31-15 (+54.3 UNITS)
Last 12 games- 12-0***all plays are based on 4 units unless other wise noted***
OK this has been popular question..."Why do you post this at the top of your thread? Why don't you make your units 1 instead of 4? There are a few reasons why I do this: 1) For what I am betting, it is easier for me to keep track of and translate to cash- for my records. 2) 4 units is not the only ammount that I play on the game. 4 units is probably about the average I play on a game. I do not want to mess with decimals into the hundreths so I just usually play an even number ammount of units. 3) I post it, so when you look at my record with units, you realize that I usually play 4 units on each play. Therefore my Units could move a lot in one night 4) Right now I am only playing a few games a day. As the season wears on, I will play more games...sometimes I will forget to put units so I will always have that as backup- for those not familiar with my plays.
Games that I post the night before, usually will use stats prior to that night's games. I do take into effect(in my thougth process) what transpired that night.
onto Friday:
One that sticks out for me right now:
Florida/ATL UNDER 9
Florida + 100
At first when you look at this game you would think that Florida would be the play. You have Dontrelle Willis on the mound and you are getting even money? You are getting even money against a pither, Mark Redman, who struggled mightily in his first outting- 5 innings, 5 runs, 9 hits! So by the books making this Redman -110, what are they telling you? Are they saying that the Braves are going to hit Willis(the same Willis who has gone 7+ against them in his L3)? I think they are trying to tell us that Florida won't be able to hit Mark Redman! Which is very possible, seeing his past success against the Marlins. In 2 starts against the Marlins he has given up 3 ERs, 9 hits over 13 innings!
Lets look at these two offenses real quick. The Braves have struggled at the plate this year. In 9 games they are batting .226 and have average 4.6 runs per. At home and against lefties they see these numbers plummet to 4.2 runs per. Their BA chills around .230.
Florida has surprisingly hit the ball real well early in the season. They are batting .290, have an OBP .344 and are averaging 5.4 per game! In 2 games against lefties, they see their run average drop to 4 runs per- Their BA is consistant though, sitting at .275.
Bullpens?
The Marlins pen has been solid in the early year- 3.39 ERA, and have only yielded 1 HR in 34+ innings. The ATL has had some solid arms come out of the pen also- 3.71 ERA but a WHIP close to 2.000
As a staff, ATL is holding teams to 3.3 runs per game and a .245 average. Florida is holding teams to 4.4 runs per game and .279 average...
I like Florida in this game also. At first look, I loved Florida BUT then shyed away...I researched it as a UNDER play but again like (Florida). Florida 4-2....
Probably will have another one or two....BOL all :cheers:
