Fondybadger's Sunday Baseball 5/13

[Fondybadger]

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message --> After my 13 game winning streak, hit a bit of a rough patch on Friday going 2-4, but still managed to win $30 with my big Arizona wager cashing nicely. Saturday I hit my Brewers wager pretty hard, but hit almost all my other games as well going 7-1, only losing Florida on a walk off homer by the Nats. Definitely had a bad read on that series that's a bit embarrassing. Hopefully everyone has had a nice weekend and will have a good Mothers Day tomorrow.

Overall MLB Record 145-91-2 +$4692
Money Line Plays 107-62-1 +$3948
Run Line Plays 13-8 +$1206 (16-5 +$1478)
Totals 23-18-1 -$305
Parlays 2-3 -$157
$32,830 in total wagers
$138 average wager

$100 Brewers +105
Fading the line movement on the game. It opened at -130 with my local. The Brewers have won every start that Cappy has made this season, and there is nothing pointing to a Mets win here. So I'll take who I consider the better pitcher at plus money and give it a whirl.

$80 Houston -130
Dbacks aren't very good on the road versus lefties. Doug Davis and the Dbacks are 0-3 on the road this season when he starts and has a career 3-13 record against the Astro's. Wandy has been solid at home this season.

$50 Giants -130
Matt Cain is pitching like an All Star but isn't getting the run support this season. He's pitched 20 innings on the road and has allowed 2 ER's, but the Giants are 0-3 in his starts. They're starting to hit a bit better and I'm hoping he gets the help tomorrow.

$150 Dodgers -130
Fading this Bobby Livingston kid. Hendrickson has pitched solid so far this season and the Reds can't hit lefties this season to save their lives.

$150 Red Sox -220
Some people may not find value in this line, but I do as I'd put the line closer to -300.

- Looking at a Twins play late night.

Game Leans (304-227 +57.04 units)
I'm going to keep track of a pick for every game this season for shits and giggles. These are NOT plays, but are the side I lean as I want to see my pick % for the season. All leans are graded as 1 unit wagers on dogs and to win 1 unit on favorites.
Friday 7-8 -0.6
Saturday 8-7 +0.05
Brewers +105
Marlins -135
Pirates -105
Phillies -110
Houston -130
Giants -130
Cardinals +130
Dodgers -130
Drays +140
Red Sox -220
White Sox -195
Angels -115
Indians +100
Yanks -175
Twins +105

GOOD LUCK!!!
:smiley_acbe:​

 

[Terpman92]

<TABLE id=HB_Mail_Container height="100%" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0 UNSELECTABLE="on"><TBODY><TR height="100%" UNSELECTABLE="on" width="100%"><TD id=HB_Focus_Element vAlign=top width="100%" background="" height=250 UNSELECTABLE="off">Sweet card fondy!
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[Troutman]

Like that Brewers play, hard to think the Mets get beat two in a row like that..I like the under as well...GL

 

[Starbuck]

Like that Brewers play, hard to think the Mets get beat two in a row like that..I like the under as well...GL

Actually the Mets won Friday night and the Brewers won yesterday. Just wanted to let you know before you put a lot reasoning into your play.

 

[Satyr]

good luck tonight Fondy. :cheers:

 

[Songo]

great record, gl tonight Fondy :shake:

 

[signalcaller]

GL today Fondy. Also on the Dodgers and Brewers. Brew Crew are for real this year my friend.

 

[The Farm]

GL el fondo:cheers:

 

[DJFadeAway]

shit start with the brewers man. capuano = doody....losin us money!

 

[Fondybadger]

Unless the Dodgers can come back I'll be 3-2 -$15 today.

Gonna add...

$150 Minnesota +100

 

[Houghton Chemical]

Fondy, the Cincinnati bullpen implosion has started...Let's hope the Dodgers can hold on to this lead. Still need to research Minnestoa, but I'm itching for a 3-0 day, so I'll probably be on it.

 

[Fondybadger]

Shit I'll take the Cincy implosion... 4-1 +$330, just need Minny to win the night game and I"ll take another 5-1 day... thought I'd be down about $500 at this point today, lucks on my side.

 

[Fondybadger]

5-1 +$480 again today... Not a bad week at 27-6 (laugh)... Hopefully I don't wake up from this dream anytime soon...

 

[Fondybadger]

<st1:city><st1>Early Monday look...</st1></st1:city>
<st1:city><st1>
</st1></st1:city><st1:city><st1>Detroit</st1> </st1:city>at <st1:city><st1>Boston</st1></st1:city> Over 9.5
- Last 7 games <st1:city><st1>Detroit</st1></st1:city>is averaging 7.6 runs per game
- Last 7 games <st1:city><st1>Boston</st1></st1:city> is averaging 6.7 runs per game
- <st1:city><st1>Boston</st1></st1:city> has averaged 6.7 runs at home this season
- <st1:city><st1>Detroit</st1></st1:city> has averaged 5.6 runs on the road this season
- Nate Robertson has a 5.40 ERA in his last three starts (Overs 2-1 in those starts)
- Nate Robertson has a 6.75 ERA versus <st1:city><st1>Boston </st1>in</st1:city> his career (Overs 4-1 in those starts)
- Daisuke Matsuzaka has a 6.00 ERA in his last three starts (Overs 3-0 in those starts)
- Daisuke Matsuzaka has a 7.58 ERA in his home starts (Overs 2-1 in those starts)
- Overs are 11-3 @ Boston this season
- Overs are 14-9 when <st1:city><st1>Detroit</st1></st1:city>s facing right handed starters
- Overs are 16-11 when <st1:city><st1>Detroit</st1></st1:city>plays on a grass field
- Overs in Detroit/Boston match-ups are 9-6 (4-1 while playing in <st1:city><st1>Boston</st1></st1:city>) the last 3 seasons
- <st1:city><st1>Detroit</st1></st1:city> bullpen has been used a lot lately

 

[Fondybadger]

Monday Leans
Nats +180
*Marlins +105
*Philly -130
*Mets -145
Padres +130
Cardinals +135
Rangers +120
Tigers +135
*Toronto +135
KC +165

Starred my favorites. Haven't capped them yet, but early leans. Tired tonight so I'll get to it tomorrow.

 

[G-Man]

Great day again "KING OF BASES!"...