Fight Night - Vegas 52 ~ April 23

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
This lackluster card still delivers a couple of decent matchups.

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Got back in the green last week, if just barely so...

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UFC Vegas 52: Prelims​


  • Barry Early KO ...Barry's a half-decent kickboxer getting a call-up way before he's ready. The Sniper isn’t CM Punk, however, and will exhibit the difference between mixed martial artists and photojournalists on Saturday night. Jackson can box a little and handle himself on the mat, but the part-timer would have to pull out a next level of wrestling to make this competitive.
  • Prachnio ITD ...After a humiliating KO loss to Sam Alvey, Prachnio has looked like a different animal since 2021. Dipping into the power that made his name pre-UFC, Prachnio has managed to utilize his kicks more efficiently. While Lins’ decision to move down to LHW should allow him to showcase his wrestling, I am unsure whether the Brazilian can rebuild his career at thirty-six years old.
  • Aoriqileng KO ...Phillips is an immensely difficult fighter to face in your UFC debut, yet Else’s athletic pitfalls were clear to see. The kill or be killed style that Else lives by is in large part down to his knowledge that he cannot physically match opponents in clean affairs. Aoriqileng is hardly UFC caliber, but he's an athletic specimen with a ridiculous chin that supports his hectic, risk-happy striking. Both men’s records are padded to the highest heavens, but at least Aoriqileng has shown some competency in the UFC.
  • Pedro ITD, likely sub ...Pedro has been on the sidelines for 4 years after suffering back-to-back humiliations against OSP and Shogun Rua. Defensive issues have long plagued Pedro, but his plus power made up for it in the regionals. Thankfully for the Aussie, Villanueva’s chin has no more miles left on the clock. Although the veteran is craftier on the feet than his flabby physique suggests, he has kept his place in the UFC based on availability.
  • Khandozhko Decision ...Khandozhko is a slick operator in the cage and makes the most of his limited athletic ability. Aside from ring rust seeing Khandozhko walking onto Grant’s power, I’m edging towards the Russian earning the scorecards in a timid, uneventful affair. Grant’s total inability to lead a fight will continue to bite him on the ass, wasting his riches of power.
  • Barriault KO ...Against consistent, durable opponents, Wright makes too many mistakes on the feet to survive. The Californian has an okay chin, but his lack of defensive sensibilities and discomfort on the back-foot will forever hold him back. I’m backing Barriault’s chin failures last time out as only a temporary blip, even with the late notice call-up. Barriault will rough Wright against the cage and break the limited willpower of the Californian.
  • Parsons ...Elder’s lack of combos will likely be his downfall. Granted, Elder is working at Sanford MMA and will surely see his striking develop leaps and bounds, but at the minute he hasn’t shown the ability to chain counters. Simplicity isn’t necessarily a negative, but it feels as though Elder’s issues are concentrated in an inherent unwillingness to take risks. Parson’s aggression should be richly rewarded on the scorecards and possibly even a late stoppage.
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Actually, the first fight will be at 6:05 EST

First 4 bouts' action:
  • 3/1.71 Dean Barry by KO/TKO or DQ -175
  • 2/2.50 BARRY IN ROUND 1 +125
  • 3/2.56 MARCIN PRACHNIO -117
  • 3/2.22 Marcin Prachnio: Inside Distance/Goes Distance=No Action -135
  • 1.48/2 MARCIN PRACHNIO KO,TKO,DQ,SUB +135
  • 3/3.15 Aori Qileng Wins Inside Distance +105
  • 1.74/2 Cameron Else VS Aori Qileng Under 1½ +115
  • 4/3.03 PRESTON PARSONS -132

Paige finally posted the puppies ~ link :assshake:
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Wow, 0-5-1 start's a wake-up call :beat:

[2-5-1 -11.33u]
  • 4.60/4 Tyson Pedro by KO/TKO or DQ -115
  • 5/1.82 Tyson Pedro Wins Inside Distance -275
  • 3.21/3 SERGEY KHANDOZHKO -107
 

UFC Vegas 52: Main Card​


CHARLES JOURDAIN(12-4-1) VS LANDO VANNATA(12-5-2) ~ Featherweight (145)
  • Vannata Decision ...Regardless of which way this one swings, Jourdan vs Vanatta has FOTN potential if they stay on the feet. With so much variety in his striking, Vannata regularly sits at range during periods of inactivity while he waits to craft his highlight reel combination. Although the Canadian cannot compare to the artistically beautiful combinations, Jourdain thrives in surprising with nuclear single strikes. Despite Jourdain’s sharp counters, his head movement falls apart under extended combinations – Vanatta’s money game.
MUDAERJI SU(15-4) VS MANEL KAPE(17-6) ~ Flyweight (125)
  • Kape TKO ...Forget Bukayo Saka, Manel Kape is the real deal. Technically, Kape is a freak technician and athlete, who has failed largely due to an inability to settle into the pace demanded by the UFC’s Flyweight division. The incorporation of counters in bunches, rather than trying to find the one ‘money shot’, is ripe to poach Su as he lunges in. Even with Su’s uneducated pressure, there is still a nagging suspicion that he once again shows his knack for losing on the cards from a troubled output.
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MAYCEE BARBER(9-2) VS MONTANA DE LA ROSA(12-6-1) ~ Women’s Flyweight (125)
  • Barber Decision ...Until Barber shows any sort of ability to gauge the range, she will consistently be broken down by the savvier operators. Against low-volume, slower-paced fighters like De La Rosa, however, Barber’s volume and activity tend to earn the judges’ eye. De La Rosa could exploit Barber’s weak bottom game, but The Future’s power in the scrambles will likely pose too much of a hurdle. At this level, physicality counts a lot.
ALEXANDR ROMANOV(15-0) VS CHASE SHERMAN(15-9) ~ Heavyweight (265)
  • Romanov ...Romanov's game is set in stone, running headfirst into takedowns and looking to overpower opponents into submission. Stylistically, Romanov is almost guaranteed to put Sherman on the mat. As seen against the bloated Jake Collier, Sherman will eventually place himself in a dangerous position and receive a mercy submission. Sherman’s non-existent footwork will allow Romanov to close the distance at will.
CLAY GUIDA(37-21) VS CLAUDIO PUELLES(11-2) ~ Lightweight (155)
  • Guida ...If not for debatable scorecards against Mark Madsen, Guida would be on a three-fight streak which includes a shut-out against Michael Johnson. Although I’m praying that Puelles holds his own in an entertaining grappling affair, The Carpenter has carved a career out of man-handling opponents of Puelles’ caliber. Even when considering how unthreatening Guida’s volume and bowling ball pressure are, Puelles lacks confidence on the feet and will struggle with the pace that Clay sets.
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Main Event: AMANDA LEMOS(11-1-1) VS JESSICA ANDRADE(22-9) ~ Women’s Strawweight (115)
  • Andrade ITD ...Lack of movement likely will be the straw that breaks the camel’s (Lemos’) back. As seen against Hill, Lemos is happy to trade shots, but this is mostly down to her inability to stick and move. When facing an opponent with a legendary chin, in a division notorious for low striking finish rates, Lemos will have to unveil a new layer to her striking or prove her power is truly legitimate. At a certain point, Andrade’s powerful overhands and slams have to be accepted as a kit more than capable of hanging amongst the elite. It was only a few years back that Andrade dropped a ferocious wrestling display against Tecia Torres, a return to such game-planning against Lemos would see Bate Estaca cruise this affair.

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Lose 5 straight, then win 5 straight...that's more like it :cheers3:

[5-5-1 +0.49u]

  • 4/5.00 MARC-ANDRE BARRIAULT KO,TKO,DQ,SUB +125
  • 4/2.00 MARC-ANDRE BARRIAULT -200
  • 3/3.03 LANDO VANNATA +101

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[7-6-1 +4.49u]

  • 2/2.84 Montana De La Rosa +142
  • 2/2.12 CLAY GUIDA +106
  • 2/4.12 AMANDA LEMOS +206

Decided to flip to the dogs on both women's fights, I like both favorites but I hate laying near 2-1 when I expect a decision.

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