Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians
Handicapper Analysis
Arizona starter Zach Davies makes his first start tonight since June 25.
He was injured with right shoulder inflammation.
The fact that he's been absent for so long is problematic because, historically, he is, by a significant amount, at his worst with six or more days of rest.
In this situation, he is 5-11 with a 4.83 ERA.
However, Arizona's lineup will keep pace because it matches up well with Guardian pitcher Cal Quantrill given his pitching repertoire.
Primarily, Quantrill throws a sinker and cutter.
Arizona ranks ninth in slugging against these pitches from righties.
Best Bet: Diamondbacks/Guardians Over 8.5 at -118 with FanDuel
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees
Handicapper Analysis
Seattle starts Marco Gonzales tonight.
Gonzales has been rather lucky this year in that he's mostly been able to dodge facing teams that match up well against him.
But he'll have to face the Yankees tonight.
His favorite pitches are his fastball, changeup, cutter, and curveball.
New York matches up well against him because it ranks second against these pitches from lefties.
Expect, moreover, a strong start from Yankee starter Domingo German because Seattle matches up poorly with him.
German's arsenal consists in his curveball, fastball, changeup, and sinker.
Seattle ranks below-average against these pitches from righties.
Best Bet: Yankees RL (-1.5) at +100 with FanDuel
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox
Handicapper Analysis
Royal starter Brad Keller is particularly reliable tonight because he is going up against the White Sox.
In both his starts against them this year, he endured a season-long seven runs.
He allowed a combined total of four earned runs in those two starts.
One must expect this sort of consistent success from him in this matchup because the White Sox rank 28th in slugging against these favorite pitches from righties.
But don't expect White Sox starter Michael Kopech to keep pace with Keller.
Kopech is facing the Royals for a second time this season.
As his games against Detroit and Minnesota show, he has yet to perform well in a rematch between his team and a division rival.
Best Bet: Royals ML at +142 with FanDuel
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers
Handicapper Analysis
Baltimore starts the ever-reliable Spenser Waktins.
He is the main reason why the betting odds are ridiculous right now.
Watkins has been top-level, allowing one earned run or zero in four of his most recent five starts.
Moreover, he matches up well with Ranger batters given his pitching arsenal.
Primarily, Watkins throws a fastball, cutter, and slider.
Texas, though, ranks 28th in slugging against Watkins' favorite pitches from righties.
Given the current odds, it really doesn't matter who's starting for Texas.
Jon Gray doesn't match up as well with Baltimore as his team does against Watkins, plus his form isn't as good as Watkins'.
Best Bet: Orioles ML at +140 with FanDuel
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros
Handicapper Analysis
Boston starts regular catastrophe Nathan Eovaldi tonight.
Eovaldi's form has been awful, rendering him unreliable against any lineup let alone Houston's.
Overall, Eovaldi has allowed a combined total of 16 earned runs in his last three starts, which totaled 13 innings.
This most recent trend explains why, though an "over" pitcher throughout the season, the "over" has hit in his last three starts.
Astro pitcher Luis Garcia has been even more of an "over" pitcher than Eovaldi.
The "over" has hit in each of his last four starts.
This trend is sure to continue because Boston matches up so well against him.
The Red Sox rank ninth in slugging against Garcia's favorite pitches from righties.
Best Bet: Over 8 at -110 with FanDuel
