Bear
Pretty much a regular
Yesterday: 2-4 -351
YTD: 320-293 +1137
Cubs TT over 3' 180/150 L
Milwaukee TT over 3' 172/150 L
Texas/Minn over 5 (1st 5) 120/100 L
LAA/Boston over 10 110/100
Copy and paste from another site. Maybe you can find something useful........................
Series info...................
Cincinnati at Washington (4) 30th, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Nationals were riding high atop the NL East but their fortunes
have taken a turn for the worse in recent days (3-7, -$700 last 10
days) and their lead in the division has narrowed considerably. They
have a chance to get healthy vs. the dreadful Reds, who are only
11-25 (-$945) outside of Great American Ballpark. Washington averages
a healthy 4.6 runs per game vs. righthanders, and they’ll
be facing the worst pitching staff in MLB (5.42 ERA). The Nats’
mound corps checks in with a 3.40 team mark, so we expect them
to get back on track here. BEST BET: Nationals vs. righthanders.
Chicago Cubs at N.Y. Mets (4) 30th, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Cubs are going through a dry spell (4-6, -$640 in their last 10),
but they remain the team to beat in the National League, and this
could be a good spot for them. Despite their recent difficulties they
are 23-15 outside of Wrigley Field, and they’ve averaged 5.4 runs
per game vs. righthanders in 2016. They have five terrific starters
and the best ERA in MLB (2.79) while the Mets have dropped a
bundle vs. righties at CitiField (-$900 so far). New York’s pitching
is solid (3.17 ERA, 2nd best in the NL), but the visitor looks like a
terrific value. BEST BET: Cubs when righty meets righty.
Miami at Atlanta (4) 30th, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
Not much was expected from Marlins in 2016, but they have been
impressive (.269 team BA, 2nd best in the NL, 3.96 ERA, 6th best)
and are just three games out of first place in their division as the
season’s mid-point draws near. But they’ve had little success vs. the
Braves in head to head play (2-6, -$770) and Atlanta has been hot
lately (7-3, +$945 last 10 days). We have some misgivings about
using the Braves here at Turner Field (only 11-29 at home so far),
but Julio Teheran has looked sensational (2.46 ERA in 16 starts)
and Miami has been a losing proposition vs. righthanders (-$380,
averaging 4.1 runs per game). BEST BET: Teheran.
Cleveland at Toronto (4) 30th, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The sizzling hot Indians (9-0, +$940 last 10 days) have opened up
a significant lead in the AL Central, thanks to a very hot pitching
staff (3.51 team ERA, tops in the league), but they face a tough
challenge here at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays have been looking
good on the mound (3.89 team ERA, 3rd in the AL) and their offense
is gaining momentum, averaging 5.1 per game vs. righties.
Three afternoon games in this series is bad news for the Tribe. They
have lost money vs. righties in day games (-$210) while Toronto
checks in with a 12-5 record vs. righties in day games (+$650).
Look for the home team to slow down the surging Indians. BEST
BET: Blue Jays when righty meets righty in day games.
Detroit at Tampa Bay (4) 30th, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Tigers took 2 out of 3 from this team at Comerica, and the Rays
appear to be in free-fall at the moment (0-11, -$1190 in their last 11,
averaging just 2.6 runs per game at the plate). Detroit has turned a
profit vs. righthanders in 2016 (+$295) and they are in decent shape
to make a run at the post-season. Their pitching situation could
stand some improvement, but they’ll have two capable arms on the
mound in Jordan Zimmermann (+$395, 3.82 ERA) and veteran Justin
Verlander. We’ll back the visitor when either one is on the hill.
BEST BET: Zimmermann & Verlander vs. righthanders.
Baltimore at Seattle (4) 30th, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Orioles continue to dominate at Camden Yards, but they’ll need
to improve their disappointing road numbers vs. righthanders 8-14,
-$495) if they hope to hold onto the top spot in the competitive AL
East. The Mariners have been hurt with some key pitching injuries
and they’ve fallen 10 games off the pace in the AL West. They’ve
been a huge money-burner here at Safeco Field (-$1025) and their
offense has cooled off since May (4.2 runs per game in the last 10
days). We’ll stay away from this one for now. BEST BET: None.
BEGINNING, FRIDAY, JULY 1
Milwaukee at St. Louis (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Cardinals have been big run producers this year (5.2 per game
so far) but are coming of a mediocre week (4-6, -$140 last 10 days)
and their numbers here at Busch Stadium have been disastrous (15-
21, -$1250). The Brewers aren’t going to be a factor in the postseason
race, but they have a 14-10 record vs. lefthanders (+$685)
so we’ll take a shot vs. Jaime Garcia, St. Louis’s lone southpaw
starter. They’ve also gotten a boost from the return of Matt Garza
(2.81 ERA in three outings) and he’s expected to take his next turn
this weekend. We should catch nice prices on the visitor throughout.
BEST BET: Garza/Brewers vs. J. Garcia.
San Francisco at Arizona (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Diamondbacks have been excellent as a road team this year,
but they’ve been shockingly bad when playing here at Chase Field
(only 13-25, -$1640). The Giants are still riding high atop the NL
West standings (8-2, +$410 last 10 days) and their numbers on the
road have been outstanding (25-14, +$1010). They hit the jackpot
in the off season when they acquired Johnny Cueto (+$1100, 2.42
ERA) and Jeff Samardzija (+$300, 3.60), both of whom are expected
to take the mound this weekend. We’ll climb on board with
those two when they go. BEST BET: Cueto/Samardzija.
Colorado at L.A. Dodgers (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Dodgers have a big pitching advantage over the Rockies (3.42
ERA vs. 5.04 for Colorado) and they have been playing well in recent
days, but we’re not excited about using them in this spot. They
are still well off the pace in the NL West and they’ve been a losing
proposition vs. lefthanders in 2016 (-$480, averaging just 3.1 runs
per game). The Rockies have turned a nice profit outside of Coors
Field (+$660) so we’ll take a shot if they send a southpaw to the
hill. We should get a terrific underdog price on the visitor. BEST
BET: Lefthanders vs. the Dodgers.
L.A. Angels at Boston (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Red Sox haven’t turned a profit despite a record well north of
.500 and the most prolific offense in the majors (.288 team BA,
averaging 5.6 runs per game), but they should dispatch the hapless
Angels without much difficulty. LA has hit the skids in 2016
(-$1375) and they’ll be battling just to avoid the AL West cellar between
now and October. Steven Wright is having a fantastic season
for Boston (2.19 ERA in 15 starts) and he matches up well with LA.
Prices could get inflated, but the ace Boston righthander looks like
a solid value nonetheless. BEST BET: S. Wright.
Chicago W. Sox at Houston (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
These two teams have both seen a dramatic change in their season
in recent weeks, with the White Sox dropping below .500 after
dominating in April & May, while the Astros have been unstoppable
over the past month. Houston has won 8 of its last 10 (+$555, averaging
6.2 runs per game on offense) and their pitching now ranks
4th best in the American League (3.98). With Texas’s rotation suffering
key injuries, the Astros have a chance to make up ground and
get back into the post-season. They are 9-2 in day games at Minute
Maid Park (+$645), so we’ll take a chance in the two scheduled
afternoon contests. BEST BET: Astros in day games.
Texas at Minnesota (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Rangers took a hit when Colby Lewis landed in the DL for an
extended stint last weekend, and Yu Darvish remains unavailable,
but Texas is still in prime position in the AL West. They’ve gone
8-2 in the past 10 days (+$600) and their numbers vs. righthanders
are sensational (+$2460). Minnesota has the worst record in the
league (-$2185 overall) and their pitiful pitching staff (5.23 ERA,
worst in MLB) will be hard pressed to hold the Texas hitters in
check. The home team will be fortunate to salvage a victory here at
Target Field. BEST BET: Rangers vs. righthanders.
