Feedback requested

VegasMLDogs

VegasMLDogs

Pretty much a regular
Hello everyone! Wanted to get some feedback from the pros on here.

I am leaning SDSU -10.5 vs Wyoming. SDSU defense has been lights out and I feel they will score around 28-35 in this contest, allowing Wy no more than 10.

Cincinnati +10 @ UTAH - leaning Cincinnati, but this is more my gut than anything else. Utah can be scary good, but I still feel Cin in the better team. Am I crazy?

N TEX -6.5 vs Navy - I've bet on both teams this year successfully but haven't watched as much as I should have. Lean N TEX, but I know Navy will score plenty. Just don't think they keep up with N Tex. Is Over a safer bet?

Thanks in advance!~
 
VegasMLDogs said:
Hello everyone! Wanted to get some feedback from the pros on here.

I am leaning SDSU -10.5 vs Wyoming. SDSU defense has been lights out and I feel they will score around 28-35 in this contest, allowing Wy no more than 10.

Cincinnati +10 @ UTAH - leaning Cincinnati, but this is more my gut than anything else. Utah can be scary good, but I still feel Cin in the better team. Am I crazy?

N TEX -6.5 vs Navy - I've bet on both teams this year successfully but haven't watched as much as I should have. Lean N TEX, but I know Navy will score plenty. Just don't think they keep up with N Tex. Is Over a safer bet?

Thanks in advance!~
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Like SDSU minus points - Wyoming had a big rivalry W last week vs Colorado St and I don't expect their O to get much vs SDSU's outstanding D. That's a lot of points to lay with such a low total. Probably like under better than anything there, but also didn't play the game and I think side is SDSU or nothing.

Hard to lay 10 with Utah vs a decent Cincy team, but it's a night game in SLC where the Utes often lay the wood and the market really showed in favor of Utah (below 10, of course). I actually like under there but passed.

My numbers loved Navy/NT over but I passed simply because it's hard to lay a number in the mid-60s with a team that can always put up a 8-10-minute drive esp if they have the lead. I think I'd prefer the Navy TT over 29' there because it accounts for the likelihood of Navy playing possession to protect their D if they have the lead. Still, I could not imagine playing the under on this game so I think the total is over or pass.

BOL whatever you decide!
 
Thanks for the responses! Been betting for years, but I've not taken as seriously as I have this year. I am actually starting to CAP the games rather than just look at stats/records/history and then winging it. Not doing great yet, but I am profitable the last 2 weeks....trying to keep that UP!
 
VegasMLDogs said:
Hello everyone! Wanted to get some feedback from the pros on here.

I am leaning SDSU -10.5 vs Wyoming. SDSU defense has been lights out and I feel they will score around 28-35 in this contest, allowing Wy no more than 10.

Cincinnati +10 @ UTAH - leaning Cincinnati, but this is more my gut than anything else. Utah can be scary good, but I still feel Cin in the better team. Am I crazy?

N TEX -6.5 vs Navy - I've bet on both teams this year successfully but haven't watched as much as I should have. Lean N TEX, but I know Navy will score plenty. Just don't think they keep up with N Tex. Is Over a safer bet?

Thanks in advance!~
Click to expand...
I'm with you on the over. I'm 5-0 for the year betting on overs in N Texas games and I expect this one to make me 6-0. Navy leads the nation in overs this year, going 6-1. N Texas is tied for #2 at 6-2.

Navy can't stop the pass, N Texas can't stop the run. N Texas has the best passing attack in the country, Navy has the best rush attack in the country. N Texas leads the country in scoring, Navy is not far behind them.
 
I don't think Cincinnati is better than Utah, at all. I couldn't wait to jump on this line early and did so at 7 on Sunday as I think UU wins this game by 10+. Night, altitude, Dampier playing, etc. and Utah with a lot of desperation in this one. I think UU will get a few stops defensively. I don't trust Cincy to get many / any.

Best of luck to you.
 
I’m shocked by the Utah line. UC’s offense blew through some strong angles vs. KU and Iowa State.
 
M.W. said:
I’m shocked by the Utah line. UC’s offense blew through some strong angles vs. KU and Iowa State.
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Agreed.

Although sometimes a line tells the story.

Still, I like this Cincy team.

Last week I asked in the discussion thread about Cincy and Baylor. I didn't understand why that line was so low at home. .

Of course Cincy rolls early and late!
 
M.W. said:
I’m shocked by the Utah line. UC’s offense blew through some strong angles vs. KU and Iowa State.
Click to expand...
Agreed.

Although sometimes a line tells the story.

Still, I like this Cincy team.

Last week I asked in the discussion thread about Cincy and Baylor. I didn't understand why that line was so low at home. .

Of course Cincy rolls early and late!
 
Altitude, 10:15pm Eastern start time, Utah ARENA

Look at what Cinci needs to do, pace/outscore. Outside of the game at Arrowhead, the only other road games have been at KU and Okie Lite defenses. This should be a little different than those games I believe. I agree with Frank's sentiment, Utes by 20 would be less shocking to me than a close game.
 
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