Eighth Week

[mrpickem]

Jets, Bills and Boys have been the most overperforming so fay while the Bucs are in their own tier fdor worse followed by both LA teams and GB.



Through Thurs 10/27

 

[mrpickem]

--- NFL ---
WEEK 7 [7-10 -8.77u]
SEASON [64-65 -4.21u]

LAST [0-3 -9u]
4/3.81 PATRIOTS -8 -105
3/2.86 PATRIOTS u40½ -105
2/1.83 1H PATRIOTS u20 -109


SUNDAY

• 5/4.76 BILLS -10½ -105
• 5/4.85 COWBOYS -10 -103
• 4/3.85 JAGUARS u40½ -104
• 4/3.67 EAGLES -10 -109
• 4/3.54 JETS +3 -113
• 4/3.88 TEXANS u39 -103
• 4/4.12 GIANTS +3 +103
• 4/3.70 Commanders +3 -108
• 3/2.94 COWBOYS u42½ -102
• 3/2.88 FALCONS u41 -104
• 3/2.88 COLTS u39½ -104
• 3/2.86 49ERS PK -105

​

​

​

randoms...

• BUF 12-3-1 ATS AS FAV OF 7 TO 14 POINTS LAST 7+ YEARS
• DAL 11-5-1 ATS AS FAV OF 7 TO 14 POINTS LAST 7+ YEARS
• MIN 40-27-1 ATS W/LINE BETWEEN +4 & -4 L7+ YEARS (9-3 L12)
• WAS 38-26-1 ATS W/LINE BETWEEN +4 & -4 L7+ YEARS (5-3 L8)
• CIN 30-22-4 ATS W/LINE BETWEEN +4 & -4 L7+ YEARS (7-2 L9)
• CLE 17-28-1 ATS W/LINE BETWEEN +4 & -4 L7+ YEARS (2-7 L9)
• NO 10-6 ATS AS HOME DOG L7+ YEARS BUT 1-5 L6
• DET 16-20 ATS AS HOME DOG L7+ YEARS (8-2 L10) & THESE GAMES OVER 62% 22-13-1
• CLE 10-20 ATS AS HOME DOG L7+ YEARS (1-5 L6) & OVER 36.7% 11-19
• JAX 7-17 ATS 2021-22 & 3-12 L15(TOTAL 9-15 37.5%)
• JAX 1-10 ATS IN OCT L3 YEARS INCLUDING LOSING LAST 5
• DAL 15-4 ATS 2021-22 IN CONFERENCE AND 18-7 OVERALL
• CAR 0-9 ATS VS TEAMS WITH LOSING RECORD 2021-22 (7-17 OVERALL INC 1-14 L14)
• SF 6-0 ATS VS LAR L3 YEARS AND 5 OF 6 STAYED UNDER TOTAL
• CIN 11-3 ATS AWAY 2021-22 (8-1 L9) AND TOTAL WAS OVER ONLY 21% 3-11

 

[B.A.R.]

Mista!

 

[mrpickem]

--- NFL ---
WEEK 7 [7-10 -8.77u]
WEEK 8 [7-5 +6.71u]
SEASON [71-70 +2.5u]

LAST [7-5 +6.71u]
5/4.76 BILLS -10½ -105
5/4.85 COWBOYS -10 -103
4/3.85 JAGUARS u40½ -104
4/3.67 EAGLES -10 -109
4/3.54 JETS +3 -113
4/3.88 TEXANS u39 -103
4/4.12 GIANTS +3 +103
4/3.70 Commanders +3 -108
3/2.94 COWBOYS u42½ -102
3/2.88 FALCONS u41 -104
3/2.88 COLTS u39½ -104
3/2.86 49ERS PK -105

MONDAY

• 4/3.48 BENGALS -3 -115
• 3/2.86 BROWNS u45 -105

randoms...

• CIN 11-3 ATS AWAY 2021-22 (8-1 L9) AND TOTAL WAS OVER ONLY 21% 3-11
• CIN 14-5 ATS VS AFC SINCE 2021 and 12-2 in last 14(over only 36.8% 7-12)
• CIN 30-22-4 ATS W/LINE BETWEEN +4 & -4 L7+ YEARS (7-2 L9)
• CLE 17-28-1 ATS W/LINE BETWEEN +4 & -4 L7+ YEARS (2-7 L9)
• CLE 7-14 ATS @HOME 2020-22 (2-7 LAST 9)
• CLE 10-20 ATS AS HOME DOG L7+ YEARS (1-5 L6) & OVER 36.7% 11-19

 

[mrpickem]

My current model/power rankings