Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles
Handicapper Analysis
Baltimore will win this game with better starting pitching and stronger bullpen play.
Tyler Anderson, the Angels' starter, has grave issues with command: he gives up a high rate of walks and home runs per nine innings.
Cheaply giving up bases is something that especially a left-handed pitcher should not do to Baltimore because the Orioles rank fifth in OPS (on-base plus slugging) against left-handed pitching.
Conversely, Baltimore starter Tyler Wells has been great especially at home, where he has allowed two runs in his last three starts.
The O's, with their league-best bullpen measured by ERA, deserve a full-game investment.
Best Bet: Orioles ML at -146 with FanDuel
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Mets
Handicapper Analysis
Tampa Bay will lead through five innings on the strength of a vast matchup advantage.
The Rays start Taj Bradley with his fastball-cutter-curveball-changeup combo.
He matches up well against a Mets' lineup that ranks 29th in slugging .344 against these pitches from righties.
On the other side, Tylor Megill starts for the Mets.
Megill throws a fastball, slider, changeup, and curveball.
But the Rays rank first in slugging .534 against these pitches from righties.
He is further disadvantaged by his issue with command, which is evident in his 4.91 walks-per-nine innings.
With these walks, he'll help out Rays' batters further.
Best Bet: Rays First-Half RL at +120 with PointsBet
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
Handicapper Analysis
This is going to be your best value play and your best dog play for today.
Chicago is fools' gold today because many bettors still auto-play them when they face a left-handed pitcher.
But they rank 18th in slugging against Cleveland starter Logan Allen's pitches from lefties.
Allen has a really good mix of secondary pitches, a sweeper and changeup, that he does a good job of locating and that he plays well off his fastball.
With his arsenal, he is having a much better season than Dylan Cease, Chicago's starter, who is being treated by oddsmakers as if
he were the Cease of last season.
Cleveland should be favored with its pitching advantage.
Plus, the Guardians are 3-0 when guarding against the sweep.
Best Bet: Guardians ML at +122 with FanDuel
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Handicapper Analysis
New York's Nestor Cortes is primed to struggle today.
In his career, he is 0-2 with a 6.14 ERA in Toronto.
Four different Toronto batters slug over .780 in at least seven career at-bats against him.
Matt Chapman and Bo Bichette look especially dangerous for the Blue Jays -- they both slug .900 or better in at least 10 at-bats facing Cortes.
On the other side, Blue Jays' starter Jose Berrios also has a terrible outlook with his combination of slurve, sinker, fastball, and changeup.
New York ranks third in slugging against these pitches from righties.
Best Bet: First-Half Over 4.5 at -122 with FanDuel
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Handicapper Analysis
The Dodgers will win this game with a great advantage in pitching.
Cardinals' starter Adam Wainwright is someone you should look to go against because he is approaching washed-up status.
Wainwright struggled in his rehab starts against minor league nobodies.
In two professional starts this season, he gave up four runs in five innings both times.
He does not have the stuff anymore to reliably survive a lineup twice in a game, especially a potent lineup like the Dodgers'.
On the other side, Julio Urias is in great form for the Dodgers.
He has allowed two runs or fewer in three straight starts.
The Cards are at a further disadvantage because they wore down their best relievers last night.
Best Bet: Dodgers RL at +108 with FanDuel
