Divisional Weekend Plays...

emkee

The Truth Is Out There
Regular: 37-29 (+15.51)

Playoffs: 3-1 (+5.02)

Overall: 40-30 (+20.53)

Okay round last week. Marv and Andy the only blemish (no surprises there).

New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks

The play...

Seahawks -7.5 (3 units)

Went over this one a few times and it all points one way for me - Hags get the candy. Strong run-game and a dominant defense gets it done when it matters.

Nawlins win over the Birds was a little smoke and mirrors given it was the first appearance by Nickfoleon Dynamite and Chip in the postseason, Birds exceeded all expectations and were just happy to be there. Have a hard time seeing this Saints team - a flamboyant dome team that had not won a road playoff game in it's history up until last week get cake in back to back weeks in the playoffs.

Saints are an 'air-raid' team and often find it tough to run the rock, which is not a good recipe vs Seattle. The Hags only allowed 2,752 passing yards this season. Every other team allowed at least 3,100. The Seahawks also had 28 interceptions; no other team recorded more than 23 picks. Seattle is just the fourth team to lead the league in both of those categories. Two of the first three teams won championships that season (the 2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the 1963 Chicago Bears), while the third (the 1982 Miami Dolphins) lost in the Super Bowl. The Hags' allowed only 16 touchdown passes this year, second to Tennessee (15). What makes Seattle’s 28 interceptions and 16 scoring passes allowed even more impressive is that, on average, the other 31 defenses this season averaged 15.3 interceptions and 25.4 touchdown passes allowed. The Seahawks’ defense also finished first in yards per attempt, net yards per attempt, yards per completion and passer rating. The Seahawks are a Super Bowl favorite because of the most dominant pass defense in the NFL since at least the 2002 SB winning Bucs.

Not too mention the home-field advantage in the Clink is 2nd to none, predicting a similar result to that which occurred in Week 13 give or take a few points due to the weather.

:shake:
 
Not much love for the Hags around here it seems. Bit of 'reverse movement' in this one, glad I got in early but would still play at 9.5 for the same units - at 10, would play for 2. Biggest concern for me is the weather but Seattle is built to handle it.

Biggest dog the Saints have been in the Brees/Payton era.
 
Got fortunate in Seattle. Crazy game for sure, Hawks were content to give up the backdoor either way. Convinced Petey held a Saints +10 ticket.

Sunday...

San Francisco 49ers at Carolina Panthers

The play...

Panthers +2.5 -110 (2.2 to win 2)

Local line, dude always mirrors the Wynn - line probably hits this number offshore closer to game time. Have to shop around as the spreads are for the most part, super-sharp right now. Like 'em straight-up

ESPN and all them Mickey Mouse fools are drumming up the Niners as the team to beat this postseason, went over this game after initially leaning Cisco at first glance and the fact of the matter is the Panthers are the squad best equipped to beat both SF and the Hags in the playoffs.

Nasty front-7, non-blitz happy, less traveled, completely underrated and according to most media they have no shot at a win this afternoon.

The majority of conversation from gambling types is what the spread will be for Hags v Niners III in the NFC 'Ship game.

Will elaborate further tomorrow.

:shake:
 
Good points in there Emm,looking at the site I have,this is the most one sided bet game of the weekend.
Will never forget $cams Iron bowl game,today maybe his day.
GL
 
Made a weak play on the Panfas. The obvious, Harbaugh > Riverboat and Cam not a winner, period.

Bolts fit the mold of team we've been accustomed to making the big dance. Manning a noted playoff muppet and it's cold. Numbers don't lie in this one.

Bolo ties, ftw.
 
Good to see you on this one. I've looked at this one a number of different ways throughout the week, and at the end of it all - like you said - numbers don't lie. Get paid.
 
Playoffs: 5-2 (+8.82)

2-1 in the Divies.

Looking ahead, surprised at the opening line in Denver considering the last regular season meeting. Mind you, Gronk was playing then. Expected a 4 at worst still.

Line in Seattle is where it should be. Niners will be the talk of ESPN all week but they've had a tough run and deserve a lot of the praise. Been awhile since a SB loser has made it back to the big game ('94 Bills).

Dogs gonna be very popular again next week
 
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