Jumpsinn - I'd lean with picking 42. I realise that gives the guy picking 51 more winners in the 40s than what you'd give him mtaking 45, but there's no denying we're "due" a totals correction towards the mean (given the plethora of Over results in the early season thus far), and I can see, like last night, this total being up in the air right towards the end. Plus 42 gives you 41 (per the guy expected to pick 39), and all the other results right around the game total line. Just my pov (off of what I said earlier). Otherwise I can't argue with your 45 since you're clearly not going to pick less than 39 (but if you're to lose, I'd guess the 39 guy wins before the 51).
