SF 26-15., Den 15-18., jags 36-29., Buff. 23-19., Chargers. 20-16.
Pitt30-6. .
Pitt O. 108.=18.0 D. 162.-27.0
Pitt Minus, -9.0
Pitt was 1-5 SU.
O. 188 =20.88 D. 161.=17.88
Plus 3.00
HOU was 5-4 SU
Vs Playoff teams -
NEW England.Played 5 games. Pit 14-21., Caro 42-13., Buf 23-20., BUF 31-35.,
Chargers 16-3
O. 95. =15.8 D. -123. =20.5
Minus -4.75.
CHGERS were 3-3 SU
NE Pts.gm. O. 110 =25.20 D. 92.=18.40
Plus. +6.80
NE was 3-2 SU
6:30 PM
Rams -3 (-130) over Chicago. 15 units.
Bears are lucky and fortunate to come back with 25 4th qtr points last week vs GB, Problem is, they have no defense. Actually the worst of all Playoff teams. They are facing the best team they've faced all year with the Rams. Rams dont win by much anymore - but one turnover could be the difference with a cover or not.
Rams also played the second hardest schedule - only Houston's was harder.
Chicago played teams that were inconsistent like GB(2), Low grade shit Pittsburgh and Philly, all who are out in the first round.- so once they get behind they wont catch up. Rams are a big notch above the Packers who blew a big lead to the Bears, last week....
Game Time temp 20 degrees or less With SNOW.
Vs Playoff teams -
Rams Played 9 games. Hou 14-9., Phi 26-33., SF 23-26., jags 35-7., SF 42-26, SEA 21-19., Caro 28-31., SEA 37-38., Caro 34-31.
O. 98 -14.0 D. 196. =28.0
Caro Minus -14.0
Caro was 2-5 SU
Rams pts/gm. O. 260. =28.80 D. 219.=24.30
Rams Plus +4.50.
Rams Were 4-5 SU
Vs Playoff teams -
Chicago Played 6 games. Pitt 31-28., PHI 24-15., GB 21-28., SF 38-42. GB 22.16.,
GB 31-27.
O. 125. 20.8. D 131. -21.8
GB minus - 1
GB was 2-4 SU
Chi Pts/gm O. 167. 27.80 D. 156. 26.00
Chi Plus 1.80.
CHI was 4-2 SU
10 and 15 unit plays are 13-1 last 14 combined, with Bowls and NFL playoffs.
Most important is the defensive pts allowed...
Stats in Blue are Wild Card games.
Rested teams. Seattle, Denver
Home game scores are Underscored.
These writeups and capping factors should give exceptional insight to others for these plays. Some are very revealing.
Saturday
4:30PM
Buffalo +1.5 over Denver. 15 units.
Bills are by far the best playoff team that Denver will be facing at home . Three others were Jags, Packers and Chargers.
Bills also won three of four road games vs Playoff teams. 3-1. Their one loss was to Houston where they out yarded Houston, but lost because of 3 turnovers. Houston QB Stroud, did NOT play in the game.
One common opponent was Houston - where Denver beat Houston. Stroud was knocked out early in that game with Houston ahead 12-7- but lost 18-15.
Trouble for Denver will be Bo Nix trying to beat the Number one passing defense. Denver run game is somewhat hurting without Dobbins.
While Buffalo lost two recievers in the win over the Jags, they will likely have Samuel back and have Shakir. Both who were the top recievers in last years playpff win over Denver 31-7. Buffalo is a shut-down pass defense. No1 in the NFL.
One last point. Denvers soft schedule...Houston is the only team still in the playoffs that Denver faced this year. Imagine that...Chargers, Philly, Green Bay and Jags are all out.
Game time temperature between 45-55 degrees.
Vs Playoff teams -
Buffalo played 7 games. , NE 20-23, Caro 40-9, Hou 19-23, PIT 26-7, NE 35-31, Philly 12-13.
Jacksonville. 27-24.
Jags pts/gm O 23.5. D 19.75
Plus +4.25
Jags were 5-3. SU
Bills pts/gm O 179.= 25.5. D 130.=18.50
Bills Plus +7.00
Bills were 4-3 SU Away 3-0.
Vs Playoff teams -
Denver Played 6games. Chargers 20-23.,Phil. 21-17., Houston 18-15., GB 34-26,. Jags 20-34., Chargers, 19-3..
Denver pts/gm. O. 132. =22.0. D. 118.=19.66.
Denver Plus. 2.40
4-2.SU. Home 2-1.
8PM
Seattle -6.5 (-130.) over SF.. 10 units.
Seattle -7 is the largest line all year by Seattle except for two games vs losers,
They were -12 vs Tennessee -12 vs Minnesota w/o a QB..
Im sorry - but you dont give a team with thirteen (13) wins, 7 points unless the QB broke his leg getting off the plane - OR Youre down Bosa and Kittle..
Not only that! - Seattle held SF to its two lowest offesnsive scores all year! 3 and 17points. Going 1-1 SU. SF did the same to Seattle...
SF won in Philly last week - but in reality Philly isn't in the same class as Seattle. Philly was only a Plus 4 scoring team and was the same as Pitt on offense with only 23pts /gm.
Philly showed no ability to run up leads this year, like they did last year. They even lost to the lowest scoring playoff team -the Chargers.
The only reason they looked good late in the season was when they hung a win against Buffalo. But playing two better playoff teams in row was too much and SF beat them. Philly choked and gave up the lead to SF but the Seattle defense ranked #1 in the NCF wont here.
Game time temperature upper 40's
Vs Playoff teams -
San Fran Played. 9 gamss. SEA 13-17, Jags 21-26, Rams 26-23, Hou 15-26, Rams 26-42, Caro 20-9, CHI 42-38, SEA 3-13. PHI.23-19.
O. 123.=17.50. D. 121. 17.28.
Phi +0.25
Phi was 4-3 SU
SF O. 185. =20.55... D. 213. =26.62..
SF Minus -6.07
SF was 4-5 SU. 2-1 away.
Vs Playoff teams -
Seattle Played 7games. SF 13-17., Pitt 31,17., Jags 20-12,. Hou 27-19, Rams 19-21., Rams 38-37.,
SF 13-3.
SEA O. 191. =27.82. D. 126. =18.0
SEA Plus 9.82
5-2 SU. 3-1.home.
Sunday.
3PM
Houston +3.5 (-120) over New England. 20 units
Want to talk about who had the toghest schedule? Houston had 3 games against the NFC West. vs Rams, SF and SEA. Toss in Buff, Jags and Denver and no one else played a schedule that tough.
New England played the worst NFC playoff team in Carolina. -Buffalo twice and shit Pitt.
The Pats defense isnt as good as their numbers because of the small amount of playoff teams they faced. Same can be said for the offense. But they are much better than last year.
For Maye - facing the very best defense in the NFL things wont go so well, like last week vs Chargers,.. That score was a bit revealing as NE only managed 16 points. Houston plays much better defense than the Chargers ever could. So expecting the Pats to light up the scoreboard is very unlikely. Houston forces you to pass into the best Defense, because they are the best run defense at only allowing 82yds /gm/ Houston also leads the league in plus turnovers.
Maye will be in trouble vs Houstons defense. Buffalo gave Maye a taste of what top defenses do, in the second game with the Bills. Buffalo shut down Maye to only 139 passing yards. Season ends to day for the Pats.
Game time Temperature 40's
Vs Playoff teams -
Houston Played 9 games. . Rams .9-14. Jags 10-17., SEA 19-27., SF 26-15., Den 15-18., jags 36-29., Buff. 23-19., Chargers. 20-16.
Pitt30-6. .
Pitt O. 108.=18.0 D. 162.-27.0
Pitt Minus, -9.0
Pitt was 1-5 SU.
O. 188 =20.88 D. 161.=17.88
Plus 3.00
HOU was 5-4 SU
Vs Playoff teams -
NEW England.Played 5 games. Pit 14-21., Caro 42-13., Buf 23-20., BUF 31-35.,
Chargers 16-3
O. 95. =15.8 D. -123. =20.5
Minus -4.75.
CHGERS were 3-3 SU
NE Pts.gm. O. 110 =25.20 D. 92.=18.40
Plus. +6.80
NE was 3-2 SU
6:30 PM
Rams -3 (-130) over Chicago. 15 units.
Bears are lucky and fortunate to come back with 25 4th qtr points last week vs GB, Problem is, they have no defense. Actually the worst of all Playoff teams. They are facing the best team they've faced all year with the Rams. Rams dont win by much anymore - but one turnover could be the difference with a cover or not.
Rams also played the second hardest schedule - only Houston's was harder.
Chicago played teams that were inconsistent like GB(2), Low grade shit Pittsburgh and Philly, all who are out in the first round.- so once they get behind they wont catch up. Rams are a big notch above the Packers who blew a big lead to the Bears, last week....
Game Time temp 20 degrees or less With SNOW.
Vs Playoff teams -
Rams Played 9 games. Hou 14-9., Phi 26-33., SF 23-26., jags 35-7., SF 42-26, SEA 21-19., Caro 28-31., SEA 37-38., Caro 34-31.
O. 98 -14.0 D. 196. =28.0
Caro Minus -14.0
Caro was 2-5 SU
Rams pts/gm. O. 260. =28.80 D. 219.=24.30
Rams Plus +4.50.
Rams Were 4-5 SU
Vs Playoff teams -
Chicago Played 6 games. Pitt 31-28., PHI 24-15., GB 21-28., SF 38-42. GB 22.16.,
GB 31-27.
O. 125. 20.8. D 131. -21.8
GB minus - 1
GB was 2-4 SU
Chi Pts/gm O. 167. 27.80 D. 156. 26.00
Chi Plus 1.80.
CHI was 4-2 SU
10 and 15 unit plays are 13-1 last 14 combined, with Bowls and NFL playoffs.
