First Half & Selling Points Action Thread

Johnnyonthespot

Johnnyonthespot

CTG Regular
This thread will focus on shorter, non-divisional, home dogs. Those plays will be ML and ATS First Half.

I will be selling points for full game too.
Put together some power ratings and will sell points to or over the next key number for full game into +140-+150 range.

A couple of plays a week. NFL is hard, easy to tilt. I do not like late game covering drama. This was designed to help me avoid NFL hell. Can't wait.





First Half

32-17-4
$1978

Week 1
Giants +1.5 L


Week 2
Bill's +4.5/-115 L
Bucs +2.5 W
Bucs ML +130 W

Week 3
Redskins +1/-110 W
Redskins ML +113 W
Cardinals +3/-105 W
Cardinals ML +168 W

Week 4

Titans +2/-110 L
Titans +135 L

Week 5
Bills +3.5/-121 W
Bills ML +165 W

Week 6

Broncos +3.5 L
Cowboys +3/-125 W
Cowboys ML +135 W

Week 7

Dolphins +2 L
Dolphins +135L

Jets +2.5 L
Jets ML +145 L

Week 8

Raiders +2 W
Raiders +125 W

Week 9
Browns +6 P

Week 10
Bengals +3/-115 & +160 L L
Browns +3/-120 & +150 W W
Titans +3.5/-105 & +190 W W

Week 11
Lions +2.5 W & +135 W
Jaguars +3 W & +160 W

Week 12
Bill's +2 W
Bills +130 P
Broncos +2 W
Broncos +130 P

Week 13
Cowboys +4.5 W
Bengals+2.5 L
Bengals ML +135 L
Giants +3/-115 L
Giants ML +155 L

Week 14
Bears +1.5 W
Bears ML +120 P
49ers +3 W
49ers ML +165 W

Week 15
Jets +3.5 L
Jets +180 L
Steelers +.5/-115 W
Steelers ML +105 W

Week 16
Jets +1.5 W
Jets +120 W
49ers +130 W
49ers +2.5 W
 
Last edited:
Announced Richard Sherman has hamstring issue, missing preseason opener. I've stated that he is finished because of that torn achilles.

I tore mine, i know we are different, whatever. you lose your steps no matter what, the actual injury messes with your head. Your body easily goes out of balance. Crazy that he tries to come back so quick. The injury is so traumatic. This is where he is at. I feel terrible for guy cause I think he was a great football player that I have great respect.
 
The power ratings are Football Outsider derived. A little better than 4 out of 10 should be sufficient. I ain't getting rich betting NFL, just dont want to go broke.
 
Last edited:
Jets +4 /+143

For my first half "system" to not be on Oakland. Total going to need to drop a bit more, dont think it will. I dont want to play it, made big one on rams ml, but will if everything stays same
 
17 minutes ago. https://www.colts.com/news/indvswas-inactives-list-2018-week-2

INDIANAPOLIS — The following players are inactive for today's 2018 Week 2 matchup against the Washington Redskins at FedExField:
•DT/DE Denico Autry
• DE Tarell Basham
• T Anthony Castonzo
• T/G Denzelle Good

• RB Christine Michael
• CB Chris Milton
• CB Lenzy Pipkins
LINEUP CHANGES
— Le'Raven Clark is expected to start at left tackle for Anthony Castonzo

— Hassan Ridgeway is expected to start at defensive tackle for Denico Autry
 
Thanks TW. I appreciate it.

Too cute by half last night. Sold one point too much and got crushed on last play of game. All I can do is smile.
 
Thanks volt, starting to feel like a degenerate, particularly with a correlated play but it's a different kind of fun with plus money. I prolly should have played u21 to play it safe, but go big or go home I look forward to the game. GL tonight my man.
 
No plus money to be had on tightly lined games. Getting too cute with team totals. My vision for game was wrecked when they got 2nd chance at 2 pt conversion.

At least I can tell my friends that I lost Bakers first game. What a baller. Moving on.
 
It's a much better deal for me book, no doubt. When I got a loser it's usually still a loser and vice versa, I have had a few winners lost to the selling, but it's all good. Happy Sunday.

First Half
Redskins +1/-110
Redskins ML +113
Cardinals +3/-105
Cardinals ML +168
 
Last edited:
So I added action to name of thread, because that's what it is to me.

I'm into it, but as we see often times the closing spread is perfect.

There is little plus money available sometimes. I should try to avoid those.

However, it's cool cause it's just 1 play off, if that scared FG kicker hit chippie, it would be at 13 that last viking drive that ended in FG, would have gone to 4th down otherwise, but y'all understand.

Need to jump on earlier in the week but this is action thread.
 
Good luck Johnny

Only thing has me worried about Tenny is one
hit on Marriota’s elbow away from Luke Falk.
 
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