ESPN Sunday Night Stats - 2009

[BetCrimes1984]

Unfortunately during a long past clean-up I got rid of some stuff I didn't intend to throwout, amongst which were a decent amount of my ESPN Sunday nighter stat sheets going back a number of seasons. So the stats below refer only to all the games played since the start of the 05 season.

- All these stats are based on opening lines

- All stats are up-to-date



ESPN Sunday Night stats (from '05 onwards)


Straight-Up Results

Home Favs ............. 43-34
Home Dogs ............. 13-15
Home Pick'ems .......... 0-2


Run-Line Results

Home Favs (-1.5) .... 30-47
Home Dogs (+1.5) ... 17-11


Margin results

Games decided by 1 run ....... 30
Games decided by 2 runs ...... 13
Games decided by 3+ runs .... 64

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Total Results

Overs ........ 51
Unders ....... 51
Pushes ....... 5


Straight-Up Results tied to Total Results

Fav winners ....... 28-27-3 to Over
Dog winners ....... 23-22-2 to Under
Pick'ems .............. 1-1


Venue Results tied to Total Results

Home straight-up winners .... 27-25-4 to Under
Road straight-up winners ..... 26-24-1 to Over


Margin Results tied to Total Results

1 run margin games ...... 19-8-3 to Under
2 run margin games ...... 10-3 to Under
3+ run margin games .... 40-22-2 to Over

Total results are clearly tied to final margins. The closer the contest, the fewer the runs.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Scoring 1st Results

Scoring 1st & won ..... 67
Scoring 1st & lost ...... 40


Scoring 1st tied to Venue Result

Home team scored 1st & won ..... 32
Home team scored 1st & lost ...... 16

Road team scored 1st & won ...... 35
Road team scored 1st & lost ....... 24


Scoring 1st tied to Total Result

Scoring 1st & winning ...... 36-28-3 to Over
Scoring 1st & losing ........ 23-15-2 to Under

----------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[BetCrimes1984]

Atlanta @ Philadelphia - 4/5/09

Phillies ESPN Sun niters record since 05
vs the Braves
W/L .... 2-2
RL ...... 1-3
O/U .... 0-4

vs everybody else
W/L .... 5-5
RL ...... 5-4
O/U .... 6-3-1*

*Philly's games against teams other than the Braves in this time slot have tended to be high scoring - they've had just 1 game total less than 9 runs.


Bravos ESPN Sun niters record since 05
vs the Phillies
W/L .... 2-2
RL ...... 3-1
O/U .... 0-4*

vs everybody else
W/L .... 4-5
RL ...... 4-5
O/U .... 2-5-2*

*Atlanta has had a strong bias to produce Under results on ESPN Sun nite baseball since 05: paying out on only 2 Over results in 13 games.


Meetings since 05
in PHI: PHI won 2-1 as a Fav/Under
in PHI: ATL won 4-3 as a Dog/Under
in PHI: ATL won 5-1 as a Dog/Under
in PHI: PHI won 5-3 as a Fav/Under

 

[BetCrimes1984]

And as a matter of interest, the season opening Sunday Niters since 05 -

05: NYY 11-2 BOS (Fav/Over)
06: CWS 10-4 CLE (Fav/Over)
07: STL 1-6 MET (Dog/Under)
08: WAS 3-2 ATL (Dog/Under)

 

[RetroVK]

It's official ... betcrimes sunday night stats ....overnight thoughts from yanks , ..timh and shorty stalking umps ....

baseball is here.

 

[GWarner27]

that makes me very excited about my under lean tonight

thanks BC

 

[BetCrimes1984]

guys:cheers:

 

[BetCrimes1984]

Chicago @ Milwaukee - 4/12/09

Brewers ESPN Sun Niters record since 05
The Brewers have not played in an ESPN Sunday nighter since 2005


Cubs ESPN Sun Niters record since 05
vs everybody else
W/L .... 2-6
RL ...... 2-6
O/U .... 2-5-1*

vs the Cardinals
W/L .... 4-2
RL ...... 3-3
O/U .... 5-1*

* The Cubs have a clear bias for producing Overs vs Saint Louis and Unders vs any other team since 05 in this Sunday night spot.


