Early Sunday discussion

Satyr

Paster of Muppets
5-0 last night (2-0 NBA), let's try to keep it up.

Note that this is only an early view, it could change as day goes by:

SA @ IND

No play, almost definitely. Laying 8 road points is something I'd never take in a situation like this. Indiana are probably done for the season when the playoffs are concerned, but I don't think the Spurs will break their arms and legs to win by 20 tonight. It could be another case of pick the score, I have no interest in taking part here.

DAL @ PHX

Well you know my view of these Suns. They're tough to beat once they're in their rhythm, but apart from that they're too one dimensional. If Dallas cares to win they probably will. Nowitzki should play in this one, if he doesn't then bravo Mavs, for forcing him against NY. That leads me to believe he will play.
Dallas are WAY better, the Suns have completely screwed up their perimeter D lately, since defense isn't their forte to begin with, Dallas has more weapons to cope with them.
Dress me in a school girl uniform and call me Sally, but I like the over here. I think both teams break the 105 mark, and since I think Dallas will win, the total should be exceeded.

Early leans:
Dallas +2
over 214.5



WAS @ MIL

Washington are in a hole lately, and I won't spend any more of my money trying to figure out when these guys will start playing some respectable ball again. What Ruffin did against Toronto, that was highly amateurish and stupid.
I can't back a team stuck in such funk of stupidity, even if it's the Bucks who are on the other side. No play, no leans, I don't even want to hear about this game until tomorrow, when I'll check the result.

MEM @ GSW

The Warriors are sitting in their armchairs watching the Clippers beat the hell out of Portland today, before letting them back in afterwards.
Statement time from the Warriors again. They can beat Memphis in and out and just keep playing their game.
The total is once again a tad too low, remember how GSW went on a scoring spree against Phoenix. This is Memphis we're talking about, what are the Warriors going to do, play defense? slow down the tempo?
They're enjoying their newly acquired status of one of the hottest teams around. The Clippers were a team on a mission, so are the Warriors.

Remember, the Warriors are one of the teams with the biggest discrepancy in offensive performances when halves are concerned. They're a 1st half team, tend to lose pace as game progresses. Expecting somewhat 65-48 half time result. They'll eat 6.5 points like a McSundae.
STRONG LEAN: GSW 1st half (probably -6.5)(very close to being promoted to a play)
LEANS: GSW -11.5
over 223.5 points (if it's going to be a play it's going to be a small one)



UTAH @ HOU

Well what to do here. Can't trust either of the teams at this spot, Utah are due for a good game, after that trip over the East they're unrecognizable, playing quite sub par basketball, and Houston are a toss up for the entire season, I just can't get this team. When they step up and when they don't is beyond me.
initial lean, that knee jerk reaction was take the points. But nah, won't waste my time on this one, too many ifs, too many contradicting indicators.If I keep analyzing this game in order to provide a play afterwards, I have a guaranteed LOCK that my head will explode.


MIN @ ORL

Orlando are laying 7 points to Minnesota? As I said last night, I have no intention of backing Minnesota ever again this season, but SEVEN points? And GSW are laying 11.5 to Memphis?
Orlando are struggling to score, they can win only when underdogs, and are highly erratic in every area of the game. Despite their bench, I get the constant feeling that they're so thin offensively.
Minny couldn't score 80 at home against Miami, and I don't think they'll score 85 against Orlando, since I don't expect Orlando to blow them out, but another one of those "Magic wins" which come out of a long and tiring match...
something like 90-84 expected here. Both teams tend to miss a lot, there'll be a tough inside battle with two premier power forwards, under is an option.
STRONG LEAN: UNDER 185.5 points


CHA @ TOR

These Raptors have guts, they grew some balls lately and they're firing on all cylinders despite missing two European guys Bargnani and Garbajosa.
I have no intention of laying the points here, since I don't believe the Raptors will be all fired up, another under comes to mind since the total seems a tad high, expected something like 194, got 198.5


SAC @ LAL

California rest in peaaaaceeee...
Nah, just kidding. I don't even like RHCP. :D A state battle, both teams will want to win this one. What does that mean? The Lakers coming off a weird period, the Kings being dead meat but I somehow think they step up here and if they were more of a team I would be taking them here, but since their chemistry is at the lowest point a professional team can have, I'm not interested.
I think this one goes under and actually don't think both will reach the 100s, perhaps neither of the teams will. The Kings are, as we know, pathetic, especially in the inside, and Kobe will fire another 30 shots tonight, scoring 40 points. These are not two defensive oriented teams, but the total is set at 210, plenty of cushion there if you choose to play the under.
Lean: UNDER 210.5


I really like how we discussed the game (LAC) last night, plenty of arguments for both sides, etc... I'd like to have this again, one of the best ways to share arguments if you ask me. So if you've got something, share it. Even if it's negative, go ahead, more discussion and more insight can only be helpful.