Kansas City at Philadelphia (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
At times this year the Royals have resembled the team that won the
World Series last fall, but they’ve had some ugly stretches as well.
Their starters have been getting hammered in recent days (6.99
mERA in their last 10) and they’ve had very little success outside
of Kaufman Stadium (only 13-25, -$1080 so far). They are also a
losing proposition in inter-league play (-$300) but we can’t pull the
trigger and back the home team. The Phillies continue to flounder
(2-9, -$485 in their last 11) and their stats are horrible (.230 team
BA worst in the league, with a 4.37 ERA). We’ll take a closer look
on game day, but we’ll pass for now. BEST BET: None.
Pittsburgh at Oakland (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
After winning 98 games in 2015 the Pirates have been derailed this
year, in large part because the pitching has fallen off so dramatically
(4.54 team ERA, 3rd worst in the NL). But they have a winning
record vs. lefthanders (+$490, averaging 4.9 runs per game at
the plate) and the sad sack Athletics are struggling to put together a
reliable rotation (4.58 team ERA, 2nd worst in the AL). They may
send a lefty to the mound at the Coliseum this weekend, and if they
do we’ll look for the Bucs to prevail, as they look to compete for
a wildcard slot in the 2nd half. BEST BET: Pirates vs. lefthanders.
N.Y. Yankees at San Diego (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Yankees are hovering around the .500 mark, but they are an
average team at best (.248 team BA, 4.28 ERA) and they could
have a rough weekend when they venture into Petco Park. The Padres
have an outstanding young lefthander in Drew Pomeranz (2.76
ERA in 15 starts) and he’ll be opposing a New York club that has
lost money away from the Bronx (-$535), and averages just 3.9 runs
per game vs. southpaws. San Diego has a very profitable record vs.
lefties (+$710, averaging 5.8 runs per game) so they are worth a try
against C.C. Sabathia, who may still be nursing a
YTD: 320-293 +1137
Cubs TT over 3' 180/150 L
Milwaukee TT over 3' 172/150 L
Texas/Minn over 5 (1st 5) 120/100 L
LAA/Boston over 10 110/100
Copy and paste from another site. Maybe you can find something useful........................
Series info...................
Cincinnati at Washington (4) 30th, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Nationals were riding high atop the NL East but their fortunes
have taken a turn for the worse in recent days (3-7, -$700 last 10
days) and their lead in the division has narrowed considerably. They
have a chance to get healthy vs. the dreadful Reds, who are only
11-25 (-$945) outside of Great American Ballpark. Washington averages
a healthy 4.6 runs per game vs. righthanders, and they’ll
be facing the worst pitching staff in MLB (5.42 ERA). The Nats’
mound corps checks in with a 3.40 team mark, so we expect them
to get back on track here. BEST BET: Nationals vs. righthanders.
Chicago Cubs at N.Y. Mets (4) 30th, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Cubs are going through a dry spell (4-6, -$640 in their last 10),
but they remain the team to beat in the National League, and this
could be a good spot for them. Despite their recent difficulties they
are 23-15 outside of Wrigley Field, and they’ve averaged 5.4 runs
per game vs. righthanders in 2016. They have five terrific starters
and the best ERA in MLB (2.79) while the Mets have dropped a
bundle vs. righties at CitiField (-$900 so far). New York’s pitching
is solid (3.17 ERA, 2nd best in the NL), but the visitor looks like a
terrific value. BEST BET: Cubs when righty meets righty.
Miami at Atlanta (4) 30th, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
Not much was expected from Marlins in 2016, but they have been
impressive (.269 team BA, 2nd best in the NL, 3.96 ERA, 6th best)
and are just three games out of first place in their division as the
season’s mid-point draws near. But they’ve had little success vs. the
Braves in head to head play (2-6, -$770) and Atlanta has been hot
lately (7-3, +$945 last 10 days). We have some misgivings about
using the Braves here at Turner Field (only 11-29 at home so far),
but Julio Teheran has looked sensational (2.46 ERA in 16 starts)
and Miami has been a losing proposition vs. righthanders (-$380,
averaging 4.1 runs per game). BEST BET: Teheran.
