G-Man
Pretty much a regular
Playoffs 3-3 +840.00
4:30
Houston +9 over KC. 15 units
Houston ML +375. 1 unit.
A combined 7 turnovers were the Main ingredient, of who won the game last week vs the Chargers.
Not only that - but take notice thet Houston came alive and rolled up 412 yards themselves in the win. The Chargers were out gained by over 190 yards.
Herbert had FOUR (4) Ints, doing the Texans a huge favor.
Keep in mind that KC vs Charger games were both decided by 7 and 2 points and both LOW scoring (19-17) amd (17-10).
The Chiefs played Houston weeks back and only out gained Houston by 65 yards.
In that game, Stroud had 2 Int's and it cost them on the scoreboard killing drives and giving the Chiefs a short field for a win.
As I mentioned last week, the Texans had the hardest schedule of all the Wild Card teams this year.
The Chiefs had a winning record vs playoff teams, but the win margins were small. They won by more than 9 points in just one game - beating the Steelers 29-10. Every other game was won by 9 or less.
Every one of those games (except for 2) vs playoff teams were played in Kansas City! >>>> KC averaged only 22.5 points per game vs winners.
The Chief played 2 road games vs winners, - Pitt and Buffalo and Buffalo won 30-21.
Houston played Detroit and played well and actually picked-off Goff FIVE (5) times. They led that game 23-13 until the 4th quarter giving up 13 unanswered points.
If the same defense that picked off the Chargers 4 times last week and who picked off Detroit 5 times, shows up against the Chiefs, this could be the shocker of the year.
If KC played Detroit, I believe that game would be a pick today. Which brings the spread into play here.
KC was only favored by 3 when they played Houston weeks back. The move to 9 is all wrong - when Detroit was only favored by 3 -, espcially now that KC has only avraged 22 points/gm at HOME vs playoff teams this year.
For those who think the 24 degree temp today wll have an effect on the southern warm Dome Texans, keep in mind that Stroudt played on Ohio State.
Washington +10 over Detroit 15- units
Just one starting ling fact in today game with Detroit. Washington has the best passing edfense in this matchup over the Lions by 50 yds/gm.
WASHINGTON run offense is also one of the better of the playoff tems at 150 yds/gm.
Detroit has no advantge either way, even with Montgomery.
On rushing defense, Detroit is one of the best in the NFL allwoing only 98 yds/gm avg all season - BUT Detroit gave up 197 yds rushing in the loss to Buffalo.
Detroit can't control the mobil QB. Its evident with Buffalo and Daniels is of the same mold.
Tampa also gave them a run for the money as well with Shake-n-Bake.
Sunday
Rams +6.5 over Eagles. 15 units.
Rams could win SU.
The late season game for the Rams are all better than the late season games for Philly.
Since LA got Krupp back and their other top reciever they are a different team on offense now.
The doubt hanging over Eagles QB Hurts, is enough to say that its unlikely that Philly can pull away from the now-improved Rams.
While my picks for the SB are Buffalo and Philly, even if Philly wins this, it could be all because of the defense getting turnovers.
In addition- down the stretch - Stafford is 5-1 in playoff games with LA.
Since their return of Krupp and others - the run game for LA has averaged almost 6 yds /run. Not bad.
The Philly pass defense could get lit up today!
Bufffalo +1 over Baltimore. 15 units
The Ravens are not alawys the high scroing team on the road that they are at home.
When traveling to playoff teams, the Ravens scored 20 at KC, 41 at Tampa, 16 at Pittsburgh, 31 at Houston, who had injuries and 30 at Chargers. The Charger game was brother John spanking brother Jim.
More important, Buffalo is currently the highest scoring road opponent that Balt has faced all year in todays game.
Buffalo is solid at home, averaging more points than any other team. They put up 31 on Denver 30 on KC and against recent playoff teams on the road, they put up 48 on Detroit and 42 on the Rams.
Buffalo has seemed to become more impressive since the break and scoring on everyone.
The one dilemma facing the Bills, is the very early season loss at Baltimore in week Four (4) losing 35-10.
It seems, that is what made this line PK/+1 today.
IF there is one main advantage for the Ravens its their run defense. They are allowing the league best 97 yds per game.
It was clearly the reason the Steelers couldnt score in the first half last week and Tomlin tried over and over to establish the run game and failed to score because of it.
Not untill Pitt gave it up and went to the pass in the second half, did they move the ball. It was tooo little too late for Pitt.
What IS significant for THIS game - is that Buffalo is clearly more power on offense than what Pitt has - and they wont be limitited to a one-dimension offense, like the Steelers became last week.
The fact that the Steelers were successful in the air in the secrond half - shows the Bills that the pass deense of Baltimore is weak. Balt is the worst of all remaining 8 temas today in the playoffs vs the pass. Allen should be able to pick it apart all day.
If anyone has any late injury reports, fill us in.