GL guys.:cheers:
 
Last edited:
hate that KG Battie and Dwight Blunt matchup or the under would be a lock
 
Are you high?

I'm not, are you :D? I'm watching waterpolo world cup finals :D Croatia v Hungary. Haven't slept all night, 9 AM now. Slightly drunk. Some would say drunkish, I would say it too if I didn't think such expressions were Yag.

Cake You're probably right about Utah, either the points or no play. No way on Earth I'm laying points there. What for? Any special reason?

brewer
I wouldn't take the Lakers either. :D

Believe GSW are definitely a team that can eat as many points as you need them to, especially HT line is very appetizing here. Actually it still isn't out, but I expect 6.5. Probably be on both HT and full game spreads there. They're out there to make a statement night after night and reach the playoffs. I think they get it done here, ESPECIALLY at half.
 
G St. in a blowout Memphis finally reach their season goal win 2 str8 games and tank

LMAO WTF is on Memphis team without MM Damon Chunky?
 
is that Hawks Total really 186? Tryus Thomas and Smoov in the paint ha i can see it now
 
i really dont know who he reminds me of. hes a tweener of a 3 and 4 who is more of a finisher and a hustle guy ATM. this summer they need him to work on his mid range game and some post moves. once he develops that i really think the sky is the limit.

i hope i see him in red, white, a little of black,and the occasional green (st pattys day) for a long time to come.
 
there is 1 spot tomorrow. ill be playing it large. back tmrw to discuss it.
 
Finalized the plays:


Wizards (-3) (1.90 @ Pinnacle) 5 units

This is a tail of DuY's pick. I respect this guy a lot and liked how he presented this play, also, after digging a bit deeper when the Bucks are concerned, found out how horrid numbers they have in some categories.

They're losers of 5 straight, missing Bogut and Villanueva for the season, and they're basically everything Wizards need at the moment.
The Bucks (25-46) are giving up 103.2 points per game, fifth-most in the NBA, while allowing opponents to shoot 47.7 percent from the floor, second-worst in the league.
The Wizards were sub par in recent weeks and if they don't step up tonight, they can pack it up for the season, as the playoffs will hand them far more demanding task than they'll facing tonight.
The Wizards need to step up tonight and the Bucks are severely undermanned and demoralized.



Golden State (-11,5) (1.98 @ Pinnacle) 4 units


waiting for the 1st Half line, I expect 6.5 and will pound it with 6 units.
The Warriors are just too much for these Grizzlies to handle, no need to state the numbers as the Grizz are undermanned (missing Mike Miller and Damon Stoudamire for the season), they can't cope with a fast tempo team like the Warriors, which kill their opponents with fast breaks, fast tempo and high FG percentage. I expect Golden State to win comfortably, and make a statement early, hence the bigger play on the 1st half.

Dallas +2 (1.90 @ Pinnacle) 4 units



Leans
: Orlando-Minnesota under 185.5, Utah +6.


good luck guys. :cheers:
 
like that Over mem/gs alot.:cheers:

Everybody knows that Mem is terrible this year and they got nothing to play for (maybe #1 draft pick), while GS will fight for playoff spot. Problem is GS is suck at protecting the lead b/c their def is not that so great. I don't know if you like trend but Mem seems to have GS number. Mem is 7-3 ATS last 10 meetings. The combination of that trend and 11.5 pts makes me Lean on Mem.
 
Thats also another word for cant shoot worth a lick but nice leaper / dunker..never understand how guys make it to the NBA and cant shoot a basketball...then again look at LH specialist in baseball...

Uninspiring early card.....nothing real conccrete yet....BOL
 
Thats also another word for cant shoot worth a lick but nice leaper / dunker..never understand how guys make it to the NBA and cant shoot a basketball...then again look at LH specialist in baseball...

Uninspiring early card.....nothing real conccrete yet....BOL
lets talk basketball what cha think of Utah and Denver
 
Denvers to banged up for my involvement . Houston is playing clearly superior ball to Utah at the moment. The Jazz havent look very sharp on the road vs most quality opponents this season and have now lost 6 straight away. They lost @ Hou earlier w/o Ming catching 3 makes me think that 6 was a very good number maybe should have been -6.5..Best approach is lean Houston 1st H or sit it out and play Utah 2nd H hoping you get better then the +5.5 or +6 game line...Utah has 3 straight slow starts followed by strong 2nd H 's..

Card really sucks after a few intial glances....the only thing interesting me Hawks +5.5 and Und 93 1st H @ Atlanta....
 
