Bet This MLB Parlay at (+290) on Wednesday
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox
Wednesday, June 8, 2022 at 8:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago
Who Pitches for Chicago?
Tonight, the White Sox start Johnny Cueto.
On the surface, Cueto seems to be a very reliable pitcher because he enjoys a good ERA right now.
But it is hard to judge a pitcher after four starts -- tonight's start will be Cueto's fifth on the season.
In all reality, one can derive any basis for faith in Cueto tonight from his first two starts, which were strong ones.
Most recently, Cueto has allowed eight earned runs in his last two starts combined.
What Pitches Does Cueto Throw?
More deeply, the verdict is out on whether Cueto has improved this year because it is too early to assess the merit of Cueto's altered pitching repertoire.
To explain, Cueto is favoring his sinker more.
Whereas he threw this pitch with 15.5 percent frequency last season, he is throwing it 31.3 percent of the time this season.
It is his favorite pitch in terms of frequency.
Cueto seems to be performing well because opponents have produced minimal success against his favorite pitch.
However, he has benefitted from facing softer matchups.
In his first two starts, he faced teams -- the Royals and Yankees -- that rank in the bottom half in slugging against this pitch from righties.
Conversely, his last two starts -- he struggled against the Cubs and Blue Jays -- came against teams that rank top 10 in slugging against this pitch from righties.
I like the Dodgers tonight because not only do they perform better against the sinker from righties than the Royals and Yanks and than the Cubs and Blue Jays, but they also rank number one in slugging against this pitch from righties.
Look out especially for Cody Bellinger and Justin Turner.
In at least 20 career at-bats against Cueto, Bellinger slugs .520 and Turner slugs .625.
Who Starts for the Dodgers?
L.A. starts Tony Gonsolin who has yet to collect a loss this season.
Currently, Gonsolin is 6-0.
Also, he enjoys superb form.
In both of his last two starts, he has yielded a sub-two FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding).
Gonsolin vs. White Sox Batters
Relative to last year, Gonsolin has injected more variety into his arsenal, and it is paying off.
He is relying less on his fastball and more on his split finger and slider, which are yielding a .125 BA and .070 BA, respectively.
Gonsolin promises to thrive tonight because Chicago ranks 29thin slugging against his three favorite pitches from righties.
Key Trend
I also love the Dodgers tonight because they have a proud lineup that was shut out last night.
L.A. will be particularly driven to bounce back tonight.
This season, the Dodgers are 5-0 after scoring one run or fewer in their previous game.
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels
Wednesday, June 8, 2022 at 9:38 p.m. ET at Angel Stadium in Anaheim
Who Starts for Boston?
Boston starts Nathan Eovaldi tonight who is an overrated pitcher.
His attractive-looking 3.41 ERA masks a 4.83 FIP.
Most especially, he has benefitted from an unsustainably high 88.2-percent strand rate.
Eovaldi's Outlook Tonight
One should expect Eovaldi to allow a lot of runs tonight because he is historically awful in the Angels' venue.
In this venue, he suffers a 5.89 ERA in four career starts.
Moreover, Eovaldi is terribly unreliable in night games.
His career ERA is 1.02 worse in night games than in day games. That is a massive difference.
As one must expect, he has been an awful bet in night games this season.
Currently, Boston is yielding -4.8 units in the seven night games in which Eovaldi started.
Who Starts for the Angels?
The Angels start Reid Detmers who is coming off 4.1 shutout innings in an unusually unsharp start in difficult Yankee Stadium.
Detmers relies primarily on a fastball and curveball.
His pitch selection is intelligent because these two pitches are his most frequent ones, and they are reliable.
Opponents hit .208 against his fastball and .192 against his curveball.
He can locate his curveball anywhere in the strike zone, as heat maps show, but he also likes to play these two pitches off each other by elevating his fastball and then throwing his curveball low.
These two pitches also enjoy a ridiculous 20 mph difference that keeps hitters off balance.
I like Detmers tonight because, outside of its home ballpark, Boston slugs .326 against Detmers' favorite pitches from lefties.
Best Bet: Parlay Dodgers ML at -175 & Angels ML at +148 at +290 odds with BetOnline
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox
Wednesday, June 8, 2022 at 8:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago
Who Pitches for Chicago?
Tonight, the White Sox start Johnny Cueto.
On the surface, Cueto seems to be a very reliable pitcher because he enjoys a good ERA right now.
But it is hard to judge a pitcher after four starts -- tonight's start will be Cueto's fifth on the season.
In all reality, one can derive any basis for faith in Cueto tonight from his first two starts, which were strong ones.
Most recently, Cueto has allowed eight earned runs in his last two starts combined.
What Pitches Does Cueto Throw?
More deeply, the verdict is out on whether Cueto has improved this year because it is too early to assess the merit of Cueto's altered pitching repertoire.
To explain, Cueto is favoring his sinker more.
Whereas he threw this pitch with 15.5 percent frequency last season, he is throwing it 31.3 percent of the time this season.
It is his favorite pitch in terms of frequency.
Cueto seems to be performing well because opponents have produced minimal success against his favorite pitch.
However, he has benefitted from facing softer matchups.
In his first two starts, he faced teams -- the Royals and Yankees -- that rank in the bottom half in slugging against this pitch from righties.
Conversely, his last two starts -- he struggled against the Cubs and Blue Jays -- came against teams that rank top 10 in slugging against this pitch from righties.
I like the Dodgers tonight because not only do they perform better against the sinker from righties than the Royals and Yanks and than the Cubs and Blue Jays, but they also rank number one in slugging against this pitch from righties.
Look out especially for Cody Bellinger and Justin Turner.
In at least 20 career at-bats against Cueto, Bellinger slugs .520 and Turner slugs .625.
Who Starts for the Dodgers?
L.A. starts Tony Gonsolin who has yet to collect a loss this season.
Currently, Gonsolin is 6-0.
Also, he enjoys superb form.
In both of his last two starts, he has yielded a sub-two FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding).
Gonsolin vs. White Sox Batters
Relative to last year, Gonsolin has injected more variety into his arsenal, and it is paying off.
He is relying less on his fastball and more on his split finger and slider, which are yielding a .125 BA and .070 BA, respectively.
Gonsolin promises to thrive tonight because Chicago ranks 29thin slugging against his three favorite pitches from righties.
Key Trend
I also love the Dodgers tonight because they have a proud lineup that was shut out last night.
L.A. will be particularly driven to bounce back tonight.
This season, the Dodgers are 5-0 after scoring one run or fewer in their previous game.
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels
Wednesday, June 8, 2022 at 9:38 p.m. ET at Angel Stadium in Anaheim
Who Starts for Boston?
Boston starts Nathan Eovaldi tonight who is an overrated pitcher.
His attractive-looking 3.41 ERA masks a 4.83 FIP.
Most especially, he has benefitted from an unsustainably high 88.2-percent strand rate.
Eovaldi's Outlook Tonight
One should expect Eovaldi to allow a lot of runs tonight because he is historically awful in the Angels' venue.
In this venue, he suffers a 5.89 ERA in four career starts.
Moreover, Eovaldi is terribly unreliable in night games.
His career ERA is 1.02 worse in night games than in day games. That is a massive difference.
As one must expect, he has been an awful bet in night games this season.
Currently, Boston is yielding -4.8 units in the seven night games in which Eovaldi started.
Who Starts for the Angels?
The Angels start Reid Detmers who is coming off 4.1 shutout innings in an unusually unsharp start in difficult Yankee Stadium.
Detmers relies primarily on a fastball and curveball.
His pitch selection is intelligent because these two pitches are his most frequent ones, and they are reliable.
Opponents hit .208 against his fastball and .192 against his curveball.
He can locate his curveball anywhere in the strike zone, as heat maps show, but he also likes to play these two pitches off each other by elevating his fastball and then throwing his curveball low.
These two pitches also enjoy a ridiculous 20 mph difference that keeps hitters off balance.
I like Detmers tonight because, outside of its home ballpark, Boston slugs .326 against Detmers' favorite pitches from lefties.
Best Bet: Parlay Dodgers ML at -175 & Angels ML at +148 at +290 odds with BetOnline
