***G-Man's College Week 2***

G-Man

Pretty much a regular
Season. 10-5. 66%. +1660.00. +16.6 units
Friday

BYU +12.5 over SMU. 3 units
BYU ML+365. 2 units
Excellent Run game for BYU as well as SMU.
Difference tonight is the passing game.

Northwestern -2 over Duke 4 units.

Duke is rebuilding. Theyonly have 3 refuting starters on offense.


Saturday
Syracuse +3 over GT. 4 units

Dont get too excited with BC or GT just yet. Those wins were more of how bad FSU is than how good they are.
GT played an unranked soft opponent last week and only put up 9 more points on Georgia State than what they posted against FSU.
They're rolling into Syracuse this week and that team will test them. 'Cuse is the dog of 3 and rightly so after the two apparent easy wins for GT.
EARLY season Numebers suggest that GT should be favored by more than 3 so Im suspect about the line. 'Cuse is a better team than a year ago with 9* starters back on offense and a good 7-man returning defensive group.

12:00PM
Texas -7 over Michigan 2 units
Under 42. 2 units

Everyone on Michigan was drafted.
They have the lowest number of retuning starters on offense in the Big 10. Only 2 returning.
#3 ranked Texas is now in the SEC.

3:30PM
Louisville -28.5 over Jack State 3 units.

Top shelf Lou team with 19 returning starters.
Defense should shutdown JS - except for one small detail.
J state has transfer QB Tyler Huff from Furman who was offensive conference player of the year.
According to data, he has impressive numbers and could keep J State inside the number.

Louisville has GT on deck.

Kentucky -9 over South Carolina .5 units
Had KY last week in weather game which was ruled official in 3rd qtr.

Baylor +14.5 over Utah. 3 units.

Iowa State +3 over Iowa #21. 5 units
Revenge game and a full returning group of starters.
I-State has 2nd year starter @QB returning from his redshirt freshman year and should up his game.
He out yarded Iowa in last years loss, 13-20.
Cant see a 15pt offense of Iowa last year winning this game today, regardless of the 40 points they put up on Illinois State last week.

4:30PM
Marshall +20.5 over Virginia Tech. 4 units
Stunning upset last week has VT wondering what happened.
They were stomped by Vandy.
Not looking for any big bounce-back as Marshall has enough to stay in this game.
The VT pass defense is horrendous with a 216.00 defensive passer rating against a team that was 2-10 last year!

7:00PM
USF +30.5 over Alabama. 3 units.
Winning bowlers with +Plus numbers make good road dogs.
These two faced off last year and the game was a 3-17 loss for USF.
More important - the total yardage was only 278-237 in favor of Bama w/2 turnovers by USF.
 
10:30PM
San Diego State +5.5 over Oregon State. 3 units
ML+165. 2 units

Revenge game . OSU lost BOTH Starting QB's were going to be the starters. They both transferred out.
SDSU has a solid defensive base returning and could win this SU.

Worse yet, is OSU returns only 1 defefensie starter from last year!
To put this into perspective. This compares to my Texas play today with Michigan, who returned only 2 offensive starters this year. Result - Texas stomped them .

If SDSU can stop turnovers, which beat them last year - this game covers smd maybe wins SU

10:30
USC -28.5 over Utah State. 3 units

Really like USC because of how well the QB Moss threw long passes accurately last week vs LSU.
I recall he completed 5 passes for over 20 yards. Thats fatal to an opponent. It also shows me they have great receivers.

Line is large but its a risky play with Utah State returning 18* starters with the QB.
Utah State faced Robert Morris last week but they arent really anything but a basketball school.
Moss passed for 378 yds last week w/no int's against what most would say was a top 10 ranked team with a solid defense.

So - how good is the new QB for USC? He comes into this game with a 167.0 Rating against a SEC team that usually wins.
Utah state faced some solid bowl level teams lats LY - but were manhandled by Georgia State 45-22 with these same starters who allowed 35 pts per game on the season.
 
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