Cleveland at Toronto (4) 30th, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The sizzling hot Indians (9-0, +$940 last 10 days) have opened up
a significant lead in the AL Central, thanks to a very hot pitching
staff (3.51 team ERA, tops in the league), but they face a tough
challenge here at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays have been looking
good on the mound (3.89 team ERA, 3rd in the AL) and their offense
is gaining momentum, averaging 5.1 per game vs. righties.
Three afternoon games in this series is bad news for the Tribe. They
have lost money vs. righties in day games (-$210) while Toronto
checks in with a 12-5 record vs. righties in day games (+$650).
Look for the home team to slow down the surging Indians. BEST
BET: Blue Jays when righty meets righty in day games.
Detroit at Tampa Bay (4) 30th, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Tigers took 2 out of 3 from this team at Comerica, and the Rays
appear to be in free-fall at the moment (0-11, -$1190 in their last 11,
averaging just 2.6 runs per game at the plate). Detroit has turned a
profit vs. righthanders in 2016 (+$295) and they are in decent shape
to make a run at the post-season. Their pitching situation could
stand some improvement, but they’ll have two capable arms on the
mound in Jordan Zimmermann (+$395, 3.82 ERA) and veteran Justin
Verlander. We’ll back the visitor when either one is on the hill.
BEST BET: Zimmermann & Verlander vs. righthanders.
Baltimore at Seattle (4) 30th, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Orioles continue to dominate at Camden Yards, but they’ll need
to improve their disappointing road numbers vs. righthanders 8-14,
-$495) if they hope to hold onto the top spot in the competitive AL
East. The Mariners have been hurt with some key pitching injuries
and they’ve fallen 10 games off the pace in the AL West. They’ve
been a huge money-burner here at Safeco Field (-$1025) and their
offense has cooled off since May (4.2 runs per game in the last 10
days). We’ll stay away from this one for now. BEST BET: None.
BEGINNING, FRIDAY, JULY 1
Milwaukee at St. Louis (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Cardinals have been big run producers this year (5.2 per game
so far) but are coming of a mediocre week (4-6, -$140 last 10 days)
and their numbers here at Busch Stadium have been disastrous (15-
21, -$1250). The Brewers aren’t going to be a factor in the postseason
race, but they have a 14-10 record vs. lefthanders (+$685)
so we’ll take a shot vs. Jaime Garcia, St. Louis’s lone southpaw
starter. They’ve also gotten a boost from the return of Matt Garza
(2.81 ERA in three outings) and he’s expected to take his next turn
this weekend. We should catch nice prices on the visitor throughout.
BEST BET: Garza/Brewers vs. J. Garcia.
San Francisco at Arizona (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Diamondbacks have been excellent as a road team this year,
but they’ve been shockingly bad when playing here at Chase Field
(only 13-25, -$1640). The Giants are still riding high atop the NL
West standings (8-2, +$410 last 10 days) and their numbers on the
road have been outstanding (25-14, +$1010). They hit the jackpot
in the off season when they acquired Johnny Cueto (+$1100, 2.42
ERA) and Jeff Samardzija (+$300, 3.60), both of whom are expected
to take the mound this weekend. We’ll climb on board with
those two when they go. BEST BET: Cueto/Samardzija.
Colorado at L.A. Dodgers (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Dodgers have a big pitching advantage over the Rockies (3.42
ERA vs. 5.04 for Colorado) and they have been playing well in recent
days, but we’re not excited about using them in this spot. They
are still well off the pace in the NL West and they’ve been a losing
proposition vs. lefthanders in 2016 (-$480, averaging just 3.1 runs
per game). The Rockies have turned a nice profit outside of Coors
Field (+$660) so we’ll take a shot if they send a southpaw to the
hill. We should get a terrific underdog price on the visitor. BEST
BET: Lefthanders vs. the Dodgers.
L.A. Angels at Boston (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Red Sox haven’t turned a profit despite a record well north of
.500 and the most prolific offense in the majors (.288 team BA,
averaging 5.6 runs per game), but they should dispatch the hapless
Angels without much difficulty. LA has hit the skids in 2016
(-$1375) and they’ll be battling just to avoid the AL West cellar between
now and October. Steven Wright is having a fantastic season
for Boston (2.19 ERA in 15 starts) and he matches up well with LA.
Prices could get inflated, but the ace Boston righthander looks like
a solid value nonetheless. BEST BET: S. Wright.
Chicago W. Sox at Houston (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
These two teams have both seen a dramatic change in their season
in recent weeks, with the White Sox dropping below .500 after
dominating in April & May, while the Astros have been unstoppable
over the past month. Houston has won 8 of its last 10 (+$555, averaging
6.2 runs per game on offense) and their pitching now ranks
4th best in the American League (3.98). With Texas’s rotation suffering
key injuries, the Astros have a chance to make up ground and
get back into the post-season. They are 9-2 in day games at Minute
Maid Park (+$645), so we’ll take a chance in the two scheduled
afternoon contests. BEST BET: Astros in day games.
Texas at Minnesota (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Rangers took a hit when Colby Lewis landed in the DL for an
extended stint last weekend, and Yu Darvish remains unavailable,
but Texas is still in prime position in the AL West. They’ve gone
8-2 in the past 10 days (+$600) and their numbers vs. righthanders
are sensational (+$2460). Minnesota has the worst record in the
league (-$2185 overall) and their pitiful pitching staff (5.23 ERA,
worst in MLB) will be hard pressed to hold the Texas hitters in
check. The home team will be fortunate to salvage a victory here at
Target Field. BEST BET: Rangers vs. righthanders.
Kansas City at Philadelphia (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
At times this year the Royals have resembled the team that won the
World Series last fall, but they’ve had some ugly stretches as well.
Their starters have been getting hammered in recent days (6.99
mERA in their last 10) and they’ve had very little success outside
of Kaufman Stadium (only 13-25, -$1080 so far). They are also a
losing proposition in inter-league play (-$300) but we can’t pull the
trigger and back the home team. The Phillies continue to flounder
(2-9, -$485 in their last 11) and their stats are horrible (.230 team
BA worst in the league, with a 4.37 ERA). We’ll take a closer look
on game day, but we’ll pass for now. BEST BET: None.
Pittsburgh at Oakland (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
After winning 98 games in 2015 the Pirates have been derailed this
year, in large part because the pitching has fallen off so dramatically
(4.54 team ERA, 3rd worst in the NL). But they have a winning
record vs. lefthanders (+$490, averaging 4.9 runs per game at
the plate) and the sad sack Athletics are struggling to put together a
reliable rotation (4.58 team ERA, 2nd worst in the AL). They may
send a lefty to the mound at the Coliseum this weekend, and if they
do we’ll look for the Bucs to prevail, as they look to compete for
a wildcard slot in the 2nd half. BEST BET: Pirates vs. lefthanders.
N.Y. Yankees at San Diego (3) 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Yankees are hovering around the .500 mark, but they are an
average team at best (.248 team BA, 4.28 ERA) and they could
have a rough weekend when they venture into Petco Park. The Padres
have an outstanding young lefthander in Drew Pomeranz (2.76
ERA in 15 starts) and he’ll be opposing a New York club that has
lost money away from the Bronx (-$535), and averages just 3.9 runs
per game vs. southpaws. San Diego has a very profitable record vs.
lefties (+$710, averaging 5.8 runs per game) so they are worth a try
against C.C. Sabathia, who may still be nursing a
Last edited:
