G-Man
Pretty much a regular
There is a lot to consider in this match-up tonight. The Bills are playing for a potential division title or a wild card spot as they trail by one game in the win column for a wild card.
Tonight the Browns are playing for a mathematical playoff spot which is very unlikely that they could get in the playoffs at all, with 7 games remaining. Yesterday's Steeler win, basically put the nail in the coffin for Cleveland. The Browns are trailing New England (6 wins), Miami (6), Buffalo(5), Indy (6), Jacksonville(6) Baltimore(6) and San Diego (4). All those teams have to lose more than half their games for Cleveland to get in if they sweep the last 7. (no chance)
The Bills have a real shot at everything, including the division lead as they are only 2 games back from the Jets right now. A win tonight, would put all 4 division teams above .500 with 10 games played, for the first time I can remember? Buffalo though is 0-3 against the division right now, as they are riding a slim chance to get in if they dont win the remaining division games.
The line on this game is off by 4 points tonight. Buffalo should be favored by 1.5 and that is ONLY because they have won at home against SD, Seattle and Oakland, while losing to the Jets.
That line is derived from scores and pointspreads() of (Bills-2.5) 34-10 over the Seahawks, (Bills -10) 24-23 over Oakland and (Bills+1) 23-14 over the Chargers. Seattle had many injuries which moved the original line for Seahawks -1.5 to Bills -2.5. The Raiders had no QB so that line was valid. The Chargers had a broken defense that was allowing nearly 24 points a game to any team with a QB?
So here we have Cleveland, who played 4 games to start the season with many key injuries. It was reflected in the scores. But, when they returned a few guys, (not all of them yet) they came alive until they crumbled in their last 2 losses on defense.
In Clevelands last 2 road tilts, they lost to Washington, and won against Jacksonville. They only allowed 14 and 17 points in those games. Then they crashed and burned at home in 2 consecutive games with big leads. So we have an under-valued team on the road because of 2 blown losses at home. If Cleveland had won those 2 games, this line would be Bills-1.5
Buffalo has been a fraction of who they were in the first 5 games on the season as they are 1-4 in their last 5.
Cleveland has much more talent than any team in the NFL at 3-6. With Cleveland hanging on to Anderson as the starter through 8 games, it didnt do a whole lot for the offense. Anderson wasnt totally the whole problem on offense as he played more than half of the games without offensive starters on the line and the key receivers missing. Quinn has most of the starters playing tonight and should be effective enough to pull out a win here.
Im going with the ML+200 and Cleveland +5.5 for my plays tonight. I cant see the Bills scoring much if Cleveland comes to play all 4 quarters. Cleveland will with Quinn. Forget the snow.
Browns +5.5 (15 units)
ML +200. (5 units)
Over 40 (2 units.)
GLTA
.
Tonight the Browns are playing for a mathematical playoff spot which is very unlikely that they could get in the playoffs at all, with 7 games remaining. Yesterday's Steeler win, basically put the nail in the coffin for Cleveland. The Browns are trailing New England (6 wins), Miami (6), Buffalo(5), Indy (6), Jacksonville(6) Baltimore(6) and San Diego (4). All those teams have to lose more than half their games for Cleveland to get in if they sweep the last 7. (no chance)
The Bills have a real shot at everything, including the division lead as they are only 2 games back from the Jets right now. A win tonight, would put all 4 division teams above .500 with 10 games played, for the first time I can remember? Buffalo though is 0-3 against the division right now, as they are riding a slim chance to get in if they dont win the remaining division games.
The line on this game is off by 4 points tonight. Buffalo should be favored by 1.5 and that is ONLY because they have won at home against SD, Seattle and Oakland, while losing to the Jets.
That line is derived from scores and pointspreads() of (Bills-2.5) 34-10 over the Seahawks, (Bills -10) 24-23 over Oakland and (Bills+1) 23-14 over the Chargers. Seattle had many injuries which moved the original line for Seahawks -1.5 to Bills -2.5. The Raiders had no QB so that line was valid. The Chargers had a broken defense that was allowing nearly 24 points a game to any team with a QB?
So here we have Cleveland, who played 4 games to start the season with many key injuries. It was reflected in the scores. But, when they returned a few guys, (not all of them yet) they came alive until they crumbled in their last 2 losses on defense.
In Clevelands last 2 road tilts, they lost to Washington, and won against Jacksonville. They only allowed 14 and 17 points in those games. Then they crashed and burned at home in 2 consecutive games with big leads. So we have an under-valued team on the road because of 2 blown losses at home. If Cleveland had won those 2 games, this line would be Bills-1.5
Buffalo has been a fraction of who they were in the first 5 games on the season as they are 1-4 in their last 5.
Cleveland has much more talent than any team in the NFL at 3-6. With Cleveland hanging on to Anderson as the starter through 8 games, it didnt do a whole lot for the offense. Anderson wasnt totally the whole problem on offense as he played more than half of the games without offensive starters on the line and the key receivers missing. Quinn has most of the starters playing tonight and should be effective enough to pull out a win here.
Im going with the ML+200 and Cleveland +5.5 for my plays tonight. I cant see the Bills scoring much if Cleveland comes to play all 4 quarters. Cleveland will with Quinn. Forget the snow.
Browns +5.5 (15 units)
ML +200. (5 units)
Over 40 (2 units.)
GLTA
.
