MLB Parlay for June 9: A Bet That Pays (+224)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox
Thursday, June 9, 2022 at 2:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago
Who Starts for the Dodgers?
Los Angeles starts Tyler Anderson today.
Anderson is so easy to like but for all the wrong reasons.
Let's be clear about why he might be a popular guy to bet on today.
He is 7-0, and he appears to be in strong form because he has allowed zero runs in each of his last three starts, and he allowed two runs four starts ago.
I don't like Anderson, though, because Anderson's success is utterly hollow.
His appearance of strong form is merely a product of the easy competition that he has benefitted from facing.
The Mets, the Diamondbacks, the Nationals, and the Diamondbacks were Anderson's last four opponents.
Anderson benefitted from being a lefty against these teams because they all rank 19thor worse in slugging against lefties.
Persistent believers in Anderson may contend that, regardless of who Anderson has faced, his form is strong, and I haven't shown that his strong form is a product of easy competition.
But so far, he has faced one team that ranks top-five against lefties.
Anderson's strong form must be viewed as a product of easy competition because the one tough matchup that he encountered, Philadelphia, amassed seven earned runs in his start.
Anderson vs. White Sox Batters
I like White Sox batters tonight because they pose an even tougher challenge than the Phillies.
Whereas the Phillies rank third in slugging against lefties, they White Sox rank second in the category with a solid margin of .31.
More specifically, the White Sox match up against Anderson also given the pitches that he throws.
Primarily, Anderson throws a changeup, fastball, and cutter.
The White Sox rank fourth in slugging against these three pitches from lefties.
While their slugging rate against these pitches from lefties in .10 lower than the Phillies,' the latter have had the benefit of already facing him.
Who Starts for Chicago?
Chicago starts Dylan Cease today, its most profitable pitcher.
Overall, the White Sox are yielding +3.8 units in Cease's starts.
Pertinently to this game, Cease is most valuable in day games.
When he starts during the day, Chicago is 7-1 this year, yielding +5.7 units.
Cease vs. Dodger Batters
Primarily, Cease throws a fastball, slider, changeup, and sinker.
These pitches make up nearly 93 percent of his arsenal.
In view of his arsenal, it is decisive to observe the games in which Cease has struggled.
The Red Sox, Yankees, and Guardians are the teams that have hit Cease hard.
Those teams rank top-eight in slugging against Cease's favorite pitches from righties.
I like Cease today because the Dodgers rank below average in the category against these pitches from righties.
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
Thursday, June 9, 2022 at 7:40 p.m. ET at Target Field in Minneapolis
Who Starts for the Yankees?
The Yankees start Gerrit Cole who demonstrates absurdly superb form.
He has yielded a sub-three FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) in eight straight starts.
Among other good things, Cole has been a road warrior.
His success in road games has allowed the Yankees to be 4-1 and yield +2.6 units in his away starts.
Minnesota offers a venue in which Cole promises to succeed because he is already 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two career starts in this venue.
Who Starts for Minnesota?
Minnesota starts Dylan Bundy tonight.
In contrast to Cole, Bundy is coming off consecutive awful starts.
After yielding a 6.00 ERA against the Tigers, he allowed five earned runs in 2.1 innings in Toronto.
Bundy vs. Yankee Batters
His struggles against AL East teams shouldn't be too surprising because they are more familiar with him since he used to pitch in that division as a member of Baltimore.
Hence, several Yankee batters have accumulated a strong track record against Bundy.
Three different ones -- Aaron Judge, Aaron Hicks, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa slug .500 or much higher in at least 10 career at-bats facing Bundy.
Expect also the lineup as a whole to flourish against Bundy because the Yanks rank second in slugging against Bundy's favorite pitches from righties.
Best Bet: Parlay White Sox ML at +112 & Yankees ML at -190 at +224 odds with BetOnline
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox
Thursday, June 9, 2022 at 2:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago
Who Starts for the Dodgers?
Los Angeles starts Tyler Anderson today.
Anderson is so easy to like but for all the wrong reasons.
Let's be clear about why he might be a popular guy to bet on today.
He is 7-0, and he appears to be in strong form because he has allowed zero runs in each of his last three starts, and he allowed two runs four starts ago.
I don't like Anderson, though, because Anderson's success is utterly hollow.
His appearance of strong form is merely a product of the easy competition that he has benefitted from facing.
The Mets, the Diamondbacks, the Nationals, and the Diamondbacks were Anderson's last four opponents.
Anderson benefitted from being a lefty against these teams because they all rank 19thor worse in slugging against lefties.
Persistent believers in Anderson may contend that, regardless of who Anderson has faced, his form is strong, and I haven't shown that his strong form is a product of easy competition.
But so far, he has faced one team that ranks top-five against lefties.
Anderson's strong form must be viewed as a product of easy competition because the one tough matchup that he encountered, Philadelphia, amassed seven earned runs in his start.
Anderson vs. White Sox Batters
I like White Sox batters tonight because they pose an even tougher challenge than the Phillies.
Whereas the Phillies rank third in slugging against lefties, they White Sox rank second in the category with a solid margin of .31.
More specifically, the White Sox match up against Anderson also given the pitches that he throws.
Primarily, Anderson throws a changeup, fastball, and cutter.
The White Sox rank fourth in slugging against these three pitches from lefties.
While their slugging rate against these pitches from lefties in .10 lower than the Phillies,' the latter have had the benefit of already facing him.
Who Starts for Chicago?
Chicago starts Dylan Cease today, its most profitable pitcher.
Overall, the White Sox are yielding +3.8 units in Cease's starts.
Pertinently to this game, Cease is most valuable in day games.
When he starts during the day, Chicago is 7-1 this year, yielding +5.7 units.
Cease vs. Dodger Batters
Primarily, Cease throws a fastball, slider, changeup, and sinker.
These pitches make up nearly 93 percent of his arsenal.
In view of his arsenal, it is decisive to observe the games in which Cease has struggled.
The Red Sox, Yankees, and Guardians are the teams that have hit Cease hard.
Those teams rank top-eight in slugging against Cease's favorite pitches from righties.
I like Cease today because the Dodgers rank below average in the category against these pitches from righties.
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
Thursday, June 9, 2022 at 7:40 p.m. ET at Target Field in Minneapolis
Who Starts for the Yankees?
The Yankees start Gerrit Cole who demonstrates absurdly superb form.
He has yielded a sub-three FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) in eight straight starts.
Among other good things, Cole has been a road warrior.
His success in road games has allowed the Yankees to be 4-1 and yield +2.6 units in his away starts.
Minnesota offers a venue in which Cole promises to succeed because he is already 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two career starts in this venue.
Who Starts for Minnesota?
Minnesota starts Dylan Bundy tonight.
In contrast to Cole, Bundy is coming off consecutive awful starts.
After yielding a 6.00 ERA against the Tigers, he allowed five earned runs in 2.1 innings in Toronto.
Bundy vs. Yankee Batters
His struggles against AL East teams shouldn't be too surprising because they are more familiar with him since he used to pitch in that division as a member of Baltimore.
Hence, several Yankee batters have accumulated a strong track record against Bundy.
Three different ones -- Aaron Judge, Aaron Hicks, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa slug .500 or much higher in at least 10 career at-bats facing Bundy.
Expect also the lineup as a whole to flourish against Bundy because the Yanks rank second in slugging against Bundy's favorite pitches from righties.
Best Bet: Parlay White Sox ML at +112 & Yankees ML at -190 at +224 odds with BetOnline