BOL to all. this weekend
4:30
Houston +9 over KC. 15 units
Houston ML +375. 1 unit.
A combined 7 turnovers were the Main ingredient, of who won the game last week vs the Chargers.
Not only that - but take notice thet Houston came alive and rolled up 412 yards themselves in the win. The Chargers were out gained by over 190 yards.
Herbert had FOUR (4) Ints, doing the Texans a huge favor.
Keep in mind that KC vs Charger games were both decided by 7 and 2 points and both LOW scoring (19-17) amd (17-10).
The Chiefs played Houston weeks back and only out gained Houston by 65 yards.
In that game, Stroud had 2 Int's and it cost them on the scoreboard killing drives and giving the Chiefs a short field for a win.
As I mentioned last week, the Texans had the hardest schedule of all the Wild Card teams this year.
The Chiefs had a winning record vs playoff teams, but the win margins were small. They won by more than 9 points in just one game - beating the Steelers 29-10. Every other game was won by 9 or less.
Every one of those games (except for 2) vs playoff teams were played in Kansas City! >>>> KC averaged only 22.5 points per game vs winners.
The Chief played 2 road games vs winners, - Pitt and Buffalo and Buffalo won 30-21.
Houston played Detroit and played well and actually picked-off Goff FIVE (5) times. They led that game 23-13 until the 4th quarter giving up 13 unanswered points.
If the same defense that picked off the Chargers 4 times last week and who picked off Detroit 5 times, shows up against the Chiefs, this could be the shocker of the year.
If KC played Detroit, I believe that game would be a pick today. Which brings the spread into play here.
KC was only favored by 3 when they played Houston weeks back. The move to 9 is all wrong - when Detroit was only favored by 3 -, espcially now that KC has only avraged 22 points/gm at HOME vs playoff teams this year.
For those who think the 24 degree temp today wll have an effect on the southern warm Dome Texans, keep in mind that Stroudt played on Ohio State.
Washington +10 over Detroit 15- units
Just one starting ling fact in today game with Detroit. Washington has the best passing edfense in this matchup over the Lions by 50 yds/gm.
WASHINGTON run offense is also one of the better of the playoff tems at 150 yds/gm.
Detroit has no advantge either way, even with Montgomery.
On rushing defense, Detroit is one of the best in the NFL allwoing only 98 yds/gm avg all season - BUT Detroit gave up 197 yds rushing in the loss to Buffalo.
Detroit can't control the mobil QB. Its evident with Buffalo and Daniels is of the same mold.
Tampa also gave them a run for the money as well with Shake-n-Bake.
Sunday
Rams +6.5 over Eagles. 15 units.
Rams could win SU.
The late season game for the Rams are all better than the late season games for Philly.
Since LA got Krupp back and their other top reciever they are a different team on offense now.
The doubt hanging over Eagles QB Hurts, is enough to say that its unlikely that Philly can pull away from the now-improved Rams.
While my picks for the SB are Buffalo and Philly, even if Philly wins this, it could be all because of the defense getting turnovers.
In addition- down the stretch - Stafford is 5-1 in playoff games with LA.
Since their return of Krupp and others - the run game for LA has averaged almost 6 yds /run. Not bad.
The Philly pass defense could get lit up today!
Bufffalo +1 over Baltimore. 15 units
The Ravens are not alawys the high scroing team on the road that they are at home.
When traveling to playoff teams, the Ravens scored 20 at KC, 41 at Tampa, 16 at Pittsburgh, 31 at Houston, who had injuries and 30 at Chargers. The Charger game was brother John spanking brother Jim.
More important, Buffalo is currently the highest scoring road opponent that Balt has faced all year in todays game.
Buffalo is solid at home, averaging more points than any other team. They put up 31 on Denver 30 on KC and against recent playoff teams on the road, they put up 48 on Detroit and 42 on the Rams.
Buffalo has seemed to become more impressive since the break and scoring on everyone.
The one dilemma facing the Bills, is the very early season loss at Baltimore in week Four (4) losing 35-10.
It seems, that is what made this line PK/+1 today.
IF there is one main advantage for the Ravens its their run defense. They are allowing the league best 97 yds per game.
It was clearly the reason the Steelers couldnt score in the first half last week and Tomlin tried over and over to establish the run game and failed to score because of it.
Not untill Pitt gave it up and went to the pass in the second half, did they move the ball. It was tooo little too late for Pitt.
What IS significant for THIS game - is that Buffalo is clearly more power on offense than what Pitt has - and they wont be limitited to a one-dimension offense, like the Steelers became last week.
The fact that the Steelers were successful in the air in the secrond half - shows the Bills that the pass deense of Baltimore is weak. Balt is the worst of all remaining 8 temas today in the playoffs vs the pass. Allen should be able to pick it apart all day.
If anyone has any late injury reports, fill us in.
BOL to all. this weekend