Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me

[BetCrimes1984]

OK. So Peja & Paul had to produce record outings just for my Under. Well done. I paid the price for ignoring those 2 teams 11-1 Over history their prior 12 meetings (and the trend thread call for Over, which I acknowledged but thought taken care of by earlier results - buzzz. wrong).


Which brings me to my anomaly for today. You want past histories?

Try 2 teams averaging 169.1 points over the last 4 seasons (8 meetings). With an overall highest total of 189, and a highest total of 174 at the venue they play at tonight.

Now try the line for this game being 207.5 - thats nearly 20 points higher than the highest output these 2 teams - with the same core of players - have managed in over 4 seasons.

One of those teams, the LA Clippers, are on a B2B. Last season LA...

- in road B2Bs vs Eastern teams went 3-0 to Under at an average of 165.6 points when they lost the game SU. The Clips are 0-4 SU their last 4 visits to Indiana. Their highest total in a win, was 207.

- in road B2Bs they lost SU, having played on the road the night before, LA was 5-1 to Under at an average of 180.0 points. Their only Over result came against a Western opponent.


These 2 teams have piled on the points vs weak teams this season (all totals over 200 vs WAS, GSW, SEA & MEM. No suprise here, the same ole *no-defense* culprits from last season). These 2 teams themselves arent of the same mold. They'll play some D, as their historical results vs one another from recent seasons show.

Thats good enough for me. NOR/LAK historical lesson learned.

Under 207.5 for small (until a months stats worth of results are in, all my bets are small).

 

[Toronto_Mike]

i hope Mobley doesn't go nuts like he did last nite! good luck!

 

[BetCrimes1984]

Mike - LA's record is clear. Fear Overs from them in B2Bs when they win SU. If you dont want to lay 6.5 with Indy or take their ml, then under is the way to back them to win SU.

 

[doublem9]

GL BC, nice av haha

 

[BetCrimes1984]

doublem - I hope the scoring tonight is as ugly as she is:seeya:

 

[barmeezee]

on it

 

[BetCrimes1984]

BOL barmeezee.

oh, and can we avoid anyone setting franchise offensive records tonight? thanks in advance.

 

[tee*dub]

Good shit 84.. Hope you hit it:cheers:

 

[BetCrimes1984]

thanks t*d.

I also failed to mention Indy is off a 230/100-100 game, playing first. The reason I dug into this one in the first place.

 

[PRECISEwon]

GL BC

 

[ATLHawksBandwagon]

GL BC

 

[BetCrimes1984]

Thnx Precise, Hawks.:cheers:

Indy 3-12 early. LA shooting well, but not near as many shots.

--------------------------------------------------------------------
on pace for 174 after 5 minutes

 

[Trueblue]

BC, would you dip that 2h line under?

 

[BetCrimes1984]

sorry for the lack of an answer, TB, never saw your post.

 

[Toronto_Mike]

COngrats!

 

[barmeezee]

hah great 2H for us

 

[Trueblue]

ver nice. I hit the 2h under anyways, good hit bro.

 

[BetCrimes1984]

Thanks TM, barm, TB.

Well, LA won SU but outside of the last minute of each of the first 2 periods producing DD point tallies, that game was always under pace.
Minus just those 2 particular minutes (and what is it with teams who arent scoring fast "always" seeming to go nuts come the final minutes of periods?) you're looking at a 170 total.

 

[Retburj13]

nice job

 

[BetCrimes1984]

Thnx, Retburj.


Sam Cassells scored 35 points, against a team with a winning record. He didnt once score over 20 vs teams with winning records, and beat his highest output of 31, from all of last season. expect him to be on a letdown next game.

 

[Trueblue]

Any play on the NO under tonight after last night's game?

 

[B.A.R.]

Very nice

 

[BetCrimes1984]

TB, sorry. I was too engrossed in my hockey bet, so I missed your post again. You might want to PM me with bet questions, since I get an alert when Ive received one no matter where I am on site.

Thnx BAR