Last year I was hot and heavy on Buffalo being overrated and bet them Under and lost big. Total misread. Now I'm coming 180. I think Buffalo -270 to win AFC East is a gift. Barring injury of course, I can't see the others beating them. Miami just seems to be going down, NE not ready yet and I don't see Jets with Fields. My other thought is KC Under 11.5. Just think it's time to fade Mahomes. Mahomes looked slower last year to me, much more pocket guy now. Kelce pretty much looks done too. Schedule is very tough. And I think all 3 division foes will be tougher this year. Even LV, as Geno is no Brady but a lot better than what they had. KC has to go 12-5 to beat it and i don't see it. Haven't bet either yet and no rush. Curious on people's thoughts.
Futures Thoughts
- Thread starter lvmike32
- Start date
DOUBLEUP4LIFE
Proud Member of Bills Mafia
If you want to bet the BILLS to win the division I strongly recommend waiting until they lose a game ..Week 1 a Ravens squad blood thirsty for revenge comes to Orchard Park , it's a much bigger game for the Ravens than the BILLS ...The last 2 years BUFFALO has come out really flat for the opener barely beating Arizona last season ( Zona would have won had Murray seen Harrison wide open for a game winning TD ) , the year before they lost to an inferior Jets squad .. While they won the year before that ( 2022 at Rams ) the BILLS lost the year before at home vs the Steelers ..
If the BILLS lose week 1 that price will likely drop under -200 ...
McDermott is often ill prepared for week 1 imo ..
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wiseplayer
Let Me Be Frank With You
Rams at 9.5 wins is laughable again. You never know with injuries but on paper they’re winning minimum 10.
Thanks for getting this started Mike.
Here are some very early takes after the Super Bowl
I played some Cincy Bengals right away and recently added some small positions on Minnesota Vikings and Atlanta Falcons.
More to come as the summer goes on.
Here are some very early takes after the Super Bowl
I played some Cincy Bengals right away and recently added some small positions on Minnesota Vikings and Atlanta Falcons.
More to come as the summer goes on.
I'll give my quick Detroit take...
I wanted an under but the # is set perfectly and you're paying a price for the under.
The schedule is hard on paper, but the way the NFL set things up helps the team a bit. I was willing to lay that tariff until schedule release night.
So, pass for now unless a number pops.
There is a lot of moving parts right now. With that being said, the regular season will have several less wins than last year, but I believe they can be more of a playoff factor (provided they get there).
I wanted an under but the # is set perfectly and you're paying a price for the under.
The schedule is hard on paper, but the way the NFL set things up helps the team a bit. I was willing to lay that tariff until schedule release night.
So, pass for now unless a number pops.
There is a lot of moving parts right now. With that being said, the regular season will have several less wins than last year, but I believe they can be more of a playoff factor (provided they get there).
I was reviewing that schedule on Sunday night ...
A few notes:
Opening at NY Jets is pretty funny.
They should win that and then 3 of the next 4 they better win. The 4th is at home vs Minny. Doable.
After that, they play a lot of playoff teams from last year --
The non playoff teams?
Cincy (twice), who basically was a playoff team
Chicago, who will be hugely improved.
Cleveland.
The Steelers need to be 6-2 IMO or at worst 5-3 halfway through -- if not, things could go south.
9-10 doable with a good start.
KJ
Minister of Communication
Simply a model of consistency and if/when Rodgers goes down Rudolph is 8-4-1 as a starter with them
Doing schedule strength year over year in the NFL is a never ending yard sale imo, not sure the entire relevance in it. Many do, I sure would not. And I still don't buy Cincinnati but know many do as well so there's that.
Crazy stat, Tomlin is 73% over win totals at Pittsburgh. Bet against it if you'd like to. Again not much the trend bettor nor a futures bettor but that's a golden goose.
Gotta get Watt resigned. Everybody says Garrett reset the market at 40m. But I dont blame GMs for not letting anything Cleveland does define the market. Still Watt Hendricksen Parsons probably all want close to it or better.
Minnesota is a little shocking. 14 wins ly and 8.5 this year.
DOUBLEUP4LIFE
Proud Member of Bills Mafia
All over this one , also have them winning the division on 93% of my parlays tickets where the NFC West is selected .
A few very tough schedule spots doesn't help.
I think they have potential to be better (albeit less wins)
DOUBLEUP4LIFE
Proud Member of Bills Mafia
Agree , like the additions as well on both sides of the ball ..Could fair better in the playoffs with this roster ..But for the regular season the schedule is stiff .
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