It is what it is, question here is...
Who do I trust more in a playoff-type intensity game ?
Answer - The Spurs.
Yes, the Rockets will play better than they did the other night but they are nothing more than a one-trick pony. ATS would be my only concern hence the ML.
Spurs are 24-8 SU as a road fave in April since Timmy became the man (2003). 2-0 SU this season.
Spurs are 12-1 SU after winning 9 straight since Timmy became the man (2003). Have won their last 10 in this scenario.
Home dogs with a winning percentage of 60% or more in April (not including playoffs) are 5-16 SU since the 04/05 season (0-1 SU this season).
Home dogs with a better home winning percentage than their opponent's road winning percentage in April (not including playoffs) are 113-283 SU since the 04/05 season (4-17 SU this season).