****G-Man's College Week 13 -- Happy Thanksgiving!****

Thursday
Thursday
Miss State +10.5(-120) over Mississippi. 4 units.
Worth a ML +310 play as well for 1 unit.
Note: I have a few different accounts and the ML was radically different between them. Both were 10 pt lines but...
One had M State +250 and this one I'm playing today is +310.


Lots of reads about Old Miss.
But two facts remain today that haven't been talked about.
Before last week -Miss St. had played its previous 4 games without the Starting QB and the last 3 without the starting top RB. Last week they both came back and Miss St won 41+20 over S. Miss.

These two teams today also played last year with a close win for Miss St. The maindiffference this year is that Miss St. has returned only 4 defensive starters from last year and they have slumped on defense because of it.
Offensively both teams returned starting QB's and most of their offenses.

Ole Miss QB, Dart, is banged up and could be hampered today. (Check status)
Also the fact that Miss State is home today plays a big role as they need a win to reach a bowl game.
Another fact is that last year in the Miss State win 24-22, they also had 3 turnovers or that score would have been much wider.
This being the second game back for the Starting QB (Rodgers) and RB for Miss State - gives them the game-speed experience they needed to get ready for this game today.
Last year Miss State was AT Old Miss getting 2.5. I dont see a 12 pint swing here in the teams differences - especially since this one is HOME for Miss State.
Miss State got rid of a bad first year coach, so they may have a boost today from it.
Like I always say - bad Coaches/Managers don't win games, they can only lose them.
Buy the half pt.
 
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Friday
Friday
Noon.
Nebraska ML -145 over Iowa. 3 units.

Neb Sophomore starter Purdy(1st Start last week) was the first QB for Nebraska to pass for over 100 yds in the last 5 games.
In fact - its the first time Nebraska totaled over 350 yds on offense since the win over La.Tech when they scored 28pts.
Play the over 24.5 also.
FYI
The over 24.5 on Nebraska is at BOL and Bookmaker is a 2 unit play.

Toledo -10 over C/Michigan. 3 units

Oklahoma -9.5 over TCU. 4 units.
Revenge game from last year when Ok lost as a 5 pt favorite to TCU 55-24.
Sooners can knock TCU out of a bowl bid. Sooner QB Gabriel was listed as (Q) . Check status.

Tulane -3.5 over UTSA 3 units
 
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Saturday
Saturday Noon.
Michigan ML -150 over Ohio State.., 5 units
OSU has the most improved defense from a year ago... But they lost an NFL level QB to the draft who could run. McCord isnt at that level and doesn't run..
Michigan wins it with their dominant run game, which is at 4.5 yds per carry and the better QB.

Duke -4(-120) over PITT. 3 units.
Blue Devils have the far better defense - but a backup QB. Pitt also has a backup QB but in his 3 starts they haven't scored over 13 points vs +plus scoring teams.

L'Ville -7 (-130) over KY. 3 units.
QB Plummer has vastly improved in QB rating (166). since leaving Cal in 2022 to transfer to L'ville.

He is a 5th year Senior.
KY is negative in Passer rating and also negative in first downs.

Will add plays
later
 
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More Friday plays.

UTSA +4 (-120) over Tulane. 3 units

Penn St -22.5 over Mich State. 3 units.
Unlikely for MSU to score over 10 pts.
 
4PM and later
Georgia -2 over GT. 5 units
Notre Dame -26 over Stanford. 3 units

FSU -6.5 over Fla. 3 units
Clemson -7.5 over S. Carolina. 3 units
UCLA -9 over Cal. 3 units
 
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