First bet

[tuck321]

Over 5 minus 10 cents at Anaheim
Also a light RL bet on Anaheim
Why. You should already know the answer
Gallardo 8.03 night ERA
Gallardo 8 ERA this season Angels
6 ERA with ump
Gallardo 8.83 ERA Sept and October
Shoemaker is crummy himself but is fairly good ar night
Will be doing a lot more near game time I expect
May be playing Houston again checking lineup

 

[tuck321]

Auto bet on Tampa made easier based on Baker stats

 

[tuck321]

Severino with Baker ERA ump tonight
7.94. 5.2 innings thinking Reverse RL

 

[tuck321]

Took plus 300
Baker and Tampa 5-1
Baker and home dogs 7-2 This is a tough one

 

[tuck321]

Faria with Baker 2.70 ERA Faria is much better at night as Severino is much better in the day.
See no new injuries. This will be a Large bet with me. Have doubled the straight bet added 1.5 with plus 5 cents and have reverse RL plus 300.
going on to other plays go TAMPA

 

[Inspekdah]

Good stuff tuckster

 

[tuck321]

Thanks

 

[tuck321]

Stratton 1 unit Last 10 at home at night 9-1

 

[tuck321]

Adding Astros split half ML have RL and game under.
I am simply letting the Astros tell me. When I saw a very real line up on the Best day of the week on the road for the Astros I thought they had decided to win for him in what should be his last game The under is simply a rule of the umpire a major under ref who has gone 9-1 under with Toronto. His name is Estabook and he is 9-19 under this season

 

[AtlHawks]

All in with you on Tampa...

+1,5
ml
-1.5

:cheers4:

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Guess the next word.

First bet





Bitches

 

[consilience]

Go Tampa and go tuck!!!

 

[tuck321]

I know where Tampa is going. Down 7 is death

 

[undisputed]

what u think of rockis RL/DodgersRL/angels ML parlay

 

[tuck321]

For some reason Shoemaker is getting a brand new catcher

 

[undisputed]

i assume angels tt over 4.5 u like

 

[tuck321]

I sort of like the sides. If Bettis is going on 6+ just like the over. on 6+ this season over a 10 ERA

 

[tuck321]

Absolutely on the team total

 

[undisputed]

liking dodgers tt over 4.5 but its juiced bad

 

[tuck321]

Funny watching the Tampa game. Major homer ump major under ump and we see this. Where did the Tampa relief pitching go. Severino looks pretty bad if they could have hung around

 

[tuck321]

Taking off guys BOL

 

[tuck321]

First time in a long time I bet SF. Homer ump. A great night pitcher for years Nothing matters. That team is roasting in hell

 

[undisputed]

Gallardo dealing

 

[tuck321]

Maybe I should have known. In his last start he played at home at night and got spanked. He was usually very good at home. He digested that and this I would guess this was his last game of the season. Looking back i might have guessed this

 

[tuck321]

Houston is not playing a meaningful starter tomorrow. We will see

 

[tuck321]

SF won and I did increase my over bet in LA but also the RL on the Angels. If I had not bet a small fortune on Tampa a very good day

 

[tuck321]

Took a look at the Tampa bull pen. They had at least 7 rested quality relief pitchers last night that they did not use. Why. I have no idea

 

[mrpickem]

gallardo lucky bitch..10-7 on year as avg +135

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

I will fade chen andcwager on the rook.

https://districtondeck.com/2018/09/...ls-kyle-mcgowin-can-leave-lasting-impression/

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Astros got B lineup in

 

[Inspekdah]

Astros got B lineup in

That combined with a decent WHIP for Devenski makes me think under has value.

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

I think Astros are going opener style, I guess we see a few dudes, hard to get excited backing blueJay's, dont think I can even 5ho line is so

Ump neutral, assume roof closed, wind howling in,

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Chacin wins away, st Louis has seen him 4 times this year, dont hit him hard at home

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Good rest4 for gant, he excels at night, getting tired in September?

Homer ump but I think brewers win central and cards are odd one out

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Not a great split spot for nova

Quintana rest fine much better at night

 

[Inspekdah]

Sox pulling good bats

 

[undisputed]

See that

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

I'm going under in st louis earlier time btw

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Fucking bullshit, I had lots on nats, canceled out ridiculous. They had half inning to go, it was a line of weather makes no sense not to finish, of course nats win but they gotta finish

 

[undisputed]

Damn I had them to

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Gotta play Cubs, selling runs

 

[tuck321]

Sorry to hear it. Had the over

 

[mrpickem]

gonna take zona +105 seems cheap
several reasons including spoiler role, both starter have allowed 35 runs over L15 starts but Greinke much better @ home and last 3
plus this query
home team hitting <= .215 last 15 games and slugging < .400 on year win 60% for 16% ROI and for SEPT it's almost 20% but small sample(last 5 years)
H and tS(hits, N=15) / tS(at bats, N=15) <= .215 and season > 2013 and league = NL and (tS(hits) + tS(doubles) + tS(triples) * 2 + tS(HR) * 3) / tS(at bats) < .4
SU: 141-96 (0.49, 59.5%) avg line: -108.1 / -103.7 on / against: +$4,731 / -$5,893 ROI: +16.2% / -20.6%

RL: 129-107 (0.45, 54.7%) avg line: 111.3 / -127.1 on / against: +$3,861 / -$5,390 ROI: +13.6% / -16.1%

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Pick, I was coming in to say that Greinke is fine on 4, better at home, knows Dodgers, owes payback and last home game of year

 

[mrpickem]

Took a look at the Tampa bull pen. They had at least 7 rested quality relief pitchers last night that they did not use. Why. I have no idea

Apparently they were saving them for tonight because they been very good so far
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