Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers
Handicapper Analysis
Seattle starts Marco Gonzales today, its least profitable pitcher.
He's yielding negative units on the season primarily because the Mariners have lost five of the last seven games in which he started.
Overall, he's yielding -3.6 units.
Gonzales is in a particularly bad spot today because he matches up terribly against the Rangers.
They rank second in slugging .484 against his favorite pitches from lefties.
Meanwhile, Texas starts Martin Perez.
Primarily, Perez throws a sinker, changeup, and cutter.
These three pitches make up close to 90 percent of his arsenal.
Seattle, however, ranks well in the bottom half in slugging against these pitches from lefties.
Best Bet: Rangers ML at -116 at FanDuel
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs
Handicapper Analysis
Chicago is a team worth fading right now.
Collectively, the Cubs are suffering abysmal team rhythm.
They've lost their last six games.
While one may excuse them for losing to the Dodgers, they were swept in their four-game series with them, and then they lost two games against Baltimore.
Now they face another top-caliber team in the Mets.
New York starts Carlos Carrasco tonight.
Carrasco is reliable today because he matches up well with Cub batters.
They rank 22ndin slugging against Carrasco's favorite pitches from righties.
Chicago, meanwhile, starts Keegan Thompson.
This team has lost the last three games in which he started.
Best Bet: Mets ML at -142 with FanDuel
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St Louis Cardinals
Handicapper Analysis
The Cardinals start Dakota Hudson tonight.
Hudson is especially glad to be at home tonight because he is vastly better in home games than in road games.
Whereas opponents are hitting .279 and slugging .406 against him in road games, they are hitting .234 and slugging .316 against him in St, Louis.
Plus, he matches up well against the Dodgers given his strong ground ball-inducing tendencies.
In terms of OPS (on-base plus slugging), the Dodgers are easily at their worst against ground ball pitchers than against fly ball pitchers.
Meanwhile, the Dodgers trot out a lefty tonight, which is problematic for them because, throughout the year, St. Louis has fielded one of the best lefty-hitting lineups.
Best Bet: Cardinals ML at +130 (FanDuel)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
Handicapper Analysis
Houston is in a great spot tonight because it is a solid bounce-back team.
The Astros lost yesterday. Crucially, they are 7-0 in their last seven games following a loss.
Whereas they had to contend with Shohei Ohtani yesterday, they get a vastly easy pitching matchup today.
L.A. starter Reid Detmers primarily throws a fastball, curveball, slider, and changeup.
The Astors rank fourth in slugging against Detmers' favorite pitches from lefties.
Tonight, Houston starts Framber Valdez, a lefty who favors a sinker and curveball.
Valdez promises to thrive tonight because the Angels match up terribly with him, ranking 26thin slugging against his two favorite pitches from lefties.
Best Bet: Astros RL at -104 with FanDuel
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
Handicapper Analysis
San Diego starts lefty Blake Snell today.
It is crucial that Snell is a lefty because the Rockies, who are already notoriously stronger at home than on the road, are one of the best lefty-hitting teams.
In addition to ranking fifth in slugging against lefties, they rank fifth in slugging against Snell's favorite pitches from lefties.
Despite being a stronger home team than road team, their good form carries over to their last road stand.
Overall, they've won five of their past seven games.
Rockie starter Kyle Freeland promises to prolong Colorado's team success.
The Padres, who utterly lack the positive team form displayed by Colorado, rank below average against Freeland's favorite pitches from lefties.
Best Bet: Rockies ML at +118 (FanDuel)
Handicapper Analysis
Seattle starts Marco Gonzales today, its least profitable pitcher.
He's yielding negative units on the season primarily because the Mariners have lost five of the last seven games in which he started.
Overall, he's yielding -3.6 units.
Gonzales is in a particularly bad spot today because he matches up terribly against the Rangers.
They rank second in slugging .484 against his favorite pitches from lefties.
Meanwhile, Texas starts Martin Perez.
Primarily, Perez throws a sinker, changeup, and cutter.
These three pitches make up close to 90 percent of his arsenal.
Seattle, however, ranks well in the bottom half in slugging against these pitches from lefties.
Best Bet: Rangers ML at -116 at FanDuel
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs
Handicapper Analysis
Chicago is a team worth fading right now.
Collectively, the Cubs are suffering abysmal team rhythm.
They've lost their last six games.
While one may excuse them for losing to the Dodgers, they were swept in their four-game series with them, and then they lost two games against Baltimore.
Now they face another top-caliber team in the Mets.
New York starts Carlos Carrasco tonight.
Carrasco is reliable today because he matches up well with Cub batters.
They rank 22ndin slugging against Carrasco's favorite pitches from righties.
Chicago, meanwhile, starts Keegan Thompson.
This team has lost the last three games in which he started.
Best Bet: Mets ML at -142 with FanDuel
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St Louis Cardinals
Handicapper Analysis
The Cardinals start Dakota Hudson tonight.
Hudson is especially glad to be at home tonight because he is vastly better in home games than in road games.
Whereas opponents are hitting .279 and slugging .406 against him in road games, they are hitting .234 and slugging .316 against him in St, Louis.
Plus, he matches up well against the Dodgers given his strong ground ball-inducing tendencies.
In terms of OPS (on-base plus slugging), the Dodgers are easily at their worst against ground ball pitchers than against fly ball pitchers.
Meanwhile, the Dodgers trot out a lefty tonight, which is problematic for them because, throughout the year, St. Louis has fielded one of the best lefty-hitting lineups.
Best Bet: Cardinals ML at +130 (FanDuel)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
Handicapper Analysis
Houston is in a great spot tonight because it is a solid bounce-back team.
The Astros lost yesterday. Crucially, they are 7-0 in their last seven games following a loss.
Whereas they had to contend with Shohei Ohtani yesterday, they get a vastly easy pitching matchup today.
L.A. starter Reid Detmers primarily throws a fastball, curveball, slider, and changeup.
The Astors rank fourth in slugging against Detmers' favorite pitches from lefties.
Tonight, Houston starts Framber Valdez, a lefty who favors a sinker and curveball.
Valdez promises to thrive tonight because the Angels match up terribly with him, ranking 26thin slugging against his two favorite pitches from lefties.
Best Bet: Astros RL at -104 with FanDuel
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
Handicapper Analysis
San Diego starts lefty Blake Snell today.
It is crucial that Snell is a lefty because the Rockies, who are already notoriously stronger at home than on the road, are one of the best lefty-hitting teams.
In addition to ranking fifth in slugging against lefties, they rank fifth in slugging against Snell's favorite pitches from lefties.
Despite being a stronger home team than road team, their good form carries over to their last road stand.
Overall, they've won five of their past seven games.
Rockie starter Kyle Freeland promises to prolong Colorado's team success.
The Padres, who utterly lack the positive team form displayed by Colorado, rank below average against Freeland's favorite pitches from lefties.
Best Bet: Rockies ML at +118 (FanDuel)
