Fondybadger
CTG Partner
Went 2-2 yesterday losing some serious juice on Milwaukee. Still think they win out or possibly lose one more until the All Star break
Overall MLB Record 299-240-1 +$3291
Money Line Plays 215-145 +$5596
Run Line Plays 33-50 -$1745 (46-37 -$1134)
Totals 48-39-1 -$197
Parlays 3-6 -$363
$180 Cubs -160
Washington is 4-21 when the total is set at 8 or 8.5, and 2-13 at that number at home. The Cubs have struggled this year against lefties whre they've been averaging a .250 BA, a .306 OBP and only 3.6 runs per game. Washington struggles versus lefties as well, getting about 3.9 runs a game, and score even less at home at 3.5 a game with a .245 BA. In nine games Rich Hill has a 2.91 ERA and a sub 1 WHIP. He has struggled though in his last few games. I'd lay under 9, but I can't get a number that has a good enough price for my liking.
$200 Giants -115
If you play the numbers there is no way you can play this game. Matt Cain has superb numbers on the road this season with a 2.44 ERA and a 1.220 WHIP, but the Giants are a pathetic 1-7 in those starts. That's main reason is SF .245 road average and lack of clutch hitting on the road, well the Giants have just struggled hitting period. Cincy has been just as bad though and Matt Belisle has a 7.87 ERA and a 1.687 WHIP in his last three starts.
$300 Phillies -125
$100 Philly/Hou Over 8.5
The last three games for the two starting pitchers have been atrocious. Hamels has a 6.92 ERA with a 1.692 WHIP and Chris Sampson has a 7.71 ERA and a 1.768 WHIP. We all know that Hamels is the much better pitcher and Philly averages 5.5 runs per game versus righties while Houst has struggled versus lefties with a 3.9 runs and a .245 AVG. The Phillies are 3-0 in Hamels career starts versus the Astro's as Hamels has a 3.75 ERA and a 0.831 WHIP. Chris Sampson has a career 8.21 ERA and a 2.347 WHIP in two starts versus the Phillies.
$250 Twins -120
This should be a great game. Santana has turned it on and has gotten into mid season form. With how he started it's about time. He should hold a Yankees team who has struggled against lefties this season to a low run total giving his offense all the chances they can expect. The Yankees seem to have struggled in afternoon games this season and I think some of that might have to do with the age of the Yankees and not being fully rested after night games. I'll gladly lay such a low number with one of the games best.
$400 Brewers +100
Vargas is 4-0 with a 1.60 ERA and a 0.992 WHIP versus the Pirates. The Brewers are 12-2 this season in Vargas's starts. He's done a great job of getting out of jams by limiting hits with runners in scoring position. I look for Vargas to hold his end of the bargain versus Snell and get through 6 innings. The Brewers offense should erupt this afternoon and I'm much more confident in Milwaukee bullpen compared to the Pirates.
- I'll have the 7:00pm games posted up in a little bit. Don't like the Blue Jays enough to lay money on.
Game Leans (555-447 +53.5 units)
My attempt to keep track of a side for most of the games this season. These are NOT plays, but are the side I lean in each match-up. All leans are graded to win 1 unit on favorites and 1 unit wagered on dogs.
Cubs -160
Giants -115
Phillies -125
Brewers +100
Diamondbacks +120
Mets -135
Padres -210
Dodgers -115
Twins -120
Red Sox -220
Blue Jays +120
White Sox -140
Tigers -130
Mariners -110
Angels -170
Overall MLB Record 299-240-1 +$3291
Money Line Plays 215-145 +$5596
Run Line Plays 33-50 -$1745 (46-37 -$1134)
Totals 48-39-1 -$197
Parlays 3-6 -$363
$180 Cubs -160
Washington is 4-21 when the total is set at 8 or 8.5, and 2-13 at that number at home. The Cubs have struggled this year against lefties whre they've been averaging a .250 BA, a .306 OBP and only 3.6 runs per game. Washington struggles versus lefties as well, getting about 3.9 runs a game, and score even less at home at 3.5 a game with a .245 BA. In nine games Rich Hill has a 2.91 ERA and a sub 1 WHIP. He has struggled though in his last few games. I'd lay under 9, but I can't get a number that has a good enough price for my liking.
$200 Giants -115
If you play the numbers there is no way you can play this game. Matt Cain has superb numbers on the road this season with a 2.44 ERA and a 1.220 WHIP, but the Giants are a pathetic 1-7 in those starts. That's main reason is SF .245 road average and lack of clutch hitting on the road, well the Giants have just struggled hitting period. Cincy has been just as bad though and Matt Belisle has a 7.87 ERA and a 1.687 WHIP in his last three starts.
$300 Phillies -125
$100 Philly/Hou Over 8.5
The last three games for the two starting pitchers have been atrocious. Hamels has a 6.92 ERA with a 1.692 WHIP and Chris Sampson has a 7.71 ERA and a 1.768 WHIP. We all know that Hamels is the much better pitcher and Philly averages 5.5 runs per game versus righties while Houst has struggled versus lefties with a 3.9 runs and a .245 AVG. The Phillies are 3-0 in Hamels career starts versus the Astro's as Hamels has a 3.75 ERA and a 0.831 WHIP. Chris Sampson has a career 8.21 ERA and a 2.347 WHIP in two starts versus the Phillies.
$250 Twins -120
This should be a great game. Santana has turned it on and has gotten into mid season form. With how he started it's about time. He should hold a Yankees team who has struggled against lefties this season to a low run total giving his offense all the chances they can expect. The Yankees seem to have struggled in afternoon games this season and I think some of that might have to do with the age of the Yankees and not being fully rested after night games. I'll gladly lay such a low number with one of the games best.
$400 Brewers +100
Vargas is 4-0 with a 1.60 ERA and a 0.992 WHIP versus the Pirates. The Brewers are 12-2 this season in Vargas's starts. He's done a great job of getting out of jams by limiting hits with runners in scoring position. I look for Vargas to hold his end of the bargain versus Snell and get through 6 innings. The Brewers offense should erupt this afternoon and I'm much more confident in Milwaukee bullpen compared to the Pirates.
- I'll have the 7:00pm games posted up in a little bit. Don't like the Blue Jays enough to lay money on.
Game Leans (555-447 +53.5 units)
My attempt to keep track of a side for most of the games this season. These are NOT plays, but are the side I lean in each match-up. All leans are graded to win 1 unit on favorites and 1 unit wagered on dogs.
Cubs -160
Giants -115
Phillies -125
Brewers +100
Diamondbacks +120
Mets -135
Padres -210
Dodgers -115
Twins -120
Red Sox -220
Blue Jays +120
White Sox -140
Tigers -130
Mariners -110
Angels -170
GOOD LUCK!!!
:smiley_acbe:
:smiley_acbe:
