Florida vs Vanderbilt Betting Article

VirginiaCavs

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Florida has beaten Vanderbilt 27 times in their last 28 meetings. What does Florida need to do to make it 28 out of 29?

Last week, Florida failed to get that one big run, which had become a reliable and helpful feature of its more recent victories. Lamical Perine only accrued 31 rushing yards, although he was able to display his surprising shiftiness to make some impressive escapes from the backfield.

While limited by a rebuilding offensive line, Perine can put his skill set on display against a much weaker Vanderbilt front seven that ranks 109th in opposing YPC.

Match-up wise, Florida's best hope is still in its passing game. In Vanderbilt, Florida has a favorable opponent as the Commodores rank 119th in opposing passer rating.

Some recent disasters for Vanderbilt's secondary include a 34-point drubbing that it incurred against UNLV, whose freshman quarterback enjoying his strongest performance of the season in terms of passer rating. As another example, Purdue's Elijah Sindelar produced 509 yards and five touchdowns in a 42-point Purdue effort.

While Florida's wide receivers did not flex their depth against Georgia, the Bulldogs' stacked and talented secondary deserves a lot of credit. Against Vanderbilt, Gator wide receivers enjoy a match-up scenario in which they can return to prior levels of productivity.

Freddie Swain is still lethal because of his explosiveness. With opponents cuing in on Kadarius Toney, Swain remains an underrated option. Kyle Pitts is a threat while lining up in multiple spots. It would be great if Coach Mullen can figure out how to help Pitts succeed even almost as much in the second half as he often succeeds in the first half. Against LSU and Georgia, Pitts' first- and second-half discrepancy in production was conspicuous.

On the other side of the ball, Vanderbilt provides a balanced offense as evident in play formation. The Gators employed a bear formation that worked against the run last week and they can lean on this against Vanderbilt, too. While Florida was still gashed by D'Andre Swift, it has stronger recourse when it really needs a third-and-short stop.

If Florida can also succeed in stopping the run on early downs, it can create more third-and-longs for the likes of Jabari Zuniga and Jonathan Greenard to make more of an impact in the backfield than they did in their sackless return from a frustrating sort of ankle injury against Georgia.

My Bet

Losing to Georgia dealt a crucial blow to Florida's playoff and SEC East hopes at the same time. It will be tough to recover emotionally from that blow. Even besides that blow, after playing their hated rival, the Gators will struggle to regain focus for an early kickoff against a vastly inferior opponent that they handle every year.

There's also some relevant precedent. Last year, after the LSU game, Florida lost the first half to Vanderbilt. After facing Georgia, Florida lost by 21 points to Missouri.

Given the scenario and recent history, I expect a similar let-down. Florida can then regroup at halftime.

My bet is: Vanderbilt First-Half +16.5
 
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Give me one thing to hang my hat on here with Vandy. What is one thing that they can or will do that will help them hang in here?

When I was reading the top part of the article I thought you were actually laying a case for Florida til I got to the My Bet part.
 
I don’t know what this means but I thought of you of course.

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Give me one thing to hang my hat on here with Vandy. What is one thing that they can or will do that will help them hang in here?

When I was reading the top part of the article I thought you were actually laying a case for Florida til I got to the My Bet part.

Yeah i'm supposed to make it a "scouting" article until I stick my bet in at the end.

Well besides relying on Florida to sleepwalk and on Mullen to continue reserving his top playcalling for strong opponents, Florida's run game has consistently allowed opponents to perform above their average. I‘m not really sure Vandy does much good. Its red zone D actually looks pretty good by percentage. So limiting Florida to field goal attempts when it threatens and riding the rush attack to sustain drives.
No Amari Burney i think exposes Florida‘s linebacking corps a bit. Burney is a small but speedy and versatile playmaker
 
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16.5 is a tough number, especially if they shut Vandy out in the half. But I hope it hits for you.
 
16.5 is a tough number, especially if they shut Vandy out in the half. But I hope it hits for you.

Thanks amigo. Let‘s just say i’m close with Chucky and he may be paying a few Commodore players a visit if they screw up
 
You like playing with fire much? Every break possible you got, and needed. Those feel good, I know.

I was on the edge of my seat and I didn't even play it!
 
I hope you don't mind me saying this here, but I need to say it somewhere and this seems like the place.

Dan Mullen can go suck a dick. Up 49-0 throwing deep with 1:30 left and not taking knees from the 2 and scoring with :30 left.

yeah I had the under 50. I did have FL -11 2nd H, but it sucks to go 1-1 in a game that should've went 2-0. Asshole.

Ok, sorry, done. Your 1st H win still makes me smile VC.
 
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