Grading Window.
(Thursday) 9-11-08)
WON - N.Carolina +5.5 (2 Units) over Rutgers
(Friday 9-12-08)
LOSS South Florida -3.5 (4 Units) Over Kansas
Saturday 9-13-08
LOSS Ohio State +10.5 ( 8 Units) Over USC
LOSS Ohio State ML +340 (2 units)
WON GA. Tech +6.5 (5 units) over V. Tech.. (Ga Tech lost LY on Six (6) turnovers 3-27)
WON Clemson -17 (-140) (4 Units) OVER N.C. State
PUSH South Carolina +7 (5 Units) Over Georgia
WON Tulane +13 (3 Units) Over East Carolina.
WON Bowling Green +16.5 (3 Units) Over Boise St.
LOSS Nevada +26.5 ( 3 units) Over Missouri
LOSS Michigan State -17.5 (5 Units) Over Fla Atlantic
LOSS New Mexico State +25 ( 3 units) over Nebraska
LOSS Washington +20 (4 units) Over Oklahoma
WON Penn State - 27 (4 Units) over Syracuse
LOSS Utah State +24.5 (3 Units) over Utah
LOSS Fresno State +1.5 ( 5 units) Over Wisky
Three 2nd half plays.
LOSS Michigan -2. (2 Units)
LOSS Purdue +4.5 (2 units)
WON Ga. Tech +3 ( 2 units)
GLTA
.
I'll share some insight here in a way that few would ever do. Take a good look at this list of teams and really look at how they compare. My notes on each are added.
Game (Spread) Pick Distribution (%)
1. Wisconsin (11) (-1.5) 70% FRESNO ST.(20) (1.5) 30%
Two (2) ranked teams only a 1.5 spread. 70% on the favorite??? Upset game.
2. SO. FLORIDA (19) (-3.
5 )33%
Kansas (3.5) (13) 67%
A better ranked team as a dog? But the public is suckered in anyway on Kansas.
3. Georgia (2) (-7.0) 91% SOUTH CAROLINA (7.0) 9% PUSH.
A #2 team only laying 7 on the road against an unranked team? Low scoring, maybe no-cover for GA?
Red Zone turnovers took away a sure win from SC...
4. Oregon (16) (-8.0) 82% PURDUE (8.0) 18%
A #16 averaged ranked team laying 8 in a Big Ten house??
5. BYU (18) (-8.0) 40%
UCLA (8.0) 60%
A UCLA team w/QB? (4 int's LW), thats not in the same class of BYU - has 60% of the plays on them?
6. Auburn (10) (-10.5) 85% MISSISSIPPI ST. (10.5) 15%
Is this what all the public thinks,> - Vegas is getting EVEN action on games ??? UPSET.
7. USC (1) (-10.5) 65% Ohio St. (3) (10.5) 35%
Number #1 against a #3 laying 10.5?/ I dont think so. Dog day...
8. East Carolina (14) (-13.0) 87% TULANE (13.0) 13%
EC cant play any better or get any more breaks than they have and now could be in for a letdown? Why isnt this line 17 or more??? Because 87% of the bets are on them and winning by 2 TD's is tough on the road. That # 14 ranking is all hype.
9. California (23) (-14.5) 81% MARYLAND (14.5) 19%
More than 2 TD's? Traveling 3 hours time zone? Motivation? Dog appears to be dead???
LOST SU
10. Oklahoma (#4) (-20.5) 80% WASHINGTON (20.5) 20%
Can the huskies keep it close?
11. ARIZONA ST. (13) (-23.0) 86% UNLV (23.0) 14%
Maybe the only game that covers big?
12. ILLINOIS (24) (-24.5) 91% LA Lafayette (24.5) 9%
Illinois rolls.
13. Utah (23) (-24.5) 72% UTAH ST. (24.5) 28%
Leary of this in-state rival and UTAH looking ahead. UTAH didnt cover LY -21. UTAH is only ranked #23. They only out-gained St. by 50 yds LY. Lingering effects of Michigan win possibly makes them over confident.
14. MISSOURI (6) (-26.5) 86% Nevada (26.5) 14%
Tigers were outgained passing against Illinois and only had a total yardage advantage of 17.
15. Penn St. (17) (-27.0) 79% SYRACUSE (27.0) 21%
Cuse is getting outgained by 170 yds per game against poor teams. Panthers by 40.
16. ALABAMA (19) (-28.0) 84% West. Kentucky (28.0) 16%
Is this another Appalachian St?
17. TEXAS TECH (13) (-36.5) 67% SMU (36.5) 33%
18. LSU (-41.5) 69% North Texas (41.5) 31%
Why is this game lined? 72-0
60 percent or more of these favorites in percentage(%) bet on, should fail against the pread or the books are getting killed this week...
Final ATS 8-9-1