Five Quick Picks Article

VirginiaCavs

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Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros

Handicapper Analysis

In view of his ERA, Oakland starter James Kaprielian might seem worth fading.

However, his ERA is as high as it is primarily because he has suffered a few atrocious outings.

In other words, his ERA should not arouse concern, because it does not reflect a continued difficulty in doing well.

In fact, he has allowed two runs in three of his last four starts.

Kaprielian's strong form will help keep this game low-scoring.

A low-scoring game creates Oakland's only hope of remaining competitive tonight because Oakland ranks 29thin slugging against Astro starter Lance McCullers Jr.'s favorite pitches from righties.

Best Bet: Under 8 at -100 with FanDuel


Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets

Handicapper Analysis

By far his team's least profitable pitcher for bettors to back, JT Brubaker starts for Pittsburgh tonight.

Overall, Pittsburgh is yielding -8.3 units in games in which Brubaker starts.

This situation is especially bad on the road.

The Pirates are 2-12, yielding -9 units, in away games in which Brubaker starts.

Moreover, Brubaker matches up poorly against Met batters.

They rank third in slugging against his favorite pitches -- the sinker, slider, and curveball, from righties.

Conversely, Met starter Carlos Carrasco's outlook is positive tonight.

Primarily, he features a fastball, slider, and changeup.

These three pitches make up about 85 percent pf his arsenal.

Pittsburgh ranks 26thin slugging .356 against his favorite pitches from righties.

Best Bet: Mets RL (-1.5) at -120 odds with FanDuel


Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

Handicapper Analysis

After suffering a terrible start to his season, which, for him, began in June, White Sox starter Lance Lynn has found his stride.

He has allowed zero runs in both of his last two starts.

Before these two shutout outings, he allowed one run in three straight starts.

Cleveland was one of Lynn's victims.

Lynn has limited them to a combined total of one run in his last two starts against them.

For the Guardians, Hunter Gaddis makes a start out of necessity.

When he was last called up, he allowed eight runs in 3.1 innings against Houston.

Whereas Lynn enjoys good form, his Guardian counterpart lacks any form of reliability.

Best Bet: White Sox RL (-1.5) at +108 with FanDuel


Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Handicapper Analysis

Shane McClanahan returns for Tampa Bay after enduring a stint on the 15-day injured list.

Reportedly, he was sharp in practicing for today's game in the form of bullpen sessions and workouts on the mound.

One should thus expect McClanahan to be his usual solid self.

He is usually solid against the Blue Jays,

In his career, he enjoys a 2.53 ERA against them.

Toronto starter Kevin Gausman will keep this game low-scoring.

Gausman's 2.28 FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) reflects how superbly he is performing this season.

He also matches up well against Ray batters, who rank 23rd in slugging against his favorite pitches from righties.

Beat Bet: Under 7 at -105 with FanDuel


Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins

Handicapper Analysis

After Philadelphia acquired him recently, Noah Syndergaard is pitching again for a team in the NL East.

As a former Met, he has plenty of experience pitching in Miami's venue.

His history here is exceedingly positive: his ERA is 2.47 in eight career starts here.

Syndergaard's recent starts suggest his readiness to perform at such a high level as that which he normally reaches in Miami.

Specifically, he yielded a sub-2.50 FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) in two of his past three starts.

Conversely, Marlin starter Pablo Lopez is not pitching like he was in the beginning of the season.

Concern over his worsening pitching numbers is compounded by the fact that Philly ranks seventh in slugging against his favorite pitches from righties.

Best Bet: Phillies RL (-1.5) at +132 with FanDuel
 
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