Denvers to banged up for my involvement . Houston is playing clearly superior ball to Utah at the moment. The Jazz havent look very sharp on the road vs most quality opponents this season and have now lost 6 straight away. They lost @ Hou earlier w/o Ming catching 3 makes me think that 6 was a very good number maybe should have been -6.5..Best approach is lean Houston 1st H or sit it out and play Utah 2nd H hoping you get better then the +5.5 or +6 game line...Utah has 3 straight slow starts followed by strong 2nd H 's..

Card really sucks after a few intial glances....the only thing interesting me Hawks +5.5 and Und 93 1st H @ Atlanta....
what about the Bucks yeah i like that under in hawk game Tryus & Smoov down low
 
For your I nfo:


http://www.jsonline.com/story/index.aspx?id=584955
The Bucks improve their chances in the lottery with every loss, so it stands to reason that if they finish with more losses than the Celtics, then only the Grizzlies would have better odds of winning the lottery.
Having four fewer losses than the Celtics with only 11 games left to play - including one this afternoon at the Bradley Center against the Washington Wizards - leaves a lot of ground for the Bucks to make up. But if they keep playing things the way they have been, they just might be able to pull it off.
In Dallas last week, veteran Ruben Patterson sat out the fourth quarter as the Bucks went with rookie Ersan Ilyasova, who committed two turnovers in the final minute that proved costly in the Bucks' two-point defeat.
On Friday in Charlotte, after the Bucks fell behind by 15 points after three quarters, Patterson, Michael Redd, Mo Williams, Charlie Bell and Brian Skinner spent the entire fourth quarter on the bench.
Losers of five in a row, the Bucks took Saturday off for a little rest and relaxation.
"We lost a little bit of air out of our sails (with those two injuries)," Krystkowiak said. "We still hadn't thrown in the towel about the playoffs (before they were declared out for the season). So some of that adrenaline, we lost our edge in terms of getting in and being ready to fight.
"We're still going to play the game the right way, but it's hard to dig into that well. We have a real thin roster and in the X's and O's point of view, maybe we're more challenged. We've got some issues that on paper make us a definite underdog in these games."
 
For your I nfo:


http://www.jsonline.com/story/index.aspx?id=584955
The Bucks improve their chances in the lottery with every loss, so it stands to reason that if they finish with more losses than the Celtics, then only the Grizzlies would have better odds of winning the lottery.
Having four fewer losses than the Celtics with only 11 games left to play - including one this afternoon at the Bradley Center against the Washington Wizards - leaves a lot of ground for the Bucks to make up. But if they keep playing things the way they have been, they just might be able to pull it off.
In Dallas last week, veteran Ruben Patterson sat out the fourth quarter as the Bucks went with rookie Ersan Ilyasova, who committed two turnovers in the final minute that proved costly in the Bucks' two-point defeat.
On Friday in Charlotte, after the Bucks fell behind by 15 points after three quarters, Patterson, Michael Redd, Mo Williams, Charlie Bell and Brian Skinner spent the entire fourth quarter on the bench.
Losers of five in a row, the Bucks took Saturday off for a little rest and relaxation.
"We lost a little bit of air out of our sails (with those two injuries)," Krystkowiak said. "We still hadn't thrown in the towel about the playoffs (before they were declared out for the season). So some of that adrenaline, we lost our edge in terms of getting in and being ready to fight.
"We're still going to play the game the right way, but it's hard to dig into that well. We have a real thin roster and in the X's and O's point of view, maybe we're more challenged. We've got some issues that on paper make us a definite underdog in these games."
yeah Redd MO Ruben have pride there not going to lose on purpose vs the Wiz @ home thats so stupid im playing Fucks 1* when i get +4.5 or 5 your betting 9grand on the wiz laying CHALK on the road vs a team that always play them tough = dumb
 
yeah Redd MO Ruben have pride there not going to lose on purpose vs the Wiz @ home thats so stupid im playing Fucks 1* when i get +4.5 or 5 your betting 9grand on the wiz laying CHALK on the road vs a team that always play them tough = dumb


I would prefer it if you post your own picks rather than bash. Think that would make for a better forum
 
your betting 9grand on the wiz laying CHALK on the road vs a team that always play them tough = dumb

That's your reply to my post. 2 things, you either have a selective memory, or you don't know your english. This is gonna be the last reply you'll get from me<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
 
your betting 9grand on the wiz laying CHALK on the road vs a team that always play them tough = dumb


That's your reply to my post. 2 things, either you have a selective memory or you don't understand what your saying. So which is it?<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
 
your betting 9grand on the wiz laying CHALK on the road vs a team that always play them tough = dumb


<!-- / message --><!-- sig --> That's your reply to my post. 2 things, either you have a selective memory or you don't understand what your saying. So which is it?
yeah its a dumb bet but youll look good cause redd is out so you will assume it was a good bet now go do something useful and waste your money on another painting
 
Back
Top