FIGHT NIGHT: KATTAR VS CHIKADZE
- Thread starter mrpickem
- Start date
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Prelims...
- Brown ...Last-minute replacement Charles Rosa has made a career off beating flawed opponents such as TJ Brown. While Rosa has a clear grappling advantage, his wrestling inefficiencies will leave this affair standing for the majority. Rosa is a sharpish kickboxer on the outside, but Browns’ volume and power should catch the judges eyes. Even though Brown’s chin is weak, Rosa isn’t the fighter to punish this.
- Kelleher ITD ...Croom is super aggressive, looking to suffocate an opponent’s space and search for grappling exchanges. Weak wrestling is unlikely to threaten Kelleher, even with the size disadvantage, while the risk-taking could see Kelleher punish the late replacement. You can expect Kelleher’s crisper hands will find regular counters as Croom walks into punishment.
- McGee Decision ...Brahimaj is a slick sub artist, but it seems foolish to bet against McGee’s submission defense. The Bronx fighter undoubtedly can get McGee to the mat early in the first round, but there is a real fear that Brahimaj burns the gas tank chasing the finish. McGee’s cardio is legendary and he'll be able to dominate when standing. Brahimaj likes spending long portions of the fight standing at range behind a high guard.
- Pickett KO ...If the Night Wolf lands early, which is expected as the sharper striker, Holmes will be less willing to close the distance from where he can unleash his grueling, if ugly, clinch work. Holmes’ long, telegraphed, single-shots on the feet leave him flat-footed and primed for Pickett counters. Worst of all, Holmes takedown defense is extremely leaky – allowing Pickett an avenue to a safer victory than trading on the feet. The grappling battle on the mat is fairly equal, but it won’t be very exciting.
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Main Card...
- Algeo ...Brito’s powerful and flashy striking will struggle to crack Algeo’s chin that has held up to Spike Carlyle, Ricardo Lamas and Shane Burgos. Algeo does struggle to keep himself off the mat, but Brito hasn’t yet shown the ability to hold down a fighter of Algeo’s BJJ quality. Expect a debatable split decision as the American slowly emerges into the contest as Brito tires down the stretch.
- Borschev KO ...This is a case of heart overruling brain. Bush is a dominant grappler, Borschev showed worryingly leaky takedown defense in the DWCS, it’s a simple formula that has played out so often at the unranked level. Borschev’s herky-jerky movement and powerful counter-punching leave me backing the Russian. Bush’s kicks are impressive, but his boxing leaves a lot to be desired and he can easily be pressured to the fence.
- Chookagian ...Chook is a fighter who knows her limits. Well-drilled and fundamentally sound, Chookagian doesn’t sit into her punches – avoiding the risks in favor of high-output and avoiding damage. Maia’s slow, lumbering striking was ill-equipped to beat Chookagian in 2019, neither lady has developed their tools to an extent where a repeat is anything other than expected. The Brazilian is a tough cookie, however, and there is always the potential of a Chookagian mental lapse allowing Maia an avenue into a grappling fight. This is Women’s Flyweight after all.
- Royval Sub ...Royval thrives in the chaos of a disjointed war and Bontorin’s willingness to test himself in every area of a fight may play into Royval’s hands. If Bontorin were a smart fighter, he would grind out a decision on the mat with takedowns during the frequent opportunities that Royval offers when throwing spinning attacks. Unfortunately, Bontorin rarely dictates the terms of a fight himself.
- Collier ...Sherman could end this in the first round, after all, Collier is anything but a natural Heavyweight. Despite the blow-up in weight, however, Collier has proven himself athletically capable of surviving at 265lb. Sherman has the power and eye for a counter to catch Collier wading in recklessly, but only for the first round. Unfortunately, Sherman’s gas tank is too difficult to back – struggling to catch his breath just two minutes into the Porter fight.
- Kattar ...It's been a full year of recovery for Kattar since his five-round beating at the hands of Holloway. Importantly, Kattar’s chin never ‘broke’ under the pressure or volume. Kattar’s durability and proven gas tank are the main strengths that I like. Not saying Chikadze doesn’t hold the natural power to stop Kattar. The American’s preference to parry with extended hands leaves his body wide open to Giga’s famous liver kick. Chikadze isn’t an elite game-planner, however. He is a reactive striker with exceptional timing based on his extensive kickboxing background. Chikadze must be favored in this bout since he's the man on the roll while Kattar tends to drift in the opening rounds. Kattar’s incredible chin continues to draw me back in, however, and his underrated ground and pound could score 10-8 rounds against a tiring Giga. Ruff ruff as I see so doggie value here.
skanless13
Fly, Eagles, Fly!
Great value with Calvin IMO.
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
[11-3 +21.5u]
3/1.45 TJ BROWN -207
3/3.30 BRIAN KELLEHER INSIDE DISTANCE +110
2.78/3 COURT MCGEE +108
3.05/4 JAMIE PICKETT +131
1.14/4 JAMIE PICKETT INSIDE DISTANCE +350
2.40/3 BILL ALGEO +125
4/2.03 VIACHESLAV BORSHCHEV -197
2/2.20 VIACHESLAV BORSHCHEV INSIDE DISTANCE +110
3/2.10 (VIACHESLAV BORSHCHEV vs DAKOTA BUSH) UNDER 2½ -143
4/1.92 KATLYN CHOOKAGIAN -208
3/1.94 BRANDON ROYVAL -155
2/1.48 BRANDON ROYVAL INSIDE DISTANCE -135
2.64/2 JAKE COLLIER -132
2.08/4 CALVIN KATTAR +192
Solid start for 2022 :breakdance:
3/1.45 TJ BROWN -207 3/3.30 BRIAN KELLEHER INSIDE DISTANCE +110 2.78/3 COURT MCGEE +108 3.05/4 JAMIE PICKETT +131 1.14/4 JAMIE PICKETT INSIDE DISTANCE +350 2.40/3 BILL ALGEO +125 4/2.03 VIACHESLAV BORSHCHEV -197 2/2.20 VIACHESLAV BORSHCHEV INSIDE DISTANCE +110 3/2.10 (VIACHESLAV BORSHCHEV vs DAKOTA BUSH) UNDER 2½ -143 4/1.92 KATLYN CHOOKAGIAN -208 3/1.94 BRANDON ROYVAL -155 2/1.48 BRANDON ROYVAL INSIDE DISTANCE -135 2.64/2 JAKE COLLIER -132 2.08/4 CALVIN KATTAR +192Solid start for 2022 :breakdance:
