reNew Orleans
Clubbin' with Rasual Butler
Favs: 12-17 -8.63 Units
Dogs: 32-24 +19.045 Units
Totals: 35-29-2 +2.95 Units
Misc: 10-18 -6.148 Units
Overall: 89-88-1 +7.217 Units
Since I last updated my record I've gone 3-9-1 and dropped -6.29 Units... I've really done a bad job keeping up with baseball the past couple of weeks with the end of the school year and the Hornets in the playoffs. basically my focus hasn't been on baseball and when you are betting baseball... and you aren't paying any attention, that's just asking for punishment. Also bookmaker is killing me with these lines, I need to get some money in matchbook and in a hurry :hang:
I'm looking to make a nice comeback as I'm really disappointed in myself, I'm fortunate to still be up 7 Units on the year even with my awful run as of late. Gotta turn this around.
Leans:
Chicago Cubs -103 @ St. Louis Cardinals (Hill v. Wainwright)
Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8 +100
Well not locking these in yet. Read some thoughts from vk's post and so side with the Cubbies, #'s are all there to support it. My concern is Rich Hill not getting through enough innings by himself... He's only reached 6 innings once and his K:BB ratio is not very good at the moment, nothing like it could be, he's just walking too many hitters. Cubbies have pounded Wainwright though and the Cubbies won't have the easy transition to Wood today because Marmol should be unavailable (according to one of the sites I use, I've never really checked it's validity but I suppose I should after tonights games). Wind appears to blowing out today so if this drops to 7.5 I may have to lock it in. Basically we should see the Cubs pen for 4 innings and Wainwright should get shelled and leave around 5 innings pitched.
Cubbies also just dominant in this series in recent history, especially in STL going 7-2 in their last 9 trips to STL.
Cincinnati Reds +127 @ Atlanta Braves (Volquez v. Hudson)
Well the line is going in the direction I want it to, theres not much to say on this one but I'm surprised people are backing ATL but i guess you'll get that when Hudson is on the mound @ home.
These are the key points I want to make.
1) Volquez has been near unhittable, meaning I don't care who's on the other side pitching. He's gone 7 IP his last 2 starts. He does give up a few walks but the Bravos are 20th in the bigs in walks, 23rd in walks vs RHP
2) Bravos just aren't hitting well right now... NOT good with the previous mentioned fact.
3) Hudson even though his #'s aren't bad vs the Reds, he's still been hit by a few of these guys or they get on base enough for me to feel comfortable backing Volquez.
4) Acosta won't be availabe, thats was basically your 4th option at the beginning of the season behind Soriano/Mike Gonzalez/Moylan (again, not 100% sure on this) I suppose I'm making too big of a deal out of this since they've dealt with this for a while already. But it looks like they'll have a great pen later in the season when everyone returns and Smoltzy is inserted into the pen.
Seattle Mariners +130 (Bedard v. Wang)
Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees UNDER 8 -115
This looks PRIMED for an under. You have wind blowing in at 10-15 mph, Aces on the mound, the Yanks who are STRUGGLING to hit and just aren't good vs LHP so far this year with the M's a team who'd rather face LHP and you know what you get out of Wang. You've gotta consider Bedard purely on value.
Florida Marlins -130 (Germano v. Hendrickson)
Almost seems too easy. Germano is trash and the Pads aren't hitting either.
Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Indians UNDER 8.5 -120 (Hochevar v. Sabathia)
Well it appears Sabathia has turned the corner and even though the Royals have done decently vs him in CLE I just can't see him faltering after just getting on track. Hochevar making his 3rd start so thinking he's settling in, CLE hasn't really seen much of him, 3 innings last year that could've gone better but CLE really struggling to score runs this week.
Detriot Tigers -136/RL +115 (Galarraga v. Hernandez)
Well Livan has been giving up runs, he has some decent starts this year but still giving up runs. Of course he should bounce back from a bad start last week but the Tigers are just getting everything figured out and have their leadoff man back and was in a nice rhythm minus yesterday's game. They're 6-2 since Granderson's return. oh and Galarraga still has a WHIP of .72, are you kidding me?
Texas Rangers +135 (Padilla v. Blanton)
Well the A's coming off a HUGE game yesterday and the Rangers pen has certainly been struggling as off late but Blanton just doesn't get the support he needs. Padilla coming off a CG is a concern as he threw 121 pitches and he's a guy who normally tops off in the 98-110 range. Still not a terrible amount more than he's used to throwing. Texas has been raking as well
Milwaukee Brewers +124 (Villanueva v. Oswalt)
Milwaukee Brewers @ Houston Astros OVER 8.5 -115
Basically Oswalt hasn't been at the level he's pitched at in past years and the Brewers own him. Villanueva isn't anything special and the Stros bats are much better this year than in past so I'd assume theyd get some off him.
I think that's it for now... maybe something catches my eye later but I'll lock in some plays in a bit.
BOL To Yall Friday :cheers:
Dogs: 32-24 +19.045 Units
Totals: 35-29-2 +2.95 Units
Misc: 10-18 -6.148 Units
Overall: 89-88-1 +7.217 Units
Since I last updated my record I've gone 3-9-1 and dropped -6.29 Units... I've really done a bad job keeping up with baseball the past couple of weeks with the end of the school year and the Hornets in the playoffs. basically my focus hasn't been on baseball and when you are betting baseball... and you aren't paying any attention, that's just asking for punishment. Also bookmaker is killing me with these lines, I need to get some money in matchbook and in a hurry :hang:
I'm looking to make a nice comeback as I'm really disappointed in myself, I'm fortunate to still be up 7 Units on the year even with my awful run as of late. Gotta turn this around.
Leans:
Chicago Cubs -103 @ St. Louis Cardinals (Hill v. Wainwright)
Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8 +100
Well not locking these in yet. Read some thoughts from vk's post and so side with the Cubbies, #'s are all there to support it. My concern is Rich Hill not getting through enough innings by himself... He's only reached 6 innings once and his K:BB ratio is not very good at the moment, nothing like it could be, he's just walking too many hitters. Cubbies have pounded Wainwright though and the Cubbies won't have the easy transition to Wood today because Marmol should be unavailable (according to one of the sites I use, I've never really checked it's validity but I suppose I should after tonights games). Wind appears to blowing out today so if this drops to 7.5 I may have to lock it in. Basically we should see the Cubs pen for 4 innings and Wainwright should get shelled and leave around 5 innings pitched.
Cubbies also just dominant in this series in recent history, especially in STL going 7-2 in their last 9 trips to STL.
Cincinnati Reds +127 @ Atlanta Braves (Volquez v. Hudson)
Well the line is going in the direction I want it to, theres not much to say on this one but I'm surprised people are backing ATL but i guess you'll get that when Hudson is on the mound @ home.
These are the key points I want to make.
1) Volquez has been near unhittable, meaning I don't care who's on the other side pitching. He's gone 7 IP his last 2 starts. He does give up a few walks but the Bravos are 20th in the bigs in walks, 23rd in walks vs RHP
2) Bravos just aren't hitting well right now... NOT good with the previous mentioned fact.
3) Hudson even though his #'s aren't bad vs the Reds, he's still been hit by a few of these guys or they get on base enough for me to feel comfortable backing Volquez.
4) Acosta won't be availabe, thats was basically your 4th option at the beginning of the season behind Soriano/Mike Gonzalez/Moylan (again, not 100% sure on this) I suppose I'm making too big of a deal out of this since they've dealt with this for a while already. But it looks like they'll have a great pen later in the season when everyone returns and Smoltzy is inserted into the pen.
Seattle Mariners +130 (Bedard v. Wang)
Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees UNDER 8 -115
This looks PRIMED for an under. You have wind blowing in at 10-15 mph, Aces on the mound, the Yanks who are STRUGGLING to hit and just aren't good vs LHP so far this year with the M's a team who'd rather face LHP and you know what you get out of Wang. You've gotta consider Bedard purely on value.
Florida Marlins -130 (Germano v. Hendrickson)
Almost seems too easy. Germano is trash and the Pads aren't hitting either.
Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Indians UNDER 8.5 -120 (Hochevar v. Sabathia)
Well it appears Sabathia has turned the corner and even though the Royals have done decently vs him in CLE I just can't see him faltering after just getting on track. Hochevar making his 3rd start so thinking he's settling in, CLE hasn't really seen much of him, 3 innings last year that could've gone better but CLE really struggling to score runs this week.
Detriot Tigers -136/RL +115 (Galarraga v. Hernandez)
Well Livan has been giving up runs, he has some decent starts this year but still giving up runs. Of course he should bounce back from a bad start last week but the Tigers are just getting everything figured out and have their leadoff man back and was in a nice rhythm minus yesterday's game. They're 6-2 since Granderson's return. oh and Galarraga still has a WHIP of .72, are you kidding me?
Texas Rangers +135 (Padilla v. Blanton)
Well the A's coming off a HUGE game yesterday and the Rangers pen has certainly been struggling as off late but Blanton just doesn't get the support he needs. Padilla coming off a CG is a concern as he threw 121 pitches and he's a guy who normally tops off in the 98-110 range. Still not a terrible amount more than he's used to throwing. Texas has been raking as well
Milwaukee Brewers +124 (Villanueva v. Oswalt)
Milwaukee Brewers @ Houston Astros OVER 8.5 -115
Basically Oswalt hasn't been at the level he's pitched at in past years and the Brewers own him. Villanueva isn't anything special and the Stros bats are much better this year than in past so I'd assume theyd get some off him.
I think that's it for now... maybe something catches my eye later but I'll lock in some plays in a bit.
BOL To Yall Friday :cheers:
