Early Season CFL Chalk

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
I'm not usually much of a CFL player but I did notice early season (Week 1-4) favorites over -5 only cover 36% of the time over last 7 years(thats all that's in SDQL database)
They have only covered 1 of 4 so far this year and there are 3 games that fit the bill this weekend starting with Alouettes tonight. I may toss a half at each of these just to see where it goes.

View attachment 40393
 
Cfl dogs are money because nobody gets paid enough to care--

2 hours max practices a day

no motivation to win-No extra incentives in contract-
 
well the first 4 weeks have come and gone, the dog over 5 produced 70% ATS winners 7-3

View attachment 41328

another one worth a look is week one NFL dogs over 7...hitting 60% over 20+ years

week = 1 and line > 7
SU:16-59-0 (-9.32, 21.3%)Teaser Records
ATS:45-30-0 (0.25, 60.0%) avg line: 9.6+6: 54-21-0 (72.0%) -6: 27-46-2 (37.0%) +10: 59-13-3 (81.9%) -10: 16-58-1 (21.6%)
O/U:41-33-1 (3.47, 55.4%) avg total: 42.7+6: 25-49-1 (33.8%) -6: 57-17-1 (77.0%) +10: 18-56-1 (24.3%) -10: 65-10-0 (86.7%)
 
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