bloodhound
Sniffing out wins
updates... some may remember the 121 series parlas posted on Mon. they went 65-56 +43.5U
sides/totals for Wed went 13-4-1 +10.2 total of 53.7 on Wed
Thur went 8-2 +4.92 including the Pirates series win
ytd posted +229.02
Friday
Atlanta Braves* -1 -134 vs New York Mets 500/370 I havent had time to go thru the entire slate but I like this one and think the Braves bats will carry over from recent home stand where they have thrived at home, but haven't enjoyed the same success on the road.Fortunately for them the slumping Mets haven't held much of a home-field advantage.The Braves have won six in a row and seven of nine. New York is 3-8 in its last 11 games and just 2-11 at home in its last 13. The Mets have scored three runs or fewer in 12 of their past 16 games.Medlen is 0-4, 4.54 in his last six starts but is looking for only his second win of the season. He has a 3.02 ERA for the season.Medlen has the majors' second-lowest run support average at 2.38, allowed one unearned run and two hits over seven innings but didn't factor in the decision of Saturday's 3-1 victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Mets Hefner is 0-1 with a 8.53 ERA (six earned runs in 6 1/3 innings) in his career against the Braves, spanning two appearances (one start). His last start against Atlanta was Sept. 8, when he went 2 2/3 innings and gave up five earned runs on eight hits. The Mets are 0-8 in Hefner's starts this season, and 7-14 in his 21 career starts. Mets are 0-8 when Hefner starts (0-2, 6.19 last three).
Atlanta Braves (3 Game Series)* -180 vs New York Mets (3 Game Series) 500/278
Pittsburgh Pirates* -101 vs Milwaukee Brewers 101/100
Pittsburgh Pirates/Milwaukee Brewers* Under 7½ -110 110/100... this may not be the right side here but Pirates, even though the bats are struggling, are playing good ball over all and the Brewers are not.Burnett (3-4, 2.57 ERA), and has a 2.57 ERA with 22 strikeouts in 21 innings in his last three outings, but has lost both decisions while receiving four total runs of support.Estrada (3-2, 5.44) is 1-1 with a 9.31 ERA in four home starts, including a 12-8 win over Pittsburgh on April 30. The under is 4-0 in Burnett's last four starts and is 8-2 in his 10 starts this season. The Bucs ace barely gets any run support at all this year as the offense provides him with just 2.60 runs per game.Milwaukee is just 4-17 in its last 21 games, and they are in a tailspin. This team lost three of four at Pittsburgh in mid-May, and the Pirates should get the job done this weekend for a series win
Pittsburgh Pirates (3 Game Series)* +110 vs Milwaukee Brewers (3 Game Series)
Cincinnati Reds* -150 vs Chicago Cubs150/100 ...Reds are hot, Cubs are not. But Cubs won last five Feldman starts (4-0, 1.27). Arroyo is 2-0, 0.00 (14.1 IP) in his last two starts.Feldman does give the Cubbies somewhat of a fighting chance here, but it won't be enough against the red hot Reds. Cincinnati comes into tonight having won 10 of 12. They also have the advantage of having had Thursday off while the Cubs were in Pittsburgh. Chicago got swept by the Pirates and has now lost four in a row. Things are once again not looking good on the Northside. The Reds come in averaging 5.5 runs per game at home
Cincinnati Reds (3 Game Series)* -225 vs Chicago Cubs (3 Game Series) 450/200
Philadelphia Phillies/Washington Nationals* Under 7 -140 140/100... Kendrick is 3-1, 2.20 in his last seven starts. Zimmerman is 4-1, 1.13 in his last five outings. Seven of last eight Philly road games stayed under the total. Runs have come at a premium lately for the Washington Nationals, putting a big burden on their starting pitchers. I prefer the Under here over trying to pick a side.
San Diego Padres* +128 vs Arizona Diamondbacks 100/128
San Diego Padres/Arizona Diamondbacks* Under 9½ -135 270/200 ... like the dog in this spot with Arizona offense looking awfully sluggish over the past two weeks, scoring two runs or fewer in seven of the past eleven games. San Diego starter Stults has been sharp lately while recording a 2.29 ERA in his last three starts. It's going to take some offense that neither of these teams have demonstrated with any consistency of late to get over the 8 1/2 "total" tonight at Chase Field, and also note the D-backs' 10-2-1 "under" mark their last 13 games.
St. Louis Cardinals* -118 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 118/100 ... not in love with the Cards but they do have an edge with Lynn on the mound @ 6-1, 2.82 in his last eight starts. Lynn is 6-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.164 WHIP through nine starts this season. Capuano is 1-2 with a 5.49 ERA and 1.424 WHIP through four starts this season, including 1-2 with an 8.03 ERA and 1.865 WHIP in his last three home starts.
Colorado Rockies* +144 vs San Francisco Giants 100/144 ...both teams playing decent over the last five or so.Rockies won five of their last six games. San Francisco won five of its last six home games. Chatwood is 2-0, 0.77 in his last couple starts while Lincecum is 1-2, 6.00 in his last four starts.
back in a bit I hope
sides/totals for Wed went 13-4-1 +10.2 total of 53.7 on Wed
Thur went 8-2 +4.92 including the Pirates series win
ytd posted +229.02
Friday
Atlanta Braves* -1 -134 vs New York Mets 500/370 I havent had time to go thru the entire slate but I like this one and think the Braves bats will carry over from recent home stand where they have thrived at home, but haven't enjoyed the same success on the road.Fortunately for them the slumping Mets haven't held much of a home-field advantage.The Braves have won six in a row and seven of nine. New York is 3-8 in its last 11 games and just 2-11 at home in its last 13. The Mets have scored three runs or fewer in 12 of their past 16 games.Medlen is 0-4, 4.54 in his last six starts but is looking for only his second win of the season. He has a 3.02 ERA for the season.Medlen has the majors' second-lowest run support average at 2.38, allowed one unearned run and two hits over seven innings but didn't factor in the decision of Saturday's 3-1 victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Mets Hefner is 0-1 with a 8.53 ERA (six earned runs in 6 1/3 innings) in his career against the Braves, spanning two appearances (one start). His last start against Atlanta was Sept. 8, when he went 2 2/3 innings and gave up five earned runs on eight hits. The Mets are 0-8 in Hefner's starts this season, and 7-14 in his 21 career starts. Mets are 0-8 when Hefner starts (0-2, 6.19 last three).
Atlanta Braves (3 Game Series)* -180 vs New York Mets (3 Game Series) 500/278
Pittsburgh Pirates* -101 vs Milwaukee Brewers 101/100
Pittsburgh Pirates/Milwaukee Brewers* Under 7½ -110 110/100... this may not be the right side here but Pirates, even though the bats are struggling, are playing good ball over all and the Brewers are not.Burnett (3-4, 2.57 ERA), and has a 2.57 ERA with 22 strikeouts in 21 innings in his last three outings, but has lost both decisions while receiving four total runs of support.Estrada (3-2, 5.44) is 1-1 with a 9.31 ERA in four home starts, including a 12-8 win over Pittsburgh on April 30. The under is 4-0 in Burnett's last four starts and is 8-2 in his 10 starts this season. The Bucs ace barely gets any run support at all this year as the offense provides him with just 2.60 runs per game.Milwaukee is just 4-17 in its last 21 games, and they are in a tailspin. This team lost three of four at Pittsburgh in mid-May, and the Pirates should get the job done this weekend for a series win
Pittsburgh Pirates (3 Game Series)* +110 vs Milwaukee Brewers (3 Game Series)
Cincinnati Reds* -150 vs Chicago Cubs150/100 ...Reds are hot, Cubs are not. But Cubs won last five Feldman starts (4-0, 1.27). Arroyo is 2-0, 0.00 (14.1 IP) in his last two starts.Feldman does give the Cubbies somewhat of a fighting chance here, but it won't be enough against the red hot Reds. Cincinnati comes into tonight having won 10 of 12. They also have the advantage of having had Thursday off while the Cubs were in Pittsburgh. Chicago got swept by the Pirates and has now lost four in a row. Things are once again not looking good on the Northside. The Reds come in averaging 5.5 runs per game at home
Cincinnati Reds (3 Game Series)* -225 vs Chicago Cubs (3 Game Series) 450/200
Philadelphia Phillies/Washington Nationals* Under 7 -140 140/100... Kendrick is 3-1, 2.20 in his last seven starts. Zimmerman is 4-1, 1.13 in his last five outings. Seven of last eight Philly road games stayed under the total. Runs have come at a premium lately for the Washington Nationals, putting a big burden on their starting pitchers. I prefer the Under here over trying to pick a side.
San Diego Padres* +128 vs Arizona Diamondbacks 100/128
San Diego Padres/Arizona Diamondbacks* Under 9½ -135 270/200 ... like the dog in this spot with Arizona offense looking awfully sluggish over the past two weeks, scoring two runs or fewer in seven of the past eleven games. San Diego starter Stults has been sharp lately while recording a 2.29 ERA in his last three starts. It's going to take some offense that neither of these teams have demonstrated with any consistency of late to get over the 8 1/2 "total" tonight at Chase Field, and also note the D-backs' 10-2-1 "under" mark their last 13 games.
St. Louis Cardinals* -118 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 118/100 ... not in love with the Cards but they do have an edge with Lynn on the mound @ 6-1, 2.82 in his last eight starts. Lynn is 6-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.164 WHIP through nine starts this season. Capuano is 1-2 with a 5.49 ERA and 1.424 WHIP through four starts this season, including 1-2 with an 8.03 ERA and 1.865 WHIP in his last three home starts.
Colorado Rockies* +144 vs San Francisco Giants 100/144 ...both teams playing decent over the last five or so.Rockies won five of their last six games. San Francisco won five of its last six home games. Chatwood is 2-0, 0.77 in his last couple starts while Lincecum is 1-2, 6.00 in his last four starts.
back in a bit I hope
