***G-Man's College Week 9***
- Thread starter G-Man
- Start date
G-Man
Pretty much a regular
Thursday
Pitt -5 over Cuse. 10 units
This is a revenge game for Pitt. They had 4 turnovers last year vs Syracuse in a neutral site game losing 28-13.
This year Pitt and nearly Doubled their Rush/carry to 5.75 as last year it was only 3.4.
Cuse is worse from a year ago and also is allowing opponents a whopping 4.6 yds/rush this year and is negative in rushing this year as they only avg 3.4/carry..
Old Dominion+1 over GASO. 3 units
UNDER 52 3 units.
Pitt -5 over Cuse. 10 units
This is a revenge game for Pitt. They had 4 turnovers last year vs Syracuse in a neutral site game losing 28-13.
This year Pitt and nearly Doubled their Rush/carry to 5.75 as last year it was only 3.4.
Cuse is worse from a year ago and also is allowing opponents a whopping 4.6 yds/rush this year and is negative in rushing this year as they only avg 3.4/carry..
Old Dominion+1 over GASO. 3 units
UNDER 52 3 units.
G-Man
Pretty much a regular
BC +7.5 over L'Vile. 3 units.
Looking for big bounce back for BC. I had them last week and lost.
They re better than how they played.
Last team to score wins it.
USC -14 over Rutgers. 3 units
Rutgers played 2 road games a against teams that are no where near as good as USC.
They are also negative in rushing per carry which is tough on teams away.
SoCals never are best especially when considering this is only their 4 home game.
In common opponents SC ws far better vs Wisconsin.
Boises -4 over UNLV. 3 units
Playing better teams the last 3 games, Boise fared far better defensively.
UNLV has diminished on defense allowing 35 pts per game. Much more than their overall season average.
Boise is the best team they've faced at this point.
Looking for big bounce back for BC. I had them last week and lost.
They re better than how they played.
Last team to score wins it.
USC -14 over Rutgers. 3 units
Rutgers played 2 road games a against teams that are no where near as good as USC.
They are also negative in rushing per carry which is tough on teams away.
SoCals never are best especially when considering this is only their 4 home game.
In common opponents SC ws far better vs Wisconsin.
Boises -4 over UNLV. 3 units
Playing better teams the last 3 games, Boise fared far better defensively.
UNLV has diminished on defense allowing 35 pts per game. Much more than their overall season average.
Boise is the best team they've faced at this point.
G-Man
Pretty much a regular
Saturday.
Noon.
Ohio State -24 (-140) over Nebraska/. 4 units
Huskers lack a run game . The Buckeyes are doubling the rushing average over opponents..
OSU per carry is 6.0 while allowing only 2.7.
The passing defense is also superior holding opposing QB's to a low QB rating of only 121.0
Noon
Indiana -5.5 over Washington. 3 units
Big loss with Rourke being out for Indiana. BUT THE BACKUP WAS solid last week scoring 4 second half TD's for Indiana.
Tayven Jackson, started five games for the Hoosiers as a freshman last season. He guided Indiana to four second-half touchdowns last weekend, completing 7 of 8 passes for 91 yards and two touchdowns - so he has skills.
Washington lacks everything. They lost SU to Rutgers and they were crushed by Iowa.
The most points they scored all year was 35 against WEBER!
NOON
Navy +14 over Notre Dame. 4 units
For the first time in at least 4 years - Navy has an offense that scores over 22 pts per game. They re averaging 41 pts/gm and have improved a lot on defense allowing only 19 pts/gm.
Notre Dame is 5-2, but may not win this. They have allowed only 13 pts/gm on defense. BUT - This is the only ranked team they have played.
That said - an upset looks possible for Navy.
This is a revenge game for Navy as they were crushed LY by Dame 42-3
Noon
Virginia 3.5 over North Carolina. 4 units
The main difference here is that NC faded bad on defense the last 4 games. They're allowing an avg of 41 pts/game. They also are on a 4 game losing streak and being a road game where they do far worse, should keep the streak alive.
3:30
Missouri +16 over Alabama. 5 units
Better defense here by 5 points is Missouri- and Bama has lost 2 of last 3 SU. The magic is gone in Tide ville.
The Automatic ATS Cover by Bama has vanished. They're only 3-4 vs the spread this year.
Their last 2 losses where by teams allowing 22 points or less on defense.
3:30.
UCF -2.5 over BYU. 3 units. ( OL was BYU-1).
Dominating run game for UCF is a big advantage for them here. UCF is rushing over 100 yds/gm more over their opponents.
BYU is undefeated but wont be able to stop the CF run game at all.
CF just came off a tough game with #11 ISU, but this one is at home and should end the 7-0 run for the Cougars.
BYU returns 16 starters from a team that has improved greatly - but CF has returned 15 starters from last year that were a PLUS scoring team.
Their schedule so far in conference play was against all winning teams -while BYU faced several losers in the run.
3:30
Bowling Green +3 over Toledo. 4 units
Both teams are solid defensive teams allowing under 20 pts/gm avg last 3 - but BG faced two top ranked teams early isn the season, while T played none.
BG wins this SU.
3:30
Illinois +21.5 over Oregon. 10 units.
Illinois has the most under rated defense getting double-double digits here with a PLUS scoring advantage of +11 pts per game. Their only loss was to Penn State., who also plays good defense.
Oregon got much recognition for pounding OSU with a trick defensive stunt - but in the last 4 games, Oregon has not scored over 35 points against likes of UCLA, Purdue and Michigan State ..All of which are no where near as good as Illinois.
The Ducks have Michigan on deck @ Michigan next week.
4:10PM
Vanderbilt+17.5 over Texas, 5 units.
Last 2 games vs ranked teams Vanderbilt beat Alabama and lost to Missouri by 3 points.
Texas was outplayed last week by Georgia and they struggled with only 15 points in the loss.
Looking at who Texas played this year - there were no other ranked teams that are currently ranked other than Georgia..,
Vandy has improved and is ranked #24th. This one should cover.. Laying 17.5 on the road gives Vandy the advantage.
7:30
MSU +4 over Michigan. 5 units
On the rise are the Spartans. Michigan is a fraction of who they were a year ago while MSU is scoring and playing solid defense.
Low scoring game here but MSU covers.
7:30
Wisconsin +6.5 over Penn State. 3 units
Big improvement for Wisky last three games. They have held all 3 opponents to 7 points or less.
PSU win margin is low in games with better defenses. Wisky has only allowed 18 points per game and that makes a solid play for a home dog allowing 20 or less.
8PM
SMU -11 over Duke. 2 units
One common opponent was FSU and both games were played with SMU beating FSU by 42.16 while Duke won 23-16 on FOUR FSU Turnovers.
SMU out yarded FSU by 180 yds while Duke was out yarded by FSU 180-291.
SMU has won eight straight road games, matching Texas for the longest streak in the country. Saturday's game will be the Mustangs' third straight road assignment.
MORE at 4PM or later.
Noon.
Ohio State -24 (-140) over Nebraska/. 4 units
Huskers lack a run game . The Buckeyes are doubling the rushing average over opponents..
OSU per carry is 6.0 while allowing only 2.7.
The passing defense is also superior holding opposing QB's to a low QB rating of only 121.0
Noon
Indiana -5.5 over Washington. 3 units
Big loss with Rourke being out for Indiana. BUT THE BACKUP WAS solid last week scoring 4 second half TD's for Indiana.
Tayven Jackson, started five games for the Hoosiers as a freshman last season. He guided Indiana to four second-half touchdowns last weekend, completing 7 of 8 passes for 91 yards and two touchdowns - so he has skills.
Washington lacks everything. They lost SU to Rutgers and they were crushed by Iowa.
The most points they scored all year was 35 against WEBER!
NOON
Navy +14 over Notre Dame. 4 units
For the first time in at least 4 years - Navy has an offense that scores over 22 pts per game. They re averaging 41 pts/gm and have improved a lot on defense allowing only 19 pts/gm.
Notre Dame is 5-2, but may not win this. They have allowed only 13 pts/gm on defense. BUT - This is the only ranked team they have played.
That said - an upset looks possible for Navy.
This is a revenge game for Navy as they were crushed LY by Dame 42-3
Noon
Virginia 3.5 over North Carolina. 4 units
The main difference here is that NC faded bad on defense the last 4 games. They're allowing an avg of 41 pts/game. They also are on a 4 game losing streak and being a road game where they do far worse, should keep the streak alive.
3:30
Missouri +16 over Alabama. 5 units
Better defense here by 5 points is Missouri- and Bama has lost 2 of last 3 SU. The magic is gone in Tide ville.
The Automatic ATS Cover by Bama has vanished. They're only 3-4 vs the spread this year.
Their last 2 losses where by teams allowing 22 points or less on defense.
3:30.
UCF -2.5 over BYU. 3 units. ( OL was BYU-1).
Dominating run game for UCF is a big advantage for them here. UCF is rushing over 100 yds/gm more over their opponents.
BYU is undefeated but wont be able to stop the CF run game at all.
CF just came off a tough game with #11 ISU, but this one is at home and should end the 7-0 run for the Cougars.
BYU returns 16 starters from a team that has improved greatly - but CF has returned 15 starters from last year that were a PLUS scoring team.
Their schedule so far in conference play was against all winning teams -while BYU faced several losers in the run.
3:30
Bowling Green +3 over Toledo. 4 units
Both teams are solid defensive teams allowing under 20 pts/gm avg last 3 - but BG faced two top ranked teams early isn the season, while T played none.
BG wins this SU.
3:30
Illinois +21.5 over Oregon. 10 units.
Illinois has the most under rated defense getting double-double digits here with a PLUS scoring advantage of +11 pts per game. Their only loss was to Penn State., who also plays good defense.
Oregon got much recognition for pounding OSU with a trick defensive stunt - but in the last 4 games, Oregon has not scored over 35 points against likes of UCLA, Purdue and Michigan State ..All of which are no where near as good as Illinois.
The Ducks have Michigan on deck @ Michigan next week.
4:10PM
Vanderbilt+17.5 over Texas, 5 units.
Last 2 games vs ranked teams Vanderbilt beat Alabama and lost to Missouri by 3 points.
Texas was outplayed last week by Georgia and they struggled with only 15 points in the loss.
Looking at who Texas played this year - there were no other ranked teams that are currently ranked other than Georgia..,
Vandy has improved and is ranked #24th. This one should cover.. Laying 17.5 on the road gives Vandy the advantage.
7:30
MSU +4 over Michigan. 5 units
On the rise are the Spartans. Michigan is a fraction of who they were a year ago while MSU is scoring and playing solid defense.
Low scoring game here but MSU covers.
7:30
Wisconsin +6.5 over Penn State. 3 units
Big improvement for Wisky last three games. They have held all 3 opponents to 7 points or less.
PSU win margin is low in games with better defenses. Wisky has only allowed 18 points per game and that makes a solid play for a home dog allowing 20 or less.
8PM
SMU -11 over Duke. 2 units
One common opponent was FSU and both games were played with SMU beating FSU by 42.16 while Duke won 23-16 on FOUR FSU Turnovers.
SMU out yarded FSU by 180 yds while Duke was out yarded by FSU 180-291.
SMU has won eight straight road games, matching Texas for the longest streak in the country. Saturday's game will be the Mustangs' third straight road assignment.
MORE at 4PM or later.
G-Man
Pretty much a regular
ADDED SATURDAY PLAYS.
2PM Alert.
Miami Oh -11 over C.Michigan. 2 units
CM is negatve in turnovers. Road game wont be a good spot for them today.
CM has at least 15 players out or questionable today.
Redhawks have the better defense .
3:30PM
Tulsa +10 over UTSA, 2 units
UTSA is 0-3 SU in road games vs unranked teams. They also are a negative scoring team laying points.
More at 4
2PM Alert.
Miami Oh -11 over C.Michigan. 2 units
CM is negatve in turnovers. Road game wont be a good spot for them today.
CM has at least 15 players out or questionable today.
Redhawks have the better defense .
3:30PM
Tulsa +10 over UTSA, 2 units
UTSA is 0-3 SU in road games vs unranked teams. They also are a negative scoring team laying points.
More at 4
skanless13
Fly, Eagles, Fly!
GL gman.
