Mavs vs Spurs
A few facts:
a. Mavs tend to play better when it matters.
b. Spurs can't get into a shootout with anyone. They live and die with their D.
c. As many people have said Duncan is not what he used to be. Truth be told, they still live and die with duncan's Low post Presence offensively and defensively.
d. It's like telling me, Celtics is the same team if garnett sits out.
Spurs
We all know, 70% of spurs scoring comes from the Big 3. Given Duncan is already out, you take out approx 50% under or near the basket shots, so to say easy shots. We also have to take into consideration the open shots parker and Manu gets because of the constant 2x team to Timmy, which is the Mavs tendency with him. ( Dirk's D sucks) Oh and also take out those bail out baskets Duncan gives in everygame.
Mavs
Aside from an already good team, Harris has finally emerged as the player they envisioned him to be. He's shown the ability to drive into the lane and finish or dish out to open teamates. And this is where it will hurt the spurs the most, with a guy like Tim D in the game, Harris would have hesitated and the spurs defnse does'nt have to collapse in. With him in the line-up, I expect a lot of help defense especially when you have Bonner or Elson guarding the paint.
Another bright spot is the acquisition of Bass, he provides the much needed low post scoring punch when dirk is resting.
Also goes without saying, there is a big difference for a player like dirk going against duncan who constantly bumps and out muscles you in every possesion and bonner who plays like the MArshmallow Man. Slow and Soft.
Elson will be too slow for him.
Thoughts for the Game:
This match-up is the pobably the most I've watched in the past 3-4 years, basically it's the same team with a few twitches. In spurs' case nothing has changed. In Mavs' case, safe to say they've improved?
I also watched the last 2 games that mavs played, they did improve a lot. Although they lost to the hornets, the game was close all the way.
Anybody remeber the game last season between the 2 where duncan was ejected? Anybody remembered what happened? Spurs was leading by 6, in a snap of a finger the lead was back to the mavs, and SA just struggled to score except for a few Ft's. How can you justify scoring 10 pts in a quarter after playing so well the whole game? Answer: DUncan Effect.
As to the qestion why the line is low, 2 things. 1st, Spurs perfect home record thus far. Secondly, Mavs' so-so road record. if you watched the last 2 games that mavs played, they did improve a lot. Although they lost to the hornets, the game was close all the way.