No meetings since 05

 

[BetCrimes1984]

Saint Louis @ Chicago - 4/19/09

Cubs ESPN Sun Niters record since 05
vs the Cardinals
W/L .... 4-2
RL ...... 3-3
O/U .... 5-1*

vs everybody else
W/L .... 3-6
RL ...... 3-6
O/U .... 3-5-1*

* The Cubs have a clear bias for producing Overs vs Saint Louis and Unders vs any other team since 05 in this Sunday night spot.


Cards ESPN Sun Niters record since 05
vs the Cubs
W/L .... 2-4
RL ...... 3-3
O/U .... 5-1

vs everybody else
W/L .... 5-3
RL ...... 3-5
O/U .... 3-4-1


Meetings since 05
in CHC: CHC won 5-4 as a Fav/Over
in CHC: CHC won 8-4 as a Dog/Over
in CHC: CHC won 6-2 as a Fav/Over
in STL: STL won 10-6 as a Fav/Over
in STL: CHC won 8-4 as a Fav/Over
in STL: STL won 5-3 as a Fav/Under

 

[GWarner27]

we got no bullpen for the Cubs, also, but i'm worried about the series hitting 3 overs already and going for a 4th with those stats

 

[BetCrimes1984]

New York @ Boston - 4/26/09

Red Sox ESPN Sun Niters record since 05
vs the Yankees
W/L .... 5-6
RL ...... 5-6
O/U .... 6-4-1*

vs everybody else
W/L .... 3-3
RL ...... 2-4
O/U .... 3-3*

*Boston has had 15 of these 17 games total at least 8 runs.


Yankees ESPN Sun Niters record since 05
vs the Red Sox
W/L ..... 6-5
RL ....... 6-5
O/U ..... 6-4-1

vs the Mets
W/L ..... 4-2
RL ....... 4-2
O/U ..... 4-2

vs everybody else
W/L ..... 2-0
RL ....... 2-0
O/U ..... 1-0-1


Meetings since 05
in BOS: BOS won 9-2 as a Fav/Over
in BOS: BOS won 8-5 as a Fav/Over
in BOS: NYY won 4-3 as a Dog/Under
in BOS: NYY won 6-5 as a Dog/Over
in BOS: BOS won 7-6 as a Fav/Over
in BOS: NYY won 8-5 as a Dog/Over
in BOS: NYY won 5-3 as a Dog/Under
in NYK: NYY won 5-4 as a Fav/Push
in NYK: BOS won 5-4 as a Dog/Under
in NYK: BOS won 7-2 as a Dog/Under
in NYK: NYY won 11-2 as a Fav/Over

 

[BetCrimes1984]

Chicago @ Texas - 5/3/09


Rangers ESPN Sun Niters record since 05
W/L .... 4-1
RL ...... 4-1
O/U .... 2-3*

*The Rangers have played 2 home games, and both have gone Under (5 & 7 runs).


White Sox ESPN Sun niters record since 05
W/L .... 8-4
RL ...... 6-6
O/U .... 7-5


No meetings since 05

 

[RetroVK]

thanks again.

 

[BetCrimes1984]

Tampa Bay @ Boston - 5/10/09

Red Sox ESPN Sun Niters record since 05
vs the Yankees
W/L .... 6-6
RL ...... 6-6
O/U .... 6-5-1*

vs everybody else
W/L .... 3-3
RL ...... 2-4
O/U .... 3-3*

*Boston has had 15 of these 18 games total at least 8 runs.


Devil Rays ESPN Sun Niters record since 05
The Devil rays have not played in an ESPN Sunday nighter since before 2005 (and as far as I know, ever?)


No meetings since 05

 

[GWarner27]

83% of games with 8+ runs looks nice with the 7.5 total we got tomorrow.

...little uncomfortable with OVERs with Garza, but a lot of the Rays pitchers can't do anything on the road so i'll need to look at more