G-Man's College Plays Week 3. 9-13-08

G-Man

Pretty much a regular
I have several I'll be on.

Greek Lines today.

(Thursday) 9-11-08) N.Carolina +5.5 (2 Units) over Rutgers



(Friday 9-12-08) South Florida -3.5 (4 Units) Over Kansas



Saturday 9-13-08


Ohio State +10.5 ( 8 Units) Over USC
Ohio State ML +340 (2 units)


GA. Tech +6.5 (5 units) over V. Tech.. (Ga Tech lost LY on Six (6) turnovers 3-27)


Clemson -17 (-140) (4 Units) OVER N.C. State


South Carolina +7 (5 Units) Over Georgia


Tulane +13 (3 Units) Over East Carolina.


Bowling Green +16.5 (3 Units) Over Boise St.


Nevada +26.5 ( 3 units) Over Missouri


Michigan State -17.5 (5 Units) Over Fla Atlantic


New Mexico State +25 ( 3 units) over Nebraska


Washington +20 (4 units) Over Oklahoma


Penn State - 27 (4 Units) over Syracuse


Utah State +24.5 (3 Units) over Utah


Fresno State +1.5 ( 5 units) Over Wisky



GLTA


 
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Grading Window.




(Thursday) 9-11-08)
WON - N.Carolina +5.5 (2 Units) over Rutgers



(Friday 9-12-08)
LOSS South Florida -3.5 (4 Units) Over Kansa
s



Saturday 9-13-08


LOSS
Ohio State +10.5 ( 8 Units) Over USC
LOSS
Ohio State ML +340 (2 units)


WON
GA. Tech +6.5 (5 units) over V. Tech.. (Ga Tech lost LY on Six (6) turnovers 3-27)


WON
Clemson -17 (-140) (4 Units) OVER N.C. State


PUSH South Carolina +7 (5 Units) Over Georgia


WON
Tulane +13 (3 Units) Over East Carolina.


WON Bowling Green +16.5 (3 Units) Over Boise St.


LOSS Nevada +26.5 ( 3 units) Over Missouri


LOSS
Michigan State -17.5 (5 Units) Over Fla Atlantic


LOSS New Mexico State +25 ( 3 units) over Nebraska


LOSS Washington +20 (4 units) Over Oklahoma


WON
Penn State - 27 (4 Units) over Syracuse


LOSS Utah State +24.5 (3 Units) over Utah


LOSS Fresno State +1.5 ( 5 units) Over Wisky

Three 2nd half plays.

LOSS
Michigan -2. (2 Units)

LOSS Purdue +4.5 (2 units)

WON
Ga. Tech +3 ( 2 units)


GLTA



.

I'll share some insight here in a way that few would ever do. Take a good look at this list of teams and really look at how they compare. My notes on each are added.

Game (Spread) Pick Distribution (%)

1. Wisconsin (11) (-1.5) 70% FRESNO ST.(20) (1.5) 30%
Two (2) ranked teams only a 1.5 spread. 70% on the favorite??? Upset game.

2. SO. FLORIDA
(19) (-3.5 )33% Kansas (3.5) (13) 67%
A better ranked team as a dog? But the public is suckered in anyway on Kansas.

3. Georgia (2) (-7.0) 91% SOUTH CAROLINA (7.0) 9% PUSH.
A #2 team only laying 7 on the road against an unranked team? Low scoring, maybe no-cover for GA? Red Zone turnovers took away a sure win from SC...

4. Oregon (16) (-8.0) 82% PURDUE (8.0) 18%
A #16 averaged ranked team laying 8 in a Big Ten house??

5. BYU (18) (-8.0) 40% UCLA (8.0) 60%
A UCLA team w/QB? (4 int's LW), thats not in the same class of BYU - has 60% of the plays on them?

6. Auburn (10) (-10.5) 85%
MISSISSIPPI ST. (10.5) 15%
Is this what all the public thinks,> - Vegas is getting EVEN action on games ??? UPSET.

7. USC (1) (-10.5) 65% Ohio St. (3) (10.5) 35%
Number #1 against a #3 laying 10.5?/ I dont think so. Dog day...

8. East Carolina (14) (-13.0) 87% TULANE (13.0) 13%
EC cant play any better or get any more breaks than they have and now could be in for a letdown? Why isnt this line 17 or more??? Because 87% of the bets are on them and winning by 2 TD's is tough on the road. That # 14 ranking is all hype.

9. California (23) (-14.5) 81%
MARYLAND (14.5) 19%
More than 2 TD's? Traveling 3 hours time zone? Motivation? Dog appears to be dead??? LOST SU

10. Oklahoma (#4) (-20.5) 80% WASHINGTON (20.5) 20%
Can the huskies keep it close?

11. ARIZONA ST. (13) (-23.0) 86% UNLV (23.0) 14%
Maybe the only game that covers big?

12. ILLINOIS (24) (-24.5) 91% LA Lafayette (24.5) 9%
Illinois rolls.

13. Utah (23) (-24.5) 72% UTAH ST. (24.5) 28%
Leary of this in-state rival and UTAH looking ahead. UTAH didnt cover LY -21. UTAH is only ranked #23. They only out-gained St. by 50 yds LY. Lingering effects of Michigan win possibly makes them over confident.

14. MISSOURI (6) (-26.5) 86%
Nevada (26.5) 14%
Tigers were outgained passing against Illinois and only had a total yardage advantage of 17.

15. Penn St. (17) (-27.0) 79%
SYRACUSE (27.0) 21%
Cuse is getting outgained by 170 yds per game against poor teams. Panthers by 40.

16. ALABAMA (19) (-28.0) 84% West. Kentucky (28.0) 16%
Is this another Appalachian St?

17. TEXAS TECH (13) (-36.5) 67% SMU (36.5) 33%

18. LSU (-41.5) 69% North Texas (41.5) 31%
Why is this game lined? 72-0

60 percent or more of these favorites in percentage(%) bet on, should fail against the pread or the books are getting killed this week...

Final ATS 8-9-1
 
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you pretty much have the opposite of every call i made except South Florida.

Good Luck though.
 
GL G-Man, likey S. FL tonight, still debating OSU/USC, can your boys do it? Concur on Tulane and Bowling Green
 
Three 2nd half plays.

Michigan -2. (2 Units)

Purdue +4.5 (2 units)

Ga. Tech +3 ( 2 units)
 
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