Friday i'm late hopefully your gf is not Discussion

[GWarner27]

leans from the BOL open (current):
CIN -105 (-104)/o7.5 -115
COL o10 -120
BOS +114 (+106)/o9 -105
DET -139
TOR -105
KC +102
TEX o7.5
OAK u7 -115

on the radar:
SD u6.5 -120
TEX +175
MIN +181

 

[2daBank]

took some of minny +194, not exactly expecting a W but even with felix on the mound dont think sea should be laying this kind of number with the way they have played thus far and that gascan closing gms for them. then you throw in the way hughes typically pitches in that park (even tho he terrible in march/april), few twinks have had good success off felix in their careers, oh yea and did i mention that bum rodney? worth a shot imo..

cards-128 i cant pass, i keep betting wacha and martinez and will continue to till they let me down or odds catch up to what i think they both are which is very good. dont expect brew crew to somehow catch fire cause they finally got a W, should be another series cards win..

only thing else i played was hou+123. not sure how i feel bout it really but liked the number..

lean ov 7.5 in cincy. lester didnt have to deal with hamilton last time he faced them, that gonna be a whole new kind of headache for a guy that cant throw over. scrubbies id assume gonna score some runs. 7.5 @ plus money i think i play no matter the ump..

 

[austinhous]

Since they opened their new stadium in 2009 the Yankees are 40-18-1 (.690) to the under when they host the National League. The average lined total in those 59 games was 9.0. If the total remains at 7.0 it will be the lowest lined total the Yankees have faced at home versus a National League team since their new stadium opened in 2009.

 

[C-MAN]

From Blankets:

The Chicago White Sox will send Jose Quintana to the mound to face the Kansas City Royals, despite Quintana losing all five starts against the Royals.

Quintana has allowed four runs per game in those five starts, while allowing almost nine hits per game.
So far this season Quintana has a 8.40 ERA with a .389 on-base percentage.

 

[BiffTFinancial]

booked
Cardinals -1 RL (-101)
Dodgers/Padres under 6' (-120)
Twins/Mariners under 6' (-115)

also like Royals ML (going to wait for lineups there, i think, and waiting may get me a plus number) and Cubs/Reds over 7' (waiting for ump - lotta under guys on tap today).

 

[BiffTFinancial]

took some of minny +194, not exactly expecting a W but even with felix on the mound dont think sea should be laying this kind of number with the way they have played thus far and that gascan closing gms for them. then you throw in the way hughes typically pitches in that park (even tho he terrible in march/april), few twinks have had good success off felix in their careers, oh yea and did i mention that bum rodney? worth a shot imo..

cards-128 i cant pass, i keep betting wacha and martinez and will continue to till they let me down or odds catch up to what i think they both are which is very good. dont expect brew crew to somehow catch fire cause they finally got a W, should be another series cards win..

only thing else i played was hou+123. not sure how i feel bout it really but liked the number..

lean ov 7.5 in cincy. lester didnt have to deal with hamilton last time he faced them, that gonna be a whole new kind of headache for a guy that cant throw over. scrubbies id assume gonna score some runs. 7.5 @ plus money i think i play no matter the ump..

always glad to hear your thoughts on the Cards, Bank. allows me to play em with confidence. why do i get the feeling that Carpenter may start the game with a bunt just to fk with Garza?

agree on Cubs/Reds over, but don't like it enough to take it if we get a strong under ump (Eddings, Iassogna, Gorman, Randazzo, Nelson all up tonight).

 

[TRoe15]

Already have the Royals/White Sox over locked in. Kinda liking a Cards/Mariners parlay. Will be on the Mets - not jumping in front of a moving train and will gladly back DeGrom as a decent sized dog here.

 

[frankiegotti]

Looking to find out a few teams who won't get swept.

Any thoughts/suggestions.

Or thoughts on the Cle/Det, bost/balt, tor/tb, sf/colo, and pitt/ari?

 

[tuck321]

Was actually looking for reasons to play the Dodgers. Greinke almost automatic after a team loss and no fan of Cashner who is not best on 4 or night recently.
Thought I would check on Cashner pitching at home in April. Data bank shows a 4-1 record where he gave up 3 runs in 5 games going a total of 34 innings.
Just looked at Greinke away in April. Just limiting it to the Dodgers. 5-0, gave up 5 runs 3-2 over, went 28 1/3 innings. My feeling is stick with first half under currently.

 

[tuck321]

Looking to find out a few teams who won't get swept.

Any thoughts/suggestions.

Or thoughts on the Cle/Det, bost/balt, tor/tb, sf/colo, and pitt/ari?

Arizona at home in April 6-14 record. This year 4-4

 

[tuck321]

Just a feeling. The Dodgers scored 2 runs yesterday and were swept. Ray Bradbury title Something Wicked this way Comes.

 

[tuck321]

Just did some reading. This season the Dodgers are 7-1 over when the total is 7 or less. When playing a winning team 4-0 over. After 3 or more losses a 13-6 over record. I will wait for ump but heavy lean to over in this game.

 

[tuck321]

Boston is now playing off 2 losses. Boston hates Baltimore. This season Boston has WON the first game of every series. The pitching match up does not fit but Baltimore is going very bad.

 

[frankiegotti]

Boston is now playing off 2 losses. Boston hates Baltimore. This season Boston has WON the first game of every series. The pitching match up does not fit but Baltimore is going very bad.

The formula i developed has baltimore in severe regression and Boston seems to be bouncing back from a runs efficiency (offensive) point of view.

 

[RetroVK]

best discussion title in a good while.

 

[tuck321]

Lean Reds. Bull pen action in the last game makes a strong case. The game with Cueto he went 8 and then closer. Next game and last in series in a tie game late and a rested pen they used Gregg who has been terrible. They want the Cubs badly.

 

[Play2win]

ZIMMERMANN is 34-12 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Zimmerman 9-2 L11 vs MIA (teams record)
Zimmerman is on 5 days rest, 8-1 1.78 on 5 days rest '14
Zimmerman 4-1 2.63 @ MIA
Latos 4-11 4.81 March/April

 

[Play2win]

KC .299 vs LHP
CWS .186 vs LHP
KC 4-1 L5 Duffy vs CWS
CWS 0-6 L6 Quintana vs KC, all home starts
CWS 4-9 L13 Quintana starts, 1-6 L7 Quintana starts on 4 days rest
KC 14-3 road/Fridays L2 seasons

 

[Play2win]

ATLANTA is 75-43 (+31.0 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
Wood is on 5 days rest, 12 career starts on 5 days 2.40 era, 2 starts vs Phi '14 1.29 era

 

[Play2win]

KC .299 vs LHP
CWS .186 vs LHP
KC 4-1 L5 Duffy vs CWS
CWS 0-6 L6 Quintana vs KC, all home starts
CWS 4-9 L13 Quintana starts, 1-6 L7 Quintana starts on 4 days rest
KC 14-3 road/Fridays L2 seasons

KC 12-1 L13 as road/dogs

 

[Play2win]

Went back and forth Bos/Bal..staying away
Porcello 6.18 March/April
Gonz good vs Bos, bit lucky though, 2.45 on 4 days '14
Offensively I prolly trust Boston more today
Bal 21-9 L 30 Gonz hm starts, 6-1 in his L7 on 4 days rest
Bos 5-0 L5 game 1's

 

[Play2win]

Cle 1-11 L12 game 1's
Salazar 6.97 in 2 Comerica starts '14
Greene is on 4 days rest, 5-1 0.55 era

 

[Play2win]

Tor missing couple of bats but still clicking offensively, Donaldson really locked in .
Not trusting Smyly, Tor .305 vs LHP
Dickey on his good rest of 5 days, 7 starts on 5 days '14 3-1 2.53 era

 

[Play2win]

Reds only .226 vs LHP but don't trust Lester and Reds 11-3 L 14 home Vs LHP
Reds 47-23 home off a loss L3 seasons

The bad: Reds 5-21 L26 1st game of series, 3-8 L11 Leake on 4 days rest

Lean Cincy but passing

 

[Play2win]

The bad on Tor is 3-13 16 Fri

The bad with Was is 6-14 L20 Fri

I still have both teams

 

[Play2win]

R.A. Dickey

(tor) - throws R at tb - 7:10 PM ET - Tropicana Field

[SIZE=-1]RotoGuru ESPN MLB Yahoo BB-Ref FanGraphs[/SIZE]

BATTER	SB	CS
Asdrubal Cabrera [SIZE=-1]S[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Steven Souza Jr. [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Evan Longoria [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Logan Forsythe [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
John Jaso -x [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Allan Dykstra-x [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
James Loney [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Desmond Jennings [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	3	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Rene Rivera [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Tim Beckham [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
David DeJesus [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Kevin Kiermaier [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Brandon Guyer [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]

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[GWarner27]

updated leans:
CIN +103
BOS o8
TOR +105
KC +101
TEX +165/o8
OAK u7 -105
SD u6.5 -115
MIN +175


on the radar:
CIN o7.5 -115
BOS -105
DET -125

 

[Play2win]

Danny Salazar

(cle) - throws R at det - 7:08 PM ET - Comerica Park [SIZE=-1]RotoGuru ESPN MLB Yahoo BB-Ref FanGraphs[/SIZE]

BATTER	SB	CS
Steven Moya -x [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Miguel Cabrera [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Andrew Romine [SIZE=-1]S[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Anthony Gose [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Nick Castellanos [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Victor Martinez [SIZE=-1]S[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Ian Kinsler [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Alex Avila [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Bryan Holaday -x [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Rajai Davis [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	1	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Jose Iglesias [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
J.D. Martinez [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
James McCann [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]

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[Play2win]

t Garza

(mil) - throws R vs. stl - 8:10 PM ET - Miller

Park [SIZE=-1]RotoGuru ESPN MLB Yahoo BB-Ref FanGraphs[/SIZE]

BATTER	SB	CS
Matt Adams [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Jon Jay [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Tony Cruz [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Jhonny Peralta [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Matt Holliday [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Matt Carpenter [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Jason Heyward [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Yadier Molina [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Kolten Wong [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Greg Garcia -x [SIZE=-1]L[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs |[/SIZE]
Peter Bourjos -x [SIZE=-1]R[/SIZE]	0	0	[SIZE=-1]| RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo | BB-Ref | FanGraphs | [/SIZE]

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[TD="align: left"] other site links[/TD]

[TD="class: textright"]12[/TD]
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[Play2win]

Hou 8-0 L8 Keuchel starts, good Mar/Apr
A's .240 vs Lhp, 7-20 L27 vs Lhp, 2-7 L9 home Vs Lhp
A's 7-15 after being shutout in previous game L3 seasons

 

[Play2win]

Hou 8-0 L8 Keuchel starts, good Mar/Apr
A's .240 vs Lhp, 7-20 L27 vs Lhp, 2-7 L9 home Vs Lhp
A's 7-15 after being shutout in previous game L3 seasons

Hou 14-3 L17 Keuchel starts vs AL West

 

[Play2win]

March/April worst by month for Collmenter , making 2nd start this season already on 6+ days has to be a concern
Arz 16-37 L53 off a win
Pit 20-7 Fri L2 seasons, 7-1 L8 Cole starts on 4 days rest

 

[Play2win]

Greinke 24-8 L32 off team loss in previous game (teams record)
Greinke 20-7 2.27 March/April, 2-0 1.74 @ PetCo

 

[Play2win]

Sea 13-3 L16 King Felix on 5 days rest

 

[Play2win]

Tex 9-22 L31 after off day

 

[Play2win]

Heston makes Coors debut, but..
Col 3-8 L11 Fri, 11-30 L41 1st game of series

 

[GWarner27]

took some of minny +194, not exactly expecting a W but even with felix on the mound dont think sea should be laying this kind of number with the way they have played thus far and that gascan closing gms for them. then you throw in the way hughes typically pitches in that park (even tho he terrible in march/april), few twinks have had good success off felix in their careers, oh yea and did i mention that bum rodney? worth a shot imo..

completely agree, they need Felix to go deep here

 

[austinhous]

Speaking of bullpens, the Phillies and Braves have given up 19 and 20 runs apiece out of the bullpen in the last twelve days.

 

[tuck321]

KC .299 vs LHP
CWS .186 vs LHP
KC 4-1 L5 Duffy vs CWS
CWS 0-6 L6 Quintana vs KC, all home starts
CWS 4-9 L13 Quintana starts, 1-6 L7 Quintana starts on 4 days rest
KC 14-3 road/Fridays L2 seasons

This is true and if you do not except reality you lead a terrible life

 

[Play2win]

MLB Season: +6.363u

ATL -117
NYM +126
KC -102
HOU +114
TOR +103
LAD -117
STL/DET parlay +204
STL/WAS parlay +220
STL/DET/WAS/PIT parlay +908
Donaldson o2.5 hits+runs+rbi's +110

0.5u each

 

[tuck321]

March/April worst by month for Collmenter , making 2nd start this season already on 6+ days has to be a concern
Arz 16-37 L53 off a win
Pit 20-7 Fri L2 seasons, 7-1 L8 Cole starts on 4 days rest

Some ambiguity here. Pitt is simply not as good this year and Arizona is much better

 

[austinhous]

the only thing I found on Colmenter was that they are 3-0 SU in his starts after a day off for the team. The days' rest for him in those games was 5,6,58. Also (without looking), I think the D-Backs pen, which has sucked for the last year or so, is better after a day off for the team as well.

 

[tuck321]

Bottom line Atlanta and Pitt really like Friday's but Atlanta seems damaged right now I just want to watch. Pitt, I might bet against.

 

[austinhous]

What is the Royals' SU record after a dugout-clearing brawl? The only thing that makes me hesitate with them is that last night was pretty emotional and it was also their first extra-inning game of the season. Being able to sleep in your own bed after all that might carry some weight.

 

[tuck321]

And this has been a difficult year so far so less is frequently more.

 

[nbafan88]

Like the Under 7 in the bronx.... Two hot pitchers + Eddings + very cold temps + yanks coming home from a lengthy road trip...

gotta do it

 

[Play2win]

Some ambiguity here. Pitt is simply not as good this year and Arizona is much better

I won't argue that, but doesn't Pit have the better pitcher in this one?

 

[austinhous]

Since last season KC 6-1 SU away after extras the night before, averaging 5.7 rpg against an average ML of +102.

 

[Play2win]

Like the Under 7 in the bronx.... Two hot pitchers + Eddings + very cold temps + yanks coming home from a lengthy road trip...

gotta do it

u better post up damnit, nice to see ya and BOL

 

[Play2win]

Mentioned about live betting KC the other day: 8 come from behind wins and have outscored opponents 31-7 from 7th inning